918 Dickenson Ave · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 918 Dickenson Avenue! This 2 Bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Whether you are looking for a comfortable primary residence close to the University of South Alabama or for a profitable investment property, this unit is just right. A Little TLC will make this unit sparkle. It's just the right size for someone single, to have a roommate, or for a small family. White kitchen with plenty of cabinets. The half-bath is right off the kitchen. Screened in porch with concrete floor. The laundry room is off the porch. Continue out onto a nice size deck with a very manageable yard. With a little work you will have a cute and comfortable place to ca
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Manageable yard
- White kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in Pinehurst Villas subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1 parking space; Kitchen-level parking access
- Utilities: Electricity available (110 volts); Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Built in 1983; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick on three sides; Other exterior materials
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Wood fence; View
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; His-and-hers closets; Open floorplan (dining area)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (6.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Er Dickson Elementary School (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #409 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 1,038 students, 67% FRL); Wp Davidson High School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 1,535 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $88k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,620
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 962 Dickenson Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 | 1,245 (+9%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $84 | 74 |
| 1251 Henckley Ave #101 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 0mo | $134,000 | $124 | 58 |
| 1251 Henckley Ave #103 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 0mo | $134,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 6050 Grelot Rd #210 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 5mo | $143,350 | $133 | 54 |
| 1250 Henckley Ave #103 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 12mo | $149,000 | $138 | 51 |
| 1251 Henckley Ave #109 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $144 | 50 |
| 1258 Sutton Ct #4 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,213 (+6%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $153 | 48 |
| 1251 Henckley Ave #106 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 15mo | $137,900 | $128 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-11,570
- Equity at exit
- $18,340
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $848
- Equity at exit
- $10,635
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36609
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,151 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $992/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $130
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $165 | +0% $130 | +5% $96 | +10% $61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $39 | -5% $85 | +0% $130 | +5% $176 | +10% $221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $162 | base $130 | +0.5pp $99 | +1.0pp $66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6200 Airport Blvd Apt 6 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6200 Airport Blvd Unit 48 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6200 Airport Blvd Unit 56 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6427 Airport Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1214 | $1,387 | $1.14 | 45d | 10 | 0.50mi |
| 6700 Wall St Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1231 | $1,249 | $1.01 | 14d | 6 | 0.55mi |
| 6200 Airport Blvd Apt 174 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6075 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,215 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1601 Hillcrest Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,603 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5900 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1259 | $1,600 | $1.27 | 14d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 1663 Hillcrest Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,140 | $1.16 | 14d | 6 | 0.97mi |
| 4670 Rosewood Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6474B Cedar Bend Ct Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1651 Knollwood Dr Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,247 | $1.49 | 14d | 16 | 1.21mi |
| 6701 Dickens Ferry Rd #30 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1342 | $1,395 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1 Country Ln Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,221 | $1.44 | 14d | 10 | 1.26mi |
| 6451 Old Shell Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,061 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4657 Barbara Mitchell Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 101 Foreman Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,059 | $1.27 | 45d | 9 | 1.29mi |
| 701 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $1,093 | $1.58 | 22d | 10 | 1.30mi |
| 133 East Dr Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,024 | $1.25 | 14d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 6601 Old Shell Rd Unit 3 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5809 Old Shell Rd Unit B2 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $123,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $123,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $123,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $123,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $123,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$123,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$992
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,105
- − Management
- −$1,105
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable loss
- −$472
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$113
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,820
- Household income
- $49,830
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1379.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.06%
- Current HPI
- 200.0811
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+39.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $123,000 GCMLS AL
- 2009-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $992 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…