271 Quail Run Way Way SE · Walthourville, GA 31301

$278,875

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,565 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition 1.79 ac lot Est $290k · at est. $34/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.2/30.0
• ARV discount +9.2/15.0
• Appreciation +5.1/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +3.0/10.0
• DSCR +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks

The Stafford floor plan, situated on an expansive 1.79-acre homesite in The Village at Sassafras Phase 2, offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and curb appeal. A charming brick accent skirt enhances the home's exterior, while the versatile layout features 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, making it ideal for families of various sizes. The open-concept living area provides clear sightlines from the kitchen to the breakfast nook, creating a welcoming space for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a sizable walk-in closet and a private bath featuring a dual sinks, garden tub, and separate shower. Artistic renderings are for reference purposes only; actual floor plans, fe

Key facts

• Dual sinks
• Walk-in closet
• Private bath

Tags

• EXPANSIVE HOMESITE
• OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREA
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• PRIVATE BATH
• DUAL SINKS
• GARDEN TUB

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Subdivision: The Village At Sassafras
• HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $34 monthly fee

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; 2 covered parking spaces (2 total spaces, 2 garage spaces)
• Utilities: Electricity connected / electric on property; Underground utilities; Septic tank
• Home design: Single family residence; One level; Under construction
• Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built recently / under construction
• Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Irrigation equipment; Paved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air (electric)
• Interior features: Breakfast bar; Entrance foyer; Pantry; Ten total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $279k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-208 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (10.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (20.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $222k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#255 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
• Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $433 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
• Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $221,967 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.80% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.40%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.19%
• DSCR: 0.86
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $289,525
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
663 Buckhead Loop SE	0.19mi	4/2.0	1,565 (0%)	1mo	$276,975	$177	91
1007 Buckhead Loop SE	0.13mi	4/2.0	1,565 (0%)	6mo	$289,210	$185	88
1118 Buckhead Loop SE	0.19mi	4/2.0	1,565 (0%)	6mo	$275,650	$176	86
722 Buckhead Loop SE	0.19mi	4/2.5	1,609 (+3%)	0mo	$279,800	$174	84
393 Buckhead Loop SE	0.34mi	4/2.0	1,565 (0%)	0mo	$280,500	$179	84
977 Buckhead Loop SE	0.13mi	4/2.0	1,620 (+4%)	7mo	$277,750	$171	82
337 Buckhead Loop SE	0.34mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,527 (-2%)	4mo	$282,705	$185	72
358 Buckhead Loop SE	0.34mi	4/2.0	1,735 (+11%)	2mo	$301,090	$174	64
284 Antler Ave SE	0.19mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,380 (-12%)	6mo	$274,765	$199	61
265 Antler Ave SE	0.20mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,380 (-12%)	6mo	$259,945	$188	61
308 Buckhead Loop SE	0.34mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,380 (-12%)	3mo	$261,375	$189	55
1611 Arnall Dr Dr	0.41mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,380 (-12%)	3mo	$278,000	$201	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.75×
• Total profit: $-19,289
• Equity at exit: $83,150

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.07×
• Total profit: $5,299
• Equity at exit: $101,702

Cash invested: $78,085 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31301

• Home prices YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 141
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,220 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,462
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$349 /mo · $4,183/yr
• Insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$34
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$466
• Net cashflow: $-208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,483

Max offer price $248,820

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-15	-5% $-111	+0% $-208	+5% $-304	+10% $-400
Rent	-10% $-383	-5% $-295	+0% $-208	+5% $-120	+10% $-32
Rate	-1.0pp $-67	-0.5pp $-137	base $-208	+0.5pp $-280	+1.0pp $-353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,719
• Closing costs: $8,366
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
469 Archie Way Hinesville, GA	4.0	2.5	2001	$2,000	$1.00	44d	1	1.47mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $34 · $408/yr

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $278,875 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $278,875 Active 21 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $278,875 Active 20 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $278,875 Active 19 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $278,875 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $278,875 Active 17 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $278,875 Active 15 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $278,875 Active 14 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $278,875 Active 12 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $278,875 Active 11 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $278,875 Active 10 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $278,875 Active 9 DOM
13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $278,875 Active 6 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $278,875 Active 5 DOM
15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $278,875 Active 4 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $278,875 Active 3 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $278,875 Active 2 DOM
18. 2026-05-29
    listed $278,875 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,636
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,621
• − Property taxes: −$4,183
• − Insurance: −$1,394
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,131
• − Management: −$2,131
• − HOA: −$408
• − Depreciation: −$8,113
• Taxable loss: −$7,345
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,763
• After-tax cash flow: $-730/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great blend of space, comfort, and curb appeal, making it ideal for families. Minor updates to the exterior and interior can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
• Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
• Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
• Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
• Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
• Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Long County
• NCES district ID: 1303360
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $45,958
• Composite: 22.51/100
• National rank: #8090
• State rank: #115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Walthourville

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #255
• US rank: #14108

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Liberty County · 58,565 people
• City population: 4,933
• Metro: Hinesville, GA
• Population (ZIP): 4,933
• Household income: $65,417
• Rent vs Own: 55.7% rent · 44.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 121.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,669 people
• By 2030: 28,223 · +14.4%
• By 2040: 35,430 · +43.6%
• By 2050: 42,403 · +71.9%
• By 2075: 56,996 · +131.0%
• By 2100: 64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 51% White 31% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.16%
• Current HPI: 187.7716
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Hinesville, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-29 Listed $278,875 HABR