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12917 Recreation Dr
C Composite 59.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,000

12917 Recreation Dr · Springdale, AR 72745
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1966 1.09 ac lot Est $310k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AN UPDATED LAKE AREA GETAWAY HOME! Perfect for a weekend hideaway or a starter home siting on 1/09 acres +/-. A cute covered porch welcomes you as you step inside to this bright living room with stone fireplace with a wood burning insert! One of the many updates is the new vinyl plank flooring and stylish white shiplap dividing wall between the living room and kitchen! The eat-in dining space flows into the kitchen that boasts white cabinets, a new large pantry cabinet, & new dishwasher! In the upcoming warm season, enjoy lunch on the deck or in the gazebo! With 2 bds upstairs & 1 down this home gives you room to spread out. Home has a dual fuel furnace both electric & propane. Propane auxiliary heat in the basement. Appx. 5 miles from Hickory Creek Marina lets you have the full experience of country living. There's a covered parking spot for your boat too! Updated top to bottom make this one the "catch" of 2020! Move quickly! * 2 Storage buildings convey.

Key facts

  • Peaceful lake area
  • Large pantry cabinet
  • Newer dishwasher

Tags

PEACEFUL LAKE AREAOUTDOOR LIVINGSTYLISH WHITE SHIPLAP ACCENTSUPDATED VINYL PLANK FLOORINGLARGE PANTRY CABINETNEWER DISHWASHER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee (amount not specified); Community near a lake; Near fire station

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; 1 covered parking space; Has carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic (Septic tank); Electricity available; Propane available; Cable available; Fiber optic available; Phone available
  • Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding; Entry level not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Built 25+ years ago
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Storage structure; Property on/near Beaver Lake; Subdivision setting; Road frontage on county and public paved roads

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Propane range; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Split bedroom layout
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric and Propane); Central air (Electric)
  • Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Pantry; Programmable thermostat; Split bedrooms; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (6.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.3% in Springdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#48 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, employment D+.
  • Springdale School District (urban): math 38% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #100 of 238 in AR (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $188k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $234,121 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.70%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$310,400
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12981 Recreation Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-12%) 3mo $272,000 $194 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-15,671
Equity at exit
$37,127
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$17,784
Equity at exit
$21,529

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72745

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
285
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,341 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $607/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,848
Max offer price $249,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $530 -5% $460 +0% $389 +5% $319 +10% $248
Rent -10% $204 -5% $297 +0% $389 +5% $482 +10% $574
Rate -1.0pp $515 -0.5pp $453 base $389 +0.5pp $325 +1.0pp $259

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13014 Schoolhouse Dr Unit 1375234P Lowell, AR 3.0 3.0 2185 $6,090 $2.79 13d 1 0.92mi
22923 War Eagle Blacktop Rd Unit 1221868P Springdale, AR 3.0 2.0 1808 $10,461 $5.79 24d 1 1.47mi
15429 Harris Rd Unit 1221854P Lowell, AR 3.0 1.5 1722 $5,059 $2.94 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $249,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $259,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $259,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 693-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $259,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$607 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,594 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$986/yr (+$82/mo · 162.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,095
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$607
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,248
− Management
−$2,248
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable income
$556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$133
After-tax cash flow
$4,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springdale School District
NCES district ID
0512660
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,469
Composite
31.18/100
National rank
#6046
State rank
#100 of 238 in AR

Livability — Springdale

Score
70/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#7326

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
104,811
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
15,447
Household income
$91,207
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
125.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Two or more races 28% Hispanic / Latino 28% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.49%
Current HPI
349.5565
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $259,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
  • 2026-02-18 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $234,600 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $239,600 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $249,600 CARMLS
  • 2021-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-22 Sold (MLS) $140,000 NWARMLS
  • 2020-12-18 Listed $135,000 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $607 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…