4310 Regent St · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WONDERFUL 4BR/2 BATH LAKESIDE TRAD-BEAUTIFUL NAT WDWK-CROWN MOULDING IN L.R. & FOR DIN RM-HDWD FLRS IN DIN RM-NEW DOUBLE HUNG WINDOWS UP & IN KT-FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR-PROFESSIONALLY CLEANED CARPETS-LL FAM RM-SHOWER IN BSMT MAINT FREE SIDING-1 CAR DET
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Enclosed porch
- Built-in shelves
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Full, partially finished basement; Above-grade and below-grade finished living areas
- Exterior features: Balcony; Outdoor lighting; Porch (enclosed); Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Natural woodwork; Sauna; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Wood window frames
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Basement laundry/utility space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $304k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $304k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lester Park Elementary (math 73% / reading 77%, grade A, #31 of 857 statewide, top 4%, 575 students, 20% FRL); Ordean East Middle School (math 45% / reading 61%, grade C+, #53 of 258 statewide, top 22%, 989 students, 26% FRL); East High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #59 of 471 statewide, top 13%, 1,494 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 39% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Duluth Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $172k; list at $350k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.38%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $342,504
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 N 40th Ave Ave E | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,648 (-3%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $191 | 76 |
| 4124 Gilliat St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,586 (-7%) | 11mo | $305,000 | $192 | 70 |
| 4717 Robinson St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,756 (+3%) | 7mo | $326,000 | $186 | 69 |
| 4715 Cooke St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,647 (-3%) | 6mo | $331,111 | $201 | 63 |
| 1403 N 47th Ave Ave E | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (-0%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 4225 Gladstone St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,480 (-13%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $236 | 60 |
| 4106 Gladstone St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-11%) | 10mo | $306,250 | $201 | 57 |
| 4102 Dodge St | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,643 (-4%) | 10mo | $415,000 | $253 | 55 |
| 5003 London Rd | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,726 (+1%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $168 | 53 |
| 4011 Pitt St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,881 (+10%) | 0mo | $401,128 | $213 | 52 |
| 4811 Pitt St | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,860 (+9%) | 8mo | $352,000 | $189 | 44 |
| 4614 Tioga St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,503 (-12%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $213 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-49,564
- Equity at exit
- $52,171
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-34,062
- Equity at exit
- $30,253
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55804
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,716/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$639
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $311 | -5% $212 | +0% $113 | +5% $14 | +10% $-86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-128 | -5% $-8 | +0% $113 | +5% $233 | +10% $353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $289 | -0.5pp $202 | base $113 | +0.5pp $22 | +1.0pp $-70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3780 London Rd Duluth, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1312 | $3,485 | $2.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5231 Wyoming St Duluth, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4932 Norwood St Unit 1 Duluth, MN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,995 | $1.50 | 46d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $349,900 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $349,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$349,900 Active
-
2013-05-31soldstatus $172,500
-
2007-01-12soldstatus $190,000
-
2007-01-12soldstatus $184,900
-
2007-01-09historical 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
WONDERFUL 4BR/2 BATH LAKESIDE TRAD-BEAUTIFUL NAT WDWK-CROWN MOULDING IN L.R. & FOR DIN RM-HDWD FLRS IN DIN RM-NEW DOUBLE HUNG WINDOWS UP & IN KT-FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR-PROFESSIONALLY CLEANED CARPETS-LL FAM RM-SHOWER IN BSMT MAINT FREE SIDING-1 CAR DET
-
2007-01-08soldstatus $184,900 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
WONDERFUL 4BR/2 BATH LAKESIDE TRAD-BEAUTIFUL NAT WDWK-CROWN MOULDING IN L.R. & FOR DIN RM-HDWD FLRS IN DIN RM-NEW DOUBLE HUNG WINDOWS UP & IN KT-FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR-PROFESSIONALLY CLEANED CARPETS-LL FAM RM-SHOWER IN BSMT MAINT FREE SIDING-1 CAR DET
-
2006-07-08$184,900 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
WONDERFUL 4BR/2 BATH LAKESIDE TRAD-BEAUTIFUL NAT WDWK-CROWN MOULDING IN L.R. & FOR DIN RM-HDWD FLRS IN DIN RM-NEW DOUBLE HUNG WINDOWS UP & IN KT-FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR-PROFESSIONALLY CLEANED CARPETS-LL FAM RM-SHOWER IN BSMT MAINT FREE SIDING-1 CAR DET
-
2003-06-09soldstatus $169,900
-
2000-10-13soldstatus $134,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,716 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,817 · $318/mo
- Expected delta
- +$101/yr (+$8/mo · 2.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$3,716
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,920
- − Management
- −$2,920
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable loss
- −$4,584
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,100
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duluth Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711040
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,692
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3360
- State rank
- #132 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- City population
- 71,097
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,018
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Scottish 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.94%
- Current HPI
- 199.4064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+161.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $349,900 LSAR
- 2013-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $172,500 Public Records
- 2007-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $184,900 Public Records
- 2007-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-09 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-08 Sold (MLS) $184,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-08 Listed $184,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
- 2000-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,716 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…