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1820 S Sprague Ave
D+ Composite 49.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$233,000

1820 S Sprague Ave · Tacoma, WA 98405
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 949 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1951 5,684 sqft lot Est $410k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits with this 1951 home offering 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 2-car garage. Currently boarded up and in need of repairs, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. Whether you’re an investor, builder, or buyer looking for a project, this home provides a blank canvas to create something special. The existing layout includes three bedrooms and one bathroom, with plenty of potential to reimagine the space and restore its character. The detached two-car garage offers additional storage, workshop space, or parking. Bring your tools, creativity, and ideas—this property is the perfect palette for painting your imagination. With the rig

Key facts

  • 5,684 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $233k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-459/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (2.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.9% in Tacoma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#127 in WA, #2,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
  • Tacoma School District (urban): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #169 of 291 in WA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stanley Elementary School (336 students, 66% FRL); Hilltop Heritage Middle School (524 students, 60% FRL); Tacoma School of The Arts (624 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $206,919 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$409,968
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1820 S Sprague Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 949 (0%) 1mo $290,000 $306 100
2113 S Wilkeson St 0.30mi 3/1.0 955 (+1%) 1mo $400,000 $419 85
1807 S Sprague Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 864 (-9%) 4mo $350,000 $405 79
1722 S Cushman Ave Unit B 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+1%) 2mo $425,000 $443 75
2123 S Wilkeson St 0.31mi 3/1.0 879 (-7%) 0mo $379,950 $432 73
2532 S Ainsworth Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 975 (+3%) 0mo $330,000 $338 66
2533 S Grant Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 952 (+0%) 2mo $425,000 $446 65
1706 S Fife St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,051 (+11%) 1mo $280,000 $266 64
1901 S Hosmer St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 812 (-14%) 4mo $385,000 $474 63
1310 S Pine St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+6%) 2mo $448,900 $445 58
1241 S State St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-14%) 1mo $376,212 $461 53
2355 S Hosmer St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,077 (+14%) 3mo $440,000 $409 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-38,230
Equity at exit
$34,741
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-28,240
Equity at exit
$20,146

