Triplex
4277 Howe St · Oakland, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$899,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This well-preserved 1912 triplex offers a rare combination of historic character, strong income potential, and an unbeatable location in one of Oakland’s most walkable neighborhoods. Delivered fully vacant, this is a rare opportunity to place your own tenants at current market rents or create a tailored owner-occupant setup. The building features one spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit and two well-proportioned 1-bedroom, 1-bath units, giving investors a versatile unit mix to work with. Each residence includes in-unit laundry a highly desirable amenity for today’s renters. Whether you’re an investor or an owner-occupant, the flexibility here is unmatched. Located just moments
Key facts
- In-unit laundry
- Historic character
- 96 walk score
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total building area approximately 2,174 square feet; Total of 3 units
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property (triplex); Built in 1912
- Construction: Wood siding
- Exterior features: Back yard; Balcony or patio
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood floors throughout
- Bathrooms: Three units with one bathroom each
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; No air conditioning
- Interior features: Tub with shower over; In-unit laundry; Hardwood floors throughout
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 2×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $899k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-813 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-271/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $781k (13.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $684k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $684k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Piedmont Avenue Elementary (332 students, 78% FRL); Westlake Middle (314 students, 87% FRL); Oakland Technical High (1,796 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,835/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($181k/yr) (locally 1668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.88%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-190,838
- Equity at exit
- $134,044
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-205,155
- Equity at exit
- $77,729
Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Oakland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
ZIP-level market 94611
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 31.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,835 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,714
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,124 /mo · $13,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,435
- Net cashflow
- $-813
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-192 | -5% $-502 | +0% $-813 | +5% $-1,124 | +10% $-1,434 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,353 | -5% $-1,083 | +0% $-813 | +5% $-543 | +10% $-273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-360 | -0.5pp $-584 | base $-813 | +0.5pp $-1,046 | +1.0pp $-1,283 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $2,407 |
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $4,428 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $2,214 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $2,214 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,835 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,750
- Closing costs
- $26,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $899,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $899,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $899,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $899,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $899,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-13$899,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $82,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,358
- − Property taxes
- −$13,485
- − Insurance
- −$4,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,562
- − Management
- −$6,562
- − Depreciation
- −$26,153
- Taxable loss
- −$25,594
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,615/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained triplex offers a rare combination of historic character and strong income potential in a walkable neighborhood. Minor updates to the exterior and bathrooms would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Rental Replace shower curtain — Improves bathroom aesthetics
- Resale Clean fireplace — Enhances overall home appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Rental Replace shower curtain — Improves bathroom aesthetics ↑
- Resale Clean fireplace — Enhances overall home appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,194
- Composite
- 29.52/100
- National rank
- #11769
- State rank
- #1007 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #7245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 385,993
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,116
- Household income
- $180,549
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1668.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Asian 17% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -911.78%
- Current HPI
- 247.5452
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.94%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $899,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…