405 Isom St · Lancaster, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 36.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable opportunity in the heart of Lancaster! This single-story brick home is conveniently located near downtown Lancaster, shopping, restaurants, schools, and major roadways. Home sits on a manageable lot with established surrounding homes and convenient city access.
Key facts
- Conveniently located
- 1,089 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential single-family; Lot size: 50 acres
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Attached garage (1 garage space); Main level garage
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential zoning; Site-built construction; Brick exterior; One story; Permanent foundation
- Construction: Brick full construction; Permanent foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level home; Room count: 1 (listed)
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.5% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#301 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Lancaster 01 (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #26 of 80 in SC (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 685 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 976 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 36% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.45%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,520
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Isom St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (-2%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $186 | 73 |
| 609 N Market St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+10%) | 15mo | $112,900 | $110 | 66 |
| 412 N French St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 994 (+7%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $65 | 52 |
| 105 Witherspoon St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (+10%) | 19mo | $181,000 | $177 | 43 |
| 304 N Market St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-14%) | 18mo | $45,000 | $56 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-808
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $23,288
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29720
- Home prices YoY
- -28.2%
- Active inventory
- 685
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,386 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $360 | -5% $326 | +0% $292 | +5% $258 | +10% $224 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $183 | -5% $238 | +0% $292 | +5% $347 | +10% $402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $323 | base $292 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $230 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 S Catawba St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3038 Miller St Unit 3016-A Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,363 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 730 Taylor St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $985 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 732 Taylor St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $985 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1305 Eula St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $945 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-22$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 36% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,484
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,330
- − Management
- −$1,330
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$403
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lancaster 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502580
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,165
- Composite
- 37.23/100
- National rank
- #4462
- State rank
- #26 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #301
- US rank
- #23178
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lancaster, SC
- County
- Lancaster County · 91,213 people
- City population
- 53,584
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,584
- Household income
- $62,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1158.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,572 people
- By 2030
- 114,865 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 132,268 · +25.3%
- By 2050
- 148,252 · +40.4%
- By 2075
- 182,540 · +72.9%
- By 2100
- 202,237 · +91.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.0% · R 61.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.8 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.90%
- Current HPI
- 244.328
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $119,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,484 · +12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…