7 Reed St · Canajoharie, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * Welcome to the newest addition to your real estate portfolio! This home has great bones and lots of potential. .. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 4,750 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2 stories; Resale property; Asphalt shingle roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Pre-cast concrete construction
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (50 x 95)
Interior
- Kitchen: Water heater listed in equipment
- Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#510 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Canajoharie Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #414 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $50k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.46%
- DSCR
- 3.47
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,368
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Lipe Pl | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (-0%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $122 | 86 |
| 14 Ridge Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,680 (-0%) | 7mo | $189,000 | $113 | 81 |
| 120 Otsego St | 0.07mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,768 (+5%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $153 | 80 |
| 47 Walnut St | 0.14mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,698 (+1%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $94 | 71 |
| 99 Otsego St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (-10%) | 10mo | $148,400 | $98 | 71 |
| 95 Cliff St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,588 (-6%) | 17mo | $58,500 | $37 | 68 |
| 35 Walnut St | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,895 (+12%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $111 | 59 |
| 47 Orchard St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+7%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $108 | 57 |
| 28 Phillips Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,850 (+10%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $135 | 53 |
| 35 Ridge Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,856 (+10%) | 19mo | $166,050 | $89 | 48 |
| 248 Moyer St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,780 (+6%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $70 | 47 |
| 25 Third Ave Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,482 (-12%) | 15mo | $168,000 | $113 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $66,569
- Equity at exit
- $43,090
- IRR
- 61.8%
- Equity multiple
- 12.69×
- Total profit
- $163,313
- Equity at exit
- $91,011
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13317
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,254 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $646
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-09status $49,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$49,900 Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-03-24price $65,000
-
2025-12-03price $69,900
-
2025-07-14$89,900 Active
-
2024-12-04historical $1,300
-
2024-11-17$1,300
-
2024-08-20soldstatus $20,000
-
2011-12-16historical
-
2011-06-15$49,000
-
2003-08-21soldstatus $51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $7,394
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,775
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,974/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canajoharie Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606300
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,296
- Composite
- 41.39/100
- National rank
- #3482
- State rank
- #414 of 590 in NY
Livability — Canajoharie
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #510
- US rank
- #9061
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canajoharie, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,970
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,683 people
- By 2030
- 47,785 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 45,492 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 43,161 · -11.3%
- By 2075
- 38,134 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 32,337 · -33.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · German/W. Germanic 19% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.6% · R 64.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -28.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.7 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+8.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1499
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-2.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $49,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $65,000 Global MLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $69,900 Global MLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $89,900 Global MLS
- 2024-12-04 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-17 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2011-06-15 Listed $49,000 Global MLS
- 2003-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,882 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…