5852 Beech Daly Rd · Taylor, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
Key facts
- Fenced in backyard
- Eat-in kitchen
- Jetted tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.4% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $135k implies a 578% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.62%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,644
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -9.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25541 Hanover St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-2%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $165 | 73 |
| 5969 Fellrath St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $125 | 68 |
| 6304 Marvin St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-10%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $94 | 67 |
| 5842 Janet Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,240 (+11%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 26214 Pennie St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,079 (-4%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $120 | 65 |
| 5367 Vivian St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-7%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $163 | 64 |
| 6155 Princess St | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,123 (+0%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $160 | 63 |
| 26396 Pennie St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-4%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $88 | 61 |
| 25513 Annapolis St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-7%) | 2mo | $152,000 | $146 | 60 |
| 5936 Westlake St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (-11%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $165 | 57 |
| 6330 Hampden St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-10%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $149 | 56 |
| 26333 Eton Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-11%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $95 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,671
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $33,224
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48180
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,490 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $348 | -5% $310 | +0% $272 | +5% $233 | +10% $195 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $213 | +0% $272 | +5% $330 | +10% $389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $340 | -0.5pp $306 | base $272 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $201 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26274 McDonald St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,575 | $1.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 26089 Lehigh St Inkster, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 26159 Stanford St Inkster, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 6d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 25016 Lehigh St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 24684 Lehigh St Dearborn Heights, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 26382 Colgate St Inkster, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $935 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3755 Heritage Pkwy Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,450 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3809 Heritage Pkwy Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3763 Heritage Pkwy Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,450 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 25722 Carlysle St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,450 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 24601 Andover Dr Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4481 Westpoint St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 768 | $1,549 | $2.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 26707 Penn St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 6d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 24154 Dartmouth St Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,275 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 26742 Penn St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 24442 Union St Dearborn, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 27139 Penn St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $675 | $0.81 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-05-18status Pending 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-05-05status Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-05-05status Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-25historical Accepting Backup Offers 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-25historical Active Under Contract 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-20status Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-20status Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-09historical Accepting Backup Offers 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-09historical Active Under Contract 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-03$135,000 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2026-04-03$135,000 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Spacious 3Bed/2Full Bath Bungalow. Nice size eat-in kitchen equipped with all appliances. Primary bedroom on main floor with its own spacious bath with jetted tub. Large fenced in backyard. Would be a Great starter home.
-
2025-09-11historical $1,495
-
2025-08-30$1,495
-
2023-12-22historical $1,395
-
2023-11-30$1,395
-
2010-12-20soldstatus $19,900
-
2010-10-28$19,900
-
2010-06-29historical
-
2009-12-23$24,900
-
2009-12-19historical
-
2009-12-18historical
-
2008-12-18
-
2008-12-18$59,900
-
1999-10-21soldstatus $71,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,698 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,888 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$191/yr (+$16/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,883
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,698
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,431
- − Management
- −$1,431
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,159
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$278
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylor School District
- NCES district ID
- 2633540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,062
- Composite
- 17.62/100
- National rank
- #9034
- State rank
- #462 of 540 in MI
Livability — Taylor
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #3684
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Taylor, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 62,081
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,081
- Household income
- $61,081
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1957.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.33%
- Current HPI
- 228.921
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+90.1% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-25 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-11 Rental Removed $1,495 REALSOURCE
- 2025-08-30 Listed for Rent $1,495 REALSOURCE
- 2023-12-22 Rental Removed $1,395 REALSOURCE
- 2023-11-30 Listed for Rent $1,395 REALSOURCE
- 2010-12-20 Sold (MLS) $19,900 REALCOMP
- 2010-10-28 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
- 2010-06-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-12-23 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-12-19 Delisted — AAMLS
- 2009-12-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-18 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-12-18 Listed — AAMLS
- 1999-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,698 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…