Cash invested: $65,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98405

Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,069 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,222
Tax from tax record
$354 /mo · $4,247/yr
Insurance
$97
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$-38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,118
Max offer price $226,249
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $94 -5% $28 +0% $-38 +5% $-104 +10% $-170
Rent -10% $-202 -5% $-120 +0% $-38 +5% $44 +10% $125
Rate -1.0pp $79 -0.5pp $21 base $-38 +0.5pp $-99 +1.0pp $-160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,250
Closing costs
$6,990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1823 S Sprague Ave Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 768 $2,400 $3.12 26d 1 0.02mi
1823 S Sprague Ave Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 768 $2,400 $3.12 1d 1 0.02mi
1541 S Ridgewood Ave Tacoma, WA 3.0 1.0 915 $2,200 $2.40 4d 1 0.21mi
1541 S Ridgewood Ave Tacoma, WA 3.0 1.0 915 $2,200 $2.40 1d 1 0.21mi
1801 S 15th St Tacoma, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 567 $1,499 $2.64 1d 7 0.32mi
1402 Earnest S Brazill St Unit H Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 580 $1,395 $2.41 3d 1 0.60mi
1402 Earnest S Brazill St Apt G Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 580 $1,295 $2.23 3d 1 0.60mi
1316 S 25th St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 848 $1,895 $2.23 26d 1 0.65mi
1711 S 9th St Unit B Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 1d 1 0.72mi
1711 S 9th St Unit A Tacoma, WA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,595 $1.53 1d 1 0.72mi
1111 S L St Tacoma, WA 3.0 2.0 1055 $1,779 $1.69 4d 3 0.73mi
630-632 S State St Apt 1 Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 792 $1,625 $2.05 26d 1 0.79mi
630-632 S State St Unit 2 Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 792 $1,695 $2.14 15d 1 0.79mi
630-632 S State St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 792 $1,625 $2.05 16d 1 0.79mi
630-632 S State St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 792 $1,695 $2.14 15d 1 0.79mi
1011 S 11th St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 839 $2,805 $3.34 0d 18 0.85mi
2416 S I St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 745 $1,495 $2.01 26d 1 0.86mi
1506 S G St Unit 3 Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,450 $1.93 3d 1 0.91mi
1502 S G St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 764 $1,595 $2.09 9d 1 0.91mi
1121 S I St Unit 1121-300 Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 703 $1,095 $1.56 6d 1 0.91mi
2503 S I St Tacoma, WA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,480 $1.71 4d 2 0.93mi
3301 S Asotin St Unit B Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,295 $1.52 26d 1 0.96mi
920 S 9th St Unit 3 Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 26d 1 0.97mi
3303 S Ainsworth Ave Unit A Tacoma, WA 3.0 2.0 1030 $2,180 $2.12 26d 1 0.99mi
1915 Tacoma Ave S Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 669 $2,607 $3.89 0d 72 0.99mi
1402 Tacoma Ave S Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 533 $2,165 $4.06 0d 19 1.00mi
1515 Tacoma Ave S Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 769 $2,610 $3.39 0d 13 1.00mi
640 N Prospect St Unit D Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.5 850 $1,825 $2.15 26d 1 1.01mi
1502 Fawcett Ave Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 903 $3,725 $4.13 16d 21 1.04mi
1210 Tacoma Ave S Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 751 $2,236 $2.98 1d 12 1.04mi
3701 S 18th St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 1050 $2,395 $2.28 16d 1 1.05mi
2125 S Adams St Unit Top Floor Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 9d 1 1.05mi
908 N Grant Ave Unit 908A Tacoma, WA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,330 $2.59 26d 1 1.07mi
411 S 15th St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 500 $2,250 $4.50 1d 5 1.09mi
902 S 7th St Apt 7 Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 540 $1,399 $2.59 23d 1 1.09mi
409 S 23rd St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 565 $1,880 $3.33 4d 30 1.11mi
603 S J St Tacoma, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 805 $2,367 $2.94 0d 4 1.12mi
1516 N 9th St Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 845 $1,950 $2.31 15d 1 1.14mi
1708 S Durango St Unit B Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 840 $1,730 $2.06 26d 1 1.18mi
401 N M St Unit C Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,395 $1.94 16d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-16
    listed $233,000 Active
  3. 2021-09-15
    soldstatus $345,000 Closed
  4. 2021-08-02
    status Pending
  5. 2021-07-29
    listed $329,900 Active
  6. 2015-02-15
    historical
  7. 2015-02-13
    soldstatus $119,500
  8. 2015-01-24
    status Pending
  9. 2015-01-15
    status Pending Inspection
  10. 2014-11-14
    price
  11. 2014-10-18
    listed Active
  12. 2009-03-25
    soldstatus $97,900 Sold
  13. 2009-02-04
    historical
  14. 2009-01-22
    listed $99,900
  15. 2006-09-05
    soldstatus $168,400
  16. 2004-05-28
    soldstatus $110,500
  17. 2004-05-28
    soldstatus $110,500
  18. 2004-02-22
    listed $109,950
  19. 1991-08-22
    soldstatus $53,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,247 · $354/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,247 · $354/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,830
− Mortgage interest
−$13,052
− Property taxes
−$4,247
− Insurance
−$1,165
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,986
− Management
−$1,986
− Depreciation
−$6,778
Taxable loss
−$4,384
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,052
After-tax cash flow
$594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tacoma School District
NCES district ID
5308700
Math proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$52,467
Composite
42.25/100
National rank
#6987
State rank
#169 of 291 in WA

Livability — Tacoma

Score
78/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#2535

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tacoma, WA
County
Pierce County · 788,257 people
City population
212,935
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
25,939
Household income
$75,946
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1313.0

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
956,648 people
By 2030
1,010,862 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,113,170 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,206,524 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,436,425 · +50.2%
By 2100
1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Scottish 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -570.22%
Current HPI
378.3973
Rent YoY
▲ 3.90%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+339.6% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $233,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-15 Sold (MLS) $345,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-02 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-29 Listed $329,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-15 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $119,500 Public Records
  • 2015-01-24 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-15 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-14 Price Changed NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-18 Listed NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-25 Sold (MLS) $97,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-04 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-01-22 Listed $99,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $168,400 Public Records
  • 2004-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $110,500 Public Records
  • 2004-05-28 Sold (MLS) $110,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-02-22 Listed $109,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1991-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,247 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…