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234 Southern Ave SE
B+ Composite 78.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$166,500

234 Southern Ave SE · Albuquerque, NM 87101
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,309 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 253 Days on market
Built 1929 7,405 sqft lot Est $267k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rare opportunity--two homes for the price of one! Perfectly suited for multigenerational living or investment potential, this unique property is located near downtown with quick and easy freeway access. Both homes share a spacious backyard and a covered patio ideal for outdoor gatherings. Additional storage space adds convenience and functionality. Whether you're looking to live in one and rent the other or maximize rental income with both, this versatile property offers exceptional value!

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Covered patio
  • Investment potential

Tags

MULTIGENERATIONAL LIVINGINVESTMENT POTENTIALSPACIOUS BACKYARDCOVERED PATIOADDITIONAL STORAGE SPACEPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $166k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.28%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$267,036
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
226 Kathryn Ave SE 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,240 (-5%) 3mo $249,900 $202 80
2007 Hinkle St SE 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,321 (+1%) 1mo $254,900 $193 74
108 Garfield Ave SE 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,287 (-2%) 1mo $274,900 $214 70
1509 Jesus St SE 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+15%) 6mo $299,000 $199 60
2201 William St SE 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (-11%) 5mo $229,900 $196 53
703 Santa Fe Ave SE 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,307 (-0%) 10mo $270,000 $207 52
1606 Walter St SE 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,132 (-14%) 6mo $280,000 $247 52
820 Bell Ave SW 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,183 (-10%) 1mo $340,000 $287 48
514 Santa Fe Ave SE 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (+7%) 9mo $285,000 $204 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$50,481
Equity at exit
$74,866
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
3.94×
Total profit
$137,217
Equity at exit
$115,377

Cash invested: $46,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87101

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,084 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$873
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,726/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$477

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,481
Max offer price $166,500
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,625
Closing costs
$4,995
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1612 3rd St SW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.5 1750 $2,150 $1.23 14d 1 0.40mi
2009 High St SE Unit B Albuquerque, NM 4.0 1.5 1000 $2,036 $2.04 23d 1 0.47mi
2101 Elm St SE Apt A Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,450 $1.21 43d 1 0.55mi
423 Walter St SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1420 $2,599 $1.83 43d 1 0.90mi
3003 Transport St SE Albuquerque, NM 5.0 1.0–5.0 1083 $2,140 $1.97 43d 4 1.30mi
1304 Buena Vista Dr SE Albuquerque, NM 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,000 $1.18 14d 1 1.30mi
1400 Buena Vista Dr SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1718 $2,200 $1.28 43d 1 1.31mi
2124 Eton Ave SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 43d 1 1.44mi
2124 Eton Ave SE Unit 1-F Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,600 $2.00 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $166,500 Pending 253 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $166,500 Active 252 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $166,500 Active 251 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $166,500 Active 250 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $166,500 Active 249 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $166,500 Active 248 DOM
  7. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  8. 2026-02-28
    status Active
  9. 2026-02-22
    status Pending
  10. 2026-01-21
    status Active
  11. 2026-01-15
    status Pending
  12. 2025-11-26
    price $169,900
  13. 2025-07-30
    price $180,000
  14. 2025-07-11
    listed $190,000 Active
  15. 2019-05-30
    historical
  16. 2019-05-29
    soldstatus
  17. 2019-04-17
    status Pending
  18. 2019-04-04
    price $140,000
  19. 2019-03-06
    status Active
  20. 2019-03-06
    historical
  21. 2019-03-05
    status Active
  22. 2019-02-23
    historical
  23. 2018-12-31
    price $155,000
  24. 2018-10-01
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,726 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,726 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,013
− Mortgage interest
−$9,327
− Property taxes
−$2,726
− Insurance
−$832
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,001
− Management
−$2,001
− Depreciation
−$4,844
Taxable income
$3,282
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$788
After-tax cash flow
$4,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Albuquerque

Score
72/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#6219

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albuquerque, NM

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+3.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-02-28 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2026-02-22 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-01-21 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2026-01-15 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2025-11-26 Price Changed $169,900 Southwest MLS
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $180,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $190,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2019-05-30 Delisted Southwest MLS
  • 2019-05-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-04-17 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2019-04-04 Price Changed $140,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2019-03-06 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2019-03-06 Delisted Southwest MLS
  • 2019-03-05 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2019-02-23 Delisted Southwest MLS
  • 2018-12-31 Price Changed $155,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2018-10-01 Listed $165,000 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,726 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…