847 Airport #21 Rd · Breckenridge, CO
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 75°F)
- 10 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lot rent $1640 a month. Discover Your Perfect Mountain Retreat in Breckenridge! Welcome to this charming mobile home that is ready for you to move in! Located in the heart of Breckenridge, you'll have quick access to the vibrant Main Street, just minutes away, plus convenient grocery shopping, dining, and the gondola—all within a short five-minute walk. A bus stop right outside provides easy, free transportation to the slopes and around Summit County. Step outside your door to scenic trails and enjoy the newly renovated recreation center, just a minute’s walk away. Plus, the tranquil Blue River flows right behind, offering a peaceful escape from the hustle and bustle. This home
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2019
- Listed 65 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease: yes — $1,640 monthly; lease expires December 31, 2052
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected; Wired internet available; Natural gas available; Phone available and connected; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured in park (Manufactured Home); Single-story (main level living); Lot in a park (lot number 21)
- Construction: Metal siding; Vinyl siding; Membrane roof; Manufactured home length 75' and width 18'
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Gravel parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Primary suite
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 0.7% in Breckenridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#62 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Summit School District No. RE-1 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #35 of 86 in CO (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Upper Blue Elementary School (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #422 of 966 statewide, top 44%, 237 students, 38% FRL); Summit Middle School (math 24% / reading 38%, grade F, #126 of 270 statewide, top 46%, 764 students, 38% FRL); Summit High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #115 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,132 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 614 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 308 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (123 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Summit County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.90%
- DSCR
- 3.53
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,420
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 847 Airport Rd #14 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 858 (-1%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $157 | 90 |
| 847 Airport Road Space #22 Rd | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 812 (-7%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $166 | 79 |
| 847 Airport Rd | 0.05mi | 2/— | 812 (-7%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $166 | 78 |
| 847 Airport Rd #12 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 768 (-12%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $176 | 76 |
| 847 Airport Road Space #13 Rd | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+10%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $198 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $78,564
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 58.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.80×
- Total profit
- $194,837
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80424
- Active inventory
- 614
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,066 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$644
- Net cashflow
- $1,538
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 E. Washington RD Breckenridge, CO | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.5 | 1760 | $4,067 | $2.31 | 1d | 2 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-14$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 10 d/yr ≥75°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$1,266
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,944
- − Management
- −$2,944
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $17,629
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,231
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming mobile home is move-in ready with modern updates and a great location in Breckenridge. It offers a good condition score and potential for further value enhancement with minor cosmetic improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal
- Both Add a small front porch or patio — Increases living space and enhances curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves property's visual appeal ↑
- Both Add a small front porch or patio — Increases living space and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Summit School District No. RE-1
- NCES district ID
- 0806810
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,591
- Composite
- 31.97/100
- National rank
- #5840
- State rank
- #35 of 86 in CO
Livability — Breckenridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #6014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Summit County · 31,352 people
- City population
- 9,764
- Metro
- Breckenridge, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,764
- Household income
- $120,907
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 181.0
Population outlook (Summit County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,421 people
- By 2030
- 37,983 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 42,597 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 46,695 · +31.8%
- By 2075
- 55,288 · +56.1%
- By 2100
- 61,033 · +72.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Summit
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+37.2) · D 67.0% · R 29.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: 33.0pp · 2024: 37.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+37.2 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+24.4 2008: D+33.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -389.29%
- Current HPI
- 311.0453
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Breckenridge, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $120,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…