343 Ceralvo · San Antonio, TX 78207

$129,500

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,081 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market

Built 1945 9,408 sqft lot $120/sqft · 23% below area Est $169k · 23% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.1/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +6.1/10.0
• DSCR +5.7/10.0
• Rent growth +4.4/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special with tons of potential! This property is being sold AS IS and is perfect for investors or buyers looking to create their own home with a little vision and work. Situated on a spacious lot, the property features a large yard with mature pecan trees, offering plenty of room for expansion, outdoor living, or future improvements. Conveniently located with easy access to major expressways and just minutes from Downtown San Antonio, making commuting and city amenities easily accessible. Whether you're looking for your next investment project or a place to customize to your liking, this property offers a great opportunity in a growing area.

Key facts

• Mature pecan trees
• Large yard
• Spacious lot

Tags

• SPACIOUS LOT
• LARGE YARD
• MATURE PECAN TREES
• GROWING AREA

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
• Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
• San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,443/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 2789% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $14k of equity ($895 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $121,730 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.36%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.79%
• DSCR: 1.17
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $168,624
• List price: $129,500
• Delta: -23.20%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
337 Pendleton	0.31mi	3/1.0	1,044 (-3%)	11mo	$70,000	$67	71
2114 S Trinity St	0.12mi	2/1.0 (-1)	960 (-11%)	8mo	$163,500	$170	65
141 Goodwin	0.31mi	3/2.0	1,148 (+6%)	11mo	$130,000	$113	62
643 Mercedes St	0.26mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,152 (+7%)	15mo	$180,000	$156	59
319 Roslyn	0.62mi	3/2.0	1,150 (+6%)	3mo	$199,000	$173	54
1506 Chihuahua	0.64mi	3/1.0	995 (-8%)	7mo	$155,000	$156	51
135 Lansing Ln	0.67mi	3/2.0	1,040 (-4%)	10mo	$169,700	$163	50
1619 Potosi	0.70mi	3/1.5	1,127 (+4%)	12mo	$120,000	$106	49
144 Cumberland Rd	0.67mi	3/1.0	1,110 (+3%)	18mo	$110,000	$99	49
554 Cumberland Rd	0.38mi	2/1.0 (-1)	993 (-8%)	18mo	$195,000	$196	48
530 Kirk Pl	0.74mi	3/2.0	1,144 (+6%)	6mo	$215,000	$188	47
514 Roslyn Ave	0.59mi	3/3.0	1,179 (+9%)	18mo	$229,995	$195	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 29.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.35×
• Total profit: $85,129
• Equity at exit: $116,664

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.9%
• Equity multiple: 8.25×
• Total profit: $262,795
• Equity at exit: $251,590

Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78207

• Home prices YoY: 15.2%
• Rents YoY: 7.7%
• Active inventory: 154
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,443 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$679
• Tax from tax record: −$293 /mo · $3,511/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$303
• Net cashflow: $115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,298

