234 Southern Ave SE · Albuquerque, NM
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$166,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare opportunity--two homes for the price of one! Perfectly suited for multigenerational living or investment potential, this unique property is located near downtown with quick and easy freeway access. Both homes share a spacious backyard and a covered patio ideal for outdoor gatherings. Additional storage space adds convenience and functionality. Whether you're looking to live in one and rent the other or maximize rental income with both, this versatile property offers exceptional value!
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Covered patio
- Investment potential
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $166k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
- Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
- Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.28%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $267,036
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 Kathryn Ave SE | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,240 (-5%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $202 | 80 |
| 2007 Hinkle St SE | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,321 (+1%) | 1mo | $254,900 | $193 | 74 |
| 108 Garfield Ave SE | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,287 (-2%) | 1mo | $274,900 | $214 | 70 |
| 1509 Jesus St SE | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+15%) | 6mo | $299,000 | $199 | 60 |
| 2201 William St SE | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-11%) | 5mo | $229,900 | $196 | 53 |
| 703 Santa Fe Ave SE | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,307 (-0%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $207 | 52 |
| 1606 Walter St SE | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,132 (-14%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $247 | 52 |
| 820 Bell Ave SW | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,183 (-10%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $287 | 48 |
| 514 Santa Fe Ave SE | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+7%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $204 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $50,481
- Equity at exit
- $74,866
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $137,217
- Equity at exit
- $115,377
Cash invested: $46,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87101
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$873
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,726/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $477
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,625
- Closing costs
- $4,995
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1612 3rd St SW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $2,150 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2009 High St SE Unit B Albuquerque, NM | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,036 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2101 Elm St SE Apt A Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 423 Walter St SE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,599 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3003 Transport St SE Albuquerque, NM | 5.0 | 1.0–5.0 | 1083 | $2,140 | $1.97 | 43d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 1304 Buena Vista Dr SE Albuquerque, NM | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1400 Buena Vista Dr SE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1718 | $2,200 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2124 Eton Ave SE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2124 Eton Ave SE Unit 1-F Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $166,500 Pending 253 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $166,500 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $166,500 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $166,500 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $166,500 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $166,500 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-02-28status Active
-
2026-02-22status Pending
-
2026-01-21status Active
-
2026-01-15status Pending
-
2025-11-26price $169,900
-
2025-07-30price $180,000
-
2025-07-11$190,000 Active
-
2019-05-30historical
-
2019-05-29soldstatus
-
2019-04-17status Pending
-
2019-04-04price $140,000
-
2019-03-06status Active
-
2019-03-06historical
-
2019-03-05status Active
-
2019-02-23historical
-
2018-12-31price $155,000
-
2018-10-01$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,726 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,726 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,327
- − Property taxes
- −$2,726
- − Insurance
- −$832
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,001
- − Management
- −$2,001
- − Depreciation
- −$4,844
- Taxable income
- $3,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$788
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albuquerque Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500060
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 45.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,151
- Composite
- 53.29/100
- National rank
- #1487
- State rank
- #3 of 29 in NM
Livability — Albuquerque
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #6219
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albuquerque, NM
Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 704,528 people
- By 2030
- 711,723 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 714,522 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 709,274 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 680,015 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 619,879 · -12.0%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+3.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2026-02-28 Relisted — Southwest MLS
- 2026-02-22 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2026-01-21 Relisted — Southwest MLS
- 2026-01-15 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $169,900 Southwest MLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $180,000 Southwest MLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed $190,000 Southwest MLS
- 2019-05-30 Delisted — Southwest MLS
- 2019-05-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-04-17 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2019-04-04 Price Changed $140,000 Southwest MLS
- 2019-03-06 Relisted — Southwest MLS
- 2019-03-06 Delisted — Southwest MLS
- 2019-03-05 Relisted — Southwest MLS
- 2019-02-23 Delisted — Southwest MLS
- 2018-12-31 Price Changed $155,000 Southwest MLS
- 2018-10-01 Listed $165,000 Southwest MLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,726 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…