319 Zero St · Robert Lee, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on a generous . 79 acre lot at the edge of town. The distinctive stone exterior features rock sourced from the original courthouse at Hayrick, adding unique character and charm. With plenty of space inside and out, this property offers an opportunity to update and make it your own while enjoying a peaceful setting.
Key facts
- Generous acre lot
- Stone exterior
- Peaceful setting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in the Riverview subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 space); Carport (4 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Stone construction; Slab foundation; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Paved city street frontage; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Electric cooktop; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Concrete flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Wall/Window cooling units
- Interior features: Built-in electric oven, dishwasher, electric cooktop; Wood-burning fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#608 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Robert Lee ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #573 of 1,141 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Coke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Coke County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.37%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $41,635
- Equity at exit
- $49,461
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.52×
- Total profit
- $108,403
- Equity at exit
- $76,225
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76945
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,444 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $446
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $508 | -5% $477 | +0% $446 | +5% $415 | +10% $384 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $332 | -5% $389 | +0% $446 | +5% $503 | +10% $560 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $501 | -0.5pp $474 | base $446 | +0.5pp $417 | +1.0pp $388 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 348-char remark
-
2026-06-13$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $870 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,143/yr (+$95/mo · 131.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,387
- − Management
- −$1,387
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,778
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$907
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Robert Lee ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4837380
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,746
- Composite
- 39.81/100
- National rank
- #7972
- State rank
- #573 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Robert Lee
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #608
- US rank
- #11550
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Robert Lee, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,706
Population outlook (Coke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,120 people
- By 2030
- 3,073 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 3,008 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 2,973 · -4.7%
- By 2075
- 3,028 · -2.9%
- By 2100
- 2,989 · -4.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Coke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.6) · D 9.9% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: -60.7pp · 2024: -79.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.6 2020: R+79.1 2016: R+79.1 2012: R+73.8 2008: R+60.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $110,000 SAAR TX
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $870 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…