Max offer price $129,500

Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,375
• Closing costs: $3,885
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
319 Noria St San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	1002	$1,100	$1.10	24d	1	0.18mi
231 Ceralvo St Unit Na San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1160	$1,695	$1.46	43d	1	0.22mi
333 Frio City Rd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	1350	$1,350	$1.00	11d	1	0.23mi
1938 S Zarzamora St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	955	$1,102	$1.15	3d	1	0.40mi
542 Drake Ave San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1368	$1,875	$1.37	43d	1	0.42mi
2003 S Zarzamora St San Antonio, TX	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1028	$1,257	$1.22	24d	1	0.44mi
2406 S Laredo St San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	944	$1,200	$1.27	15d	1	0.47mi
410 N Park Blvd San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1326	$1,650	$1.24	43d	1	0.56mi
242 Drake Ave Unit 242 San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1472	$1,700	$1.15	43d	1	0.62mi
1901 S San Marcos Unit 710 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	985	$1,147	$1.16	3d	1	0.66mi
329 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	862	$2,200	$2.55	1d	1	0.71mi
450 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	883	$1,295	$1.47	43d	1	0.74mi
626 Kirk Pl San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	912	$1,100	$1.21	20d	1	0.75mi
602 Chihuahua St San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	783	$1,150	$1.47	43d	1	0.84mi
614 Chihuahua St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1082	$1,400	$1.29	43d	1	0.87mi
843 Brady Blvd San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	864	$1,650	$1.91	24d	1	0.91mi
222 Glass Ave San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1007	$2,400	$2.38	43d	1	0.93mi
438 Pruitt Ave #1 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	980	$1,245	$1.27	43d	1	0.99mi
815 Ripford St San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	728	$1,300	$1.79	4d	1	1.00mi
218 Tampico St San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0–2.0	808	$1,623	$2.01	2d	28	1.00mi
439 W Lubbock St San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1288	$1,635	$1.27	24d	1	1.02mi
439 W Lubbock St San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1288	$1,620	$1.26	3d	1	1.02mi
205 Mockert San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	864	$1,050	$1.22	24d	1	1.06mi
2311 Potosi St San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	864	$1,600	$1.85	43d	1	1.07mi
1135 Ceralvo St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1164	$1,450	$1.25	4d	1	1.07mi
1135 Ceralvo St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1164	$1,450	$1.25	22d	1	1.07mi
1209 El Paso St San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	966	$975	$1.01	24d	1	1.09mi
1823 San Carlos St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1090	$1,099	$1.01	2d	1	1.09mi
308 Keller St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1296	$3,400	$2.62	43d	1	1.11mi
1102 El Paso St San Antonio, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	888	$1,437	$1.62	3d	1	1.11mi
2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	700	$1,250	$1.79	15d	1	1.12mi
305 Keller St Unit NA San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,800	$1.50	15d	1	1.13mi
150 Hearne San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	1044	$1,400	$1.34	24d	1	1.14mi
302 W Cevallos Unit 1 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	1132	$1,550	$1.37	24d	1	1.16mi
509 S Trinity St San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	921	$1,300	$1.41	4d	1	1.18mi
1711 W Cesar E Chavez Blvd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	800	$1,275	$1.59	43d	1	1.24mi
463 Linares St San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0	1220	$1,400	$1.15	24d	1	1.24mi
939 S Frio St Unit 2294 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	931	$1,467	$1.58	3d	1	1.24mi
214 Aztec St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	973	$1,275	$1.31	15d	1	1.25mi
120 Bank St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1035	$1,495	$1.44	43d	1	1.26mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $129,500 Active 82 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $129,500 Active 81 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $129,500 Active 80 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $129,500 Active 79 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $129,500 Active 77 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $129,500 Active 73 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $129,500 Active 72 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $129,500 Active 71 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $129,500 Active 68 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,500 Active 67 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,500 Active 66 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,500 Active 65 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,500 Active 64 DOM
14. 2026-03-28
    listed $129,500 New 661-char remark

    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential! This property is being sold AS IS and is perfect for investors or buyers looking to create their own home with a little vision and work. Situated on a spacious lot, the property features a large yard with mature pecan trees, offering plenty of room for expansion, outdoor living, or future improvements. Conveniently located with easy access to major expressways and just minutes from Downtown San Antonio, making commuting and city amenities easily accessible. Whether you're looking for your next investment project or a place to customize to your liking, this property offers a great opportunity in a growing area.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,511 · $293/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,511 · $293/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,321
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,254
• − Property taxes: −$3,511
• − Insurance: −$648
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,386
• − Management: −$1,386
• − Depreciation: −$3,767
• Taxable loss: −$630
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$151
• After-tax cash flow: $1,527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: San Antonio ISD
• NCES district ID: 4838730
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -21.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $30,952
• Composite: 13.57/100
• National rank: #9512
• State rank: #805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #31
• US rank: #1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: San Antonio, TX
• County: Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
• City population: 1,806,925
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• Population (ZIP): 55,474
• Household income: $32,472
• Rent vs Own: 59.7% rent · 40.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 2789.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,336,851 people
• By 2030: 2,560,728 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 3,020,569 · +29.3%
• By 2050: 3,493,522 · +49.5%
• By 2075: 4,668,459 · +99.8%
• By 2100: 5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 79%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada
• Languages at home: 39% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 34.92%
• Current HPI: 264.7559
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.73%
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-28 Listed $129,500 LERA

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,511 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.