Duplex
2618 S 5th St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks with this centrally located duplex at 2618 S 5th St! This vacant, move-in-ready property features two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom units—perfect for investors or savvy buyers looking to house hack. Each unit offers a functional layout and recent updates throughout. The property also includes a rare 2-car garage, providing added value and convenience. Situated close to downtown, UofL, and major highways, this location offers quick access to everything Louisville has to offer. Priced at just $220,000, this is a fantastic opportunity to build wealth through real estate.
Key facts
- Rare 2 car garage
- Two spacious units
- Recent updates
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: CHURCHILL
- Financial info: Separate meters (useful for multi-unit occupancy/tenant billing)
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; 2 parking spaces (2-car garage)
- Utilities: Natural gas; Owner pays water; Tenant pays cable, electric, and gas
- Home design: Duplex; Cape Cod architectural style; Shingle roof; Built in 1925; Approximately 1,710 total building area; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 200
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Originally built in 1925
- Exterior features: Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first level; Kitchen on the second level
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 2 bedrooms on the first level; 2 bedrooms on the second level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath on the first level; 1 full bath on the second level; No partial baths reported
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel; Radiant heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Basement present; Separate meters; Additional storage available
- Laundry & utility: Two furnaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $195/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,222/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $141k; list at $215k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.77%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $213,750
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3006 S 3rd St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,797 (+5%) | 15mo | $200,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 2806 S 4th St | 0.18mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-6%) | 13mo | $199,900 | $125 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,993
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $60,020
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40208
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 16.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,222 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,780/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $512 | -5% $451 | +0% $390 | +5% $329 | +10% $268 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $302 | +0% $390 | +5% $478 | +10% $565 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $498 | -0.5pp $445 | base $390 | +0.5pp $334 | +1.0pp $278 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,222 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,111 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,111 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,222 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2718 S 5th St Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2196 | $1,600 | $0.73 | 12d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 315 M St Unit 101 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2718 S 3rd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,800 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2711 S 3rd St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2501 S 4th St Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 897 | $6,345 | $7.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 510 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 516 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1147 Lincoln Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,295 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3102 Grant Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2 Eutropia Ct Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1244 Algonquin Pkwy Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1136 | $1,400 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3860 Southern Pkwy Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 310 W Kenton St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2125 Crittenden Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1501 Bellamy Pl Louisville, KY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1074 | $2,676 | $2.49 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1505 Homeview Dr Louisville, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1949 | $1,850 | $0.95 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4007 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 414 W Hill St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 551 Denmark St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 925 W Evelyn Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2207 James Pirtle Ct Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 883 | $1,458 | $1.65 | 4d | 17 | 1.13mi |
| 1445 S 2nd St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 523 Rawlings St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4133 S 5th St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,435 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1382 S 1st St Unit 1382-10 Carriage House Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1522 Clara Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 825 Parkway Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $1,600 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18status $215,000 Pending 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $215,000
-
2026-04-14$220,000 Active
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2026-02-19$209,900 Active
-
2026-02-04price $209,900
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-10-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-09-08$220,000 Active
-
2025-07-07price $220,000
-
2024-11-21historical
-
2024-09-25price $235,000
-
2024-08-23$240,000 Active
-
2024-03-26status Pending
-
2024-03-26soldstatus $141,300 Closed
-
2024-02-09historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-02-08$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,780 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,849 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$69/yr (+$6/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,780
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,133
- − Management
- −$2,133
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $1,244
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$299
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $39,560
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.97%
- Current HPI
- 240.6261
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+48.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $215,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $220,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $209,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $209,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-10-25 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2025-09-08 Listed $220,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-07-07 Price Changed $220,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-11-21 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-09-25 Price Changed $235,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-08-23 Listed $240,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-03-26 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-03-26 Sold (MLS) $141,300 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-09 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-08 Listed $145,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,780 · +84.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…