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4277 Howe St Triplex
F Composite 34.47
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$899,000

4277 Howe St · Oakland, CA 94611
12 bd · 9.0 ba · 2,174 sqft · MultiFamily · 9 Days on market
Built 1912 Good condition 3,270 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This well-preserved 1912 triplex offers a rare combination of historic character, strong income potential, and an unbeatable location in one of Oakland’s most walkable neighborhoods. Delivered fully vacant, this is a rare opportunity to place your own tenants at current market rents or create a tailored owner-occupant setup. The building features one spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit and two well-proportioned 1-bedroom, 1-bath units, giving investors a versatile unit mix to work with. Each residence includes in-unit laundry a highly desirable amenity for today’s renters. Whether you’re an investor or an owner-occupant, the flexibility here is unmatched. Located just moments

Key facts

  • In-unit laundry
  • Historic character
  • 96 walk score

Tags

HISTORIC CHARACTERSTRONG INCOME POTENTIALUNBEATABLE LOCATIONFULLY VACANTIN-UNIT LAUNDRY96 WALK SCORE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total building area approximately 2,174 square feet; Total of 3 units

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property (triplex); Built in 1912
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Balcony or patio

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood floors throughout
  • Bathrooms: Three units with one bathroom each
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; No air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tub with shower over; In-unit laundry; Hardwood floors throughout
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 2×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $899k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-813 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-271/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $781k (13.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $684k (24.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $684k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Piedmont Avenue Elementary (332 students, 78% FRL); Westlake Middle (314 students, 87% FRL); Oakland Technical High (1,796 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,835/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($181k/yr) (locally 1668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $683,500 (24.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.21%
Cash-on-cash
-3.88%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.8%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-190,838
Equity at exit
$134,044
10-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-205,155
Equity at exit
$77,729

Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Oakland
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
Rent Adjustment Program + Just Cause.

ZIP-level market 94611

Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
31.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,835 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,714
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,124 /mo · $13,485/yr
Insurance
$375
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,435
Net cashflow
$-813

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,864
Max offer price $781,338
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-192 -5% $-502 +0% $-813 +5% $-1,124 +10% $-1,434
Rent -10% $-1,353 -5% $-1,083 +0% $-813 +5% $-543 +10% $-273
Rate -1.0pp $-360 -0.5pp $-584 base $-813 +0.5pp $-1,046 +1.0pp $-1,283

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $2,407
Total (3 units) $6,835

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$224,750
Closing costs
$26,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $899,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $899,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $899,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $899,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $899,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 681-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $899,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$82,020
− Mortgage interest
−$50,358
− Property taxes
−$13,485
− Insurance
−$4,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,562
− Management
−$6,562
− Depreciation
−$26,153
Taxable loss
−$25,594
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,143
After-tax cash flow
$-3,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained triplex offers a rare combination of historic character and strong income potential in a walkable neighborhood. Minor updates to the exterior and bathrooms would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Rental Replace shower curtain — Improves bathroom aesthetics
  • Resale Clean fireplace — Enhances overall home appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Rental Replace shower curtain — Improves bathroom aesthetics
  • Resale Clean fireplace — Enhances overall home appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakland Unified
NCES district ID
0628050
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,194
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#11769
State rank
#1007 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Oakland

Score
71/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#7245

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oakland, CA
County
Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
City population
385,993
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
40,116
Household income
$180,549
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
1668.0

Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,928,884 people
By 2030
2,069,146 · +7.3%
By 2040
2,338,405 · +21.2%
By 2050
2,586,608 · +34.1%
By 2075
3,061,911 · +58.7%
By 2100
3,234,133 · +67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Asian 17% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
17% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
80% English-only · Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Alameda

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -911.78%
Current HPI
247.5452
Rent YoY
▲ 3.94%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $899,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…