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1 Tilley Ct
B- Composite 67.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

1 Tilley Ct · Greensboro, NC 27402
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,238 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1973 10,018 sqft lot Est $249k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 4 bedroom, i 1/2 bath need some tender loving care. Conveniently located near the highway and bus line. An investor could put their skills to work. The owners are in the process of moving. Everything will be cleared within a week. To be SOLD AS IS!!!!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1973
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Summit Hills subdivision; Directions: North on Summit Ave, Right on Ludwick, Left on Vincent, Right on Tilley Ct
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association (association listed as 'Greensboro' but association not active)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Single-story house; Stick/site-built residential structure; Built in 1973; Existing structure
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.23 acres with irregular dimensions (83 x 113 x 92 x 117); Public-maintained road frontage; Public water source; No pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); No central cooling listed
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Brightwood Elementary (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,153 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 516 students, 99% FRL); Northeast Guilford Middle (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #427 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 780 students, 100% FRL); Northeast Guilford High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #445 of 535 statewide, top 84%, 959 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $150k implies a 534% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.34%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$248,838
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3708 Murchie St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,255 (+1%) 1mo $214,525 $171 77
4402 Southern Webbing Mill Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,240 (+0%) 12mo $255,000 $206 76
4507 Holland Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,262 (+2%) 1mo $260,000 $206 75
1718 Fern Hill Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,240 (+0%) 7mo $202,000 $163 61
4003 Martin Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+1%) 9mo $219,900 $176 60
4614 Southern Webbing Mill Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,116 (-10%) 8mo $225,000 $202 57
4803 Troxler Rd 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,238 (0%) 9mo $249,000 $201 56
4530 Holland Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,078 (-13%) 6mo $212,000 $197 50
3562 Cherry Ln 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,125 (-9%) 1mo $259,999 $231 45
1806 Glenside Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,104 (-11%) 3mo $225,000 $204 45
4102 Pineneedle Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (+10%) 5mo $218,900 $161 42
9 Jans Ct 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,407 (+14%) 6mo $245,000 $174 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$34,389
Equity at exit
$67,446
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$99,482
Equity at exit
$103,943

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27402

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,522 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,158/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,197
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $342 -5% $299 +0% $257 +5% $214 +10% $172
Rent -10% $136 -5% $197 +0% $257 +5% $317 +10% $377
Rate -1.0pp $332 -0.5pp $295 base $257 +0.5pp $218 +1.0pp $178

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1811 Cody Ave Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 20d 1 0.33mi
1811 Cody Ave Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 25d 1 0.33mi
2008 Glenside Dr Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,600 $1.54 25d 1 0.56mi
1631 Glenside Dr Greensboro, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 888 $1,099 $1.24 16d 3 0.78mi
1631 Glenside Dr Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,099 $0.92 25d 1 0.78mi
2100 Parks St Greensboro, NC 4.0 2.0 1187 $1,710 $1.44 20d 1 0.82mi
3409 N O.Henry Blvd Greensboro, NC 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 925 $1,475 $1.59 16d 6 0.88mi
3206 Spring St Greensboro, NC 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 23d 1 1.11mi
4100 US Highway 29 N Greensboro, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 928 $1,529 $1.65 25d 1 1.24mi
3128 Utah Pl Greensboro, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $1,375 $1.28 25d 6 1.31mi
1373 Lees Chapel Rd Greensboro, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,471 $1.51 16d 19 1.37mi
109 Lemon Ln Greensboro, NC 3.0 3.0 1418 $2,000 $1.41 25d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-11
    listed $150,000 Active
  3. 1977-06-01
    soldstatus $23,669

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,158 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,230 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$72/yr (+$6/mo · 6.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,264
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,158
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,461
− Management
−$1,461
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$160
After-tax cash flow
$2,921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greensboro, NC

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+533.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $150,000 Triad MLS
  • 1977-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,669 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,158 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…