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4 Bed 2 Bath Double Section Plan
B Composite 70.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,900

4 Bed 2 Bath Double Section Plan · Chesterfield, MI 48051
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured · 97 Days on market
Good condition $53/sqft · 98% above area ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the home of your dreams at Carriage Way in Chesterfield, MI! Nestled where convenience intertwines with vibrancy, this community offers unparalleled access to the Hall Road (M-59) Corridor, unlocking a world of premier retail shopping and a plethora of amenities. Indulge in a variety of stores, restaurants, and a bustling shopping mall right at your doorstep. Enjoy top-rated institutions such as Francis A. Higgins Elementary and L'Anse Creuse Middle School East. Venture just 15 minutes away and find yourself immersed in the natural splendor of Anchor Bay's stunning parks and the charming town of New Baltimore. Bask in a lifestyle tailored just for you at Carriage Way. Revel in our banquet facilities, inviting clubhouse, pet-friendly environments, and a playground that promises endless fun. Our community is dotted with open green spaces and features a shimmering swimming pool for your enjoyment. Community well-being is our priority at Carriage Way. Relish the advantages of on-site management, prompt maintenance services, a streamlined home-buying experience at our sales office, and a secure mail center ensuring peace of mind. Reach out to us today for an exclusive tour and experience the enchantment firsthand!

Key facts

  • Variety of stores
  • Anchor bay parks
  • Listed 97 days

Tags

PREMIER RETAIL SHOPPINGVARIETY OF STORESBUSTLING SHOPPING MALLTOP-RATED INSTITUTIONSFRANCIS A HIGGINS ELEMENTARYANCHOR BAY PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • L'Anse Creuse Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #184 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $80,899 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
15.28%
Cash-on-cash
32.11%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,900
List price
$88,900
Delta
98.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
52522 Potamac Ct 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (0%) 7mo $50,000 $30 84
29636 Cambridge Ct 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-11%) 6mo $44,900 $30 64
52529 Pineview Cir 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-13%) 9mo $163,000 $112 57
52193 Harrisburg Ln 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,563 (-7%) 24mo $62,000 $40 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$28,038
Equity at exit
$13,255
10-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$79,135
Equity at exit
$7,686

Cash invested: $24,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48051

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,621 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$466
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$666

Break-even live

Break-even rent $778
Max offer price $88,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,225
Closing costs
$2,667
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
52436 Winston Ct Unit 209 Chesterfield, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,479 $1.40 43d 1 0.07mi
29909 Flushing Dr Unit 71 New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,669 $1.16 16d 1 0.09mi
29811 W Essex Ct Unit 114 New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,729 $1.19 43d 1 0.09mi
29778 W Essex Ct Unit 109 New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,469 $1.39 43d 1 0.12mi
29810 W Essex Ct Unit 107 New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,439 $1.36 5d 1 0.12mi
29805 Jamestown Dr Unit 435 New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,739 $1.29 1d 1 0.14mi
29638 Danbury Ct Unit 240 New Baltimore, MI 4.0 2.0 1568 $1,749 $1.12 43d 1 0.15mi
52167 Williamsburg Ln Unit 355 New Baltimore, MI 4.0 2.0 1680 $1,739 $1.04 43d 1 0.18mi
29652 Cambridge Ct Unit 253 New Baltimore, MI 4.0 2.0 1680 $1,729 $1.03 1d 1 0.18mi
52780 S Zacharias Ct Unit 152 Chesterfield, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,499 $1.42 1d 1 0.19mi
52792 S Zacharias Ct Unit 151 Chesterfield, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,479 $1.40 1d 1 0.20mi
29649 Cambridge Ct Unit 256 New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,579 $1.37 1d 1 0.20mi
52705 Van Buren Dr Unit 297 Chesterfield, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,479 $1.40 1d 1 0.21mi
52871 N Zacharias Ct Unit 161 Chesterfield, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,519 $1.32 1d 1 0.24mi
52962 N Yorktown Ct Unit 168 Chesterfield, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,519 $1.44 1d 1 0.27mi
28220 Delano Dr New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,895 $1.18 24d 1 0.97mi
28260 Delano Dr New Baltimore, MI 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,850 $1.16 43d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,900 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,900 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,900 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,900 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,900 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,900 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $88,900 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $88,900 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,900 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $88,900 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $88,900 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $88,900 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $88,900 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $88,900 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-04-08
    price $89,900 1237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1237 chars)

    Discover the home of your dreams at Carriage Way in Chesterfield, MI! Nestled where convenience intertwines with vibrancy, this community offers unparalleled access to the Hall Road (M-59) Corridor, unlocking a world of premier retail shopping and a plethora of amenities. Indulge in a variety of stores, restaurants, and a bustling shopping mall right at your doorstep. Enjoy top-rated institutions such as Francis A. Higgins Elementary and L'Anse Creuse Middle School East. Venture just 15 minutes away and find yourself immersed in the natural splendor of Anchor Bay's stunning parks and the charming town of New Baltimore. Bask in a lifestyle tailored just for you at Carriage Way. Revel in our banquet facilities, inviting clubhouse, pet-friendly environments, and a playground that promises endless fun. Our community is dotted with open green spaces and features a shimmering swimming pool for your enjoyment. Community well-being is our priority at Carriage Way. Relish the advantages of on-site management, prompt maintenance services, a streamlined home-buying experience at our sales office, and a secure mail center ensuring peace of mind. Reach out to us today for an exclusive tour and experience the enchantment firsthand!

  16. 2026-03-13
    listed $95,900 Active 1237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1237 chars)

    Discover the home of your dreams at Carriage Way in Chesterfield, MI! Nestled where convenience intertwines with vibrancy, this community offers unparalleled access to the Hall Road (M-59) Corridor, unlocking a world of premier retail shopping and a plethora of amenities. Indulge in a variety of stores, restaurants, and a bustling shopping mall right at your doorstep. Enjoy top-rated institutions such as Francis A. Higgins Elementary and L'Anse Creuse Middle School East. Venture just 15 minutes away and find yourself immersed in the natural splendor of Anchor Bay's stunning parks and the charming town of New Baltimore. Bask in a lifestyle tailored just for you at Carriage Way. Revel in our banquet facilities, inviting clubhouse, pet-friendly environments, and a playground that promises endless fun. Our community is dotted with open green spaces and features a shimmering swimming pool for your enjoyment. Community well-being is our priority at Carriage Way. Relish the advantages of on-site management, prompt maintenance services, a streamlined home-buying experience at our sales office, and a secure mail center ensuring peace of mind. Reach out to us today for an exclusive tour and experience the enchantment firsthand!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,449
− Mortgage interest
−$4,980
− Property taxes
−$1,334
− Insurance
−$444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,556
− Management
−$1,556
− Depreciation
−$2,586
Taxable income
$6,993
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,678
After-tax cash flow
$6,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a clean exterior and a well-maintained property. Painting the exterior and improving the landscaping can further enhance its value and appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance the curb appeal and make the home look more inviting.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance the curb appeal and make the home look more inviting.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
L'Anse Creuse Public Schools
NCES district ID
2621870
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,757
Composite
35.99/100
National rank
#4790
State rank
#184 of 540 in MI

Livability — Chesterfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
40,302
Population (ZIP)
17,716

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 18% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.06%
Current HPI
210.6017
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $89,900 Zillow
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $95,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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