10955 N 79th Ave #144 · Peoria, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ALL-AGE COMMUNITY. 2 FREE MONTHS IF CLOSED BY END OF JUNE! This charming 2-bedroom mobile home in Suncrest is waiting for its new owners! New Carpet, New Vinyl flooring, 2024 water heater. Includes washer/dryer and refrigerator. You're greeted by a practical carport and a front patio that sets an inviting tone. Inside, the appealing open layout features wood panel walls and soft carpeting for added comfort. The eat-in kitchen comes with ample wood cabinets, wallpaper, built-in appliances, and a peninsula with a breakfast bar for quick meals. The cozy main bedroom includes a private bathroom for convenience. Outside, you'll find a shed for additional storage. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! You won't offend us. Make us an offer.
Key facts
- Wood panel walls
- Front patio
- Soft carpeting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $834 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.3% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
- Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.61%
- DSCR
- 3.70
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,899
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- 7.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10955 N 79th Ave #60 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 972 (-1%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $67 | 92 |
| 10955 N 79th Ave #37 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (0%) | 15mo | $88,000 | $90 | 86 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #128 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (0%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $41 | 84 |
| 10955 N 79th Ave #3 | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 | 952 (-3%) | 16mo | $46,000 | $48 | 77 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #33 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 952 (-3%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $89 | 72 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #30 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+8%) | 11mo | $106,000 | $100 | 69 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #153 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+8%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #166 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 896 (-9%) | 7mo | $57,000 | $64 | 66 |
| 7344 W Peoria Ave #21 | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (0%) | 15mo | $17,000 | $17 | 59 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #125 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+8%) | 21mo | $117,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #65 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+8%) | 3mo | $66,500 | $63 | 49 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #50 | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-14%) | 8mo | $18,000 | $21 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $39,927
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 60.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $88,904
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85345
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,572 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $834
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11600 N 75th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 814 | $1,325 | $1.63 | 2d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 11429 N 83rd Ave #2 Peoria, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8280 W Madison St Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7951 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1411 | $2,163 | $1.53 | 1d | 30 | 0.86mi |
| 8165 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $2,223 | $2.44 | 1d | 229 | 0.88mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Unit 87 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,149 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,225 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,350 | $2.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8560 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 1d | 8 | 0.99mi |
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #90 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,320 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8650 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,492 | $1.78 | 2d | 19 | 1.08mi |
| 8757 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $1,539 | $2.73 | 2d | 14 | 1.25mi |
| 9201 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,654 | $1.68 | 1d | 29 | 1.26mi |
| 8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,595 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,595 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9190 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $2,203 | $2.68 | 14d | 10 | 1.44mi |
| 11411 N 91st Ave Unit 213 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 858 | $1,399 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $59,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $67,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $67,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $67,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $67,000 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
ALL-AGE COMMUNITY. 2 FREE MONTHS IF CLOSED BY END OF JUNE! This charming 2-bedroom mobile home in Suncrest is waiting for its new owners! New Carpet, New Vinyl flooring, 2024 water heater. Includes washer/dryer and refrigerator. You're greeted by a practical carport and a front patio that sets an inviting tone. Inside, the appealing open layout features wood panel walls and soft carpeting for added comfort. The eat-in kitchen comes with ample wood cabinets, wallpaper, built-in appliances, and a peninsula with a breakfast bar for quick meals. The cozy main bedroom includes a private bathroom for convenience. Outside, you'll find a shed for additional storage. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! You won't offend us. Make us an offer.
-
2026-03-23price $69,000 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
ALL-AGE COMMUNITY. 2 FREE MONTHS IF CLOSED BY END OF JUNE! This charming 2-bedroom mobile home in Suncrest is waiting for its new owners! New Carpet, New Vinyl flooring, 2024 water heater. Includes washer/dryer and refrigerator. You're greeted by a practical carport and a front patio that sets an inviting tone. Inside, the appealing open layout features wood panel walls and soft carpeting for added comfort. The eat-in kitchen comