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117 Bears Den Rd #84
B Composite 72.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,900

117 Bears Den Rd #84 · Wells, ME 04090
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 414 sqft · Manufactured public records · 28 Days on market
Built 2001 $325/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Do not wait! Just in time for the start of the beach season. This camp was built in 2001 and is in like new condition. Chariot Eagle is a top rated model and this unit has been totally and tastefully updated. The floor plan is flexible use the 8X15 3 season room as a second bedroom if you need more sleeping space. . There is a 8X16 screened in room providing a relaxing place to read a book and enjoy the cool night air. All of this situated in Bears Den Park & Community. The park offers pool, horseshoe pit, fitness room, clubhouse, putting green, croquet court, fire pits and coin laundry. Close to the beach, shopping and all southern Maine attractions. The seasonal fee is 3,899 and inc

Key facts

  • 3 season room
  • Clubhouse
  • Screened in room

Tags

3 SEASON ROOMSCREENED IN ROOMPOOLFITNESS ROOMCLUBHOUSEPUTTING GREEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease (yes)
  • HOA & community: Has association; annual fee of $3,899

Exterior

  • Parking: No driveway; On-site parking
  • Utilities: Private sewer; Private/seasonal water
  • Home design: Mobile home; Built in 2001; Pitched shingle roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Near golf course; Near public beach; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not separately specified)
  • Flooring: Vinyl plank flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Direct vent heater; Central air conditioning; Circuit breaker electrical system; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Furnished; Internet access available
  • Laundry & utility: Coin laundry on site

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $776 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $65k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,911 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.89%
Cap rate
20.43%
Cash-on-cash
50.50%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$24,012
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
117 Bears Den Rd #57 0.00mi 1/1.0 396 (-4%) 8mo $37,500 $95 86
117 Bears Den Rd #34 0.00mi 1/1.0 450 (+9%) 9mo $26,000 $58 78
117 Bears Den Rd #16 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 384 (-7%) 20mo $20,000 $52 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.4%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$38,971
Equity at exit
$9,826
10-year hold
IRR
54.0%
Equity multiple
6.33×
Total profit
$98,411
Equity at exit
$5,698

Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04090

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,904 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$346
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $356/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$325
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$776

Break-even live

Break-even rent $921
Max offer price $65,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,475
Closing costs
$1,977
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$325 · $3,900/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,900 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,900 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,900 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,900 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,900 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,900 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,900 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,900 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,900 Active 9 DOM
  17. 2026-05-21
    listed $65,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$356 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$626 · $52/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$23/mo · 75.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,848
− Mortgage interest
−$3,691
− Property taxes
−$356
− Insurance
−$330
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,828
− Management
−$1,828
− HOA
−$3,900
− Depreciation
−$1,917
Taxable income
$8,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,160
After-tax cash flow
$7,158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wells-Ogunquit CSD
NCES district ID
2313490
Math proficiency
87% ▲ 42.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 26.00%
Median HH income
$61,341
Composite
75.79/100
National rank
#125
State rank
#32 of 112 in ME

Livability — Wells

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,544

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.52%
Current HPI
413.9951
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $65,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $356 · +22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…