🏷️ Likely Rental
1573 Charlestown Dr · Edgewood, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GUIDED TOUR FRIDAY, MAY 15, 2026 BEGINNING PROMPTLY AT 12:00 PM List price is opening bid. Online Auction Only! Bidding begins Thursday, May 14 and ends Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM. Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the established Harford Square community in Edgewood. This well-designed home offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living. Enjoy the benefits of a low-maintenance lifestyle with community amenities and convenient access to major commuter routes like I-95 and Route 24. Shopping, dining, and everyday essentials are just minutes away. Property is currently tenant-occupied (rented @ $2,100/mo), making it a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income in a convenient Harford County location.
Key facts
- $85 HOA
- Built 1972
- Listed 49 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 5.3% in Edgewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#118 in MD, #4,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, crime F.
- Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.46%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,426
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -54.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1471 Charlestown Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (0%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $181 | 92 |
| 1443 Charlestown Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (0%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $190 | 86 |
| 620 Yorkshire Dr | 0.17mi | 3/3.0 | 1,240 (0%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $194 | 84 |
| 1421 Saint Michael Ct | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-1%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $204 | 84 |
| 1415 St Christopher Ct | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (-1%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $188 | 81 |
| 1513 Saint Christopher Ct | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (-1%) | 7mo | $237,000 | $194 | 76 |
| 618 Yorkshire Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,208 (-3%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $166 | 76 |
| 1407 Harford Square Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (+12%) | 1mo | $224,000 | $162 | 66 |
| 982 Topview Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,278 (+3%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 803 Angel Valley Ct | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,325 (+7%) | 0mo | $223,000 | $168 | 53 |
| 815 W Spring Meadow Ct W | 0.52mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,110 (-10%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $171 | 46 |
| 844 Angel Valley Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (-10%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $214 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $34,172
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $104,701
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21040
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,856 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,486/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$85
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $720
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $773 | -5% $746 | +0% $720 | +5% $693 | +10% $666 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $573 | -5% $646 | +0% $720 | +5% $793 | +10% $866 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $767 | -0.5pp $744 | base $720 | +0.5pp $695 | +1.0pp $670 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1523 Charlestown Dr Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1501 Saint Christopher Ct Edgewood, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 802 Kingston Ct Edgewood, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1007 | $1,883 | $1.87 | 2d | 15 | 0.33mi |
| 719 Woodbridge Center Way Edgewood, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $2,700 | $2.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 805 Windstream Way Unit 805B Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,450 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 807 Windstream Way Unit 807-C Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 807 W Spring Meadow Ct Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 962 Topview Dr Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1278 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1703 Fountain Rock Way Unit 1703-B Edgewood, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 905 Swallow Crest Ct Unit E Edgewood, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,495 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1772 Judy Way Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $2,195 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1857 Simons Ct Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2033 Armstrong St Edgewood, MD | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,766 | $1.77 | 2d | 6 | 1.09mi |
| 2120 Cedar Dr Apt F Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $85 · $1,020/yr
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-10$95,000 Active 789-char remark
Show marketing remark (789 chars)
GUIDED TOUR FRIDAY, MAY 15, 2026 BEGINNING PROMPTLY AT 12:00 PM List price is opening bid. Online Auction Only! Bidding begins Thursday, May 14 and ends Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM. Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the established Harford Square community in Edgewood. This well-designed home offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for everyday living. Enjoy the benefits of a low-maintenance lifestyle with community amenities and convenient access to major commuter routes like I-95 and Route 24. Shopping, dining, and everyday essentials are just minutes away. Property is currently tenant-occupied (rented @ $2,100/mo), making it a great opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income in a convenient Harford County location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,486 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,486 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,486
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,782
- − Management
- −$1,782
- − HOA
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $7,641
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,834
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harford County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400390
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,569
- Composite
- 29.38/100
- National rank
- #6527
- State rank
- #9 of 24 in MD
Livability — Edgewood
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #4991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewood, MD
- County
- Harford County · 198,512 people
- City population
- 24,960
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,960
- Household income
- $81,704
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 859.0
Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,292 people
- By 2030
- 266,437 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 269,954 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 265,659 · +1.3%
- By 2075
- 252,886 · -3.6%
- By 2100
- 224,014 · -14.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 36% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harford
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.14%
- Current HPI
- 254.2305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,486 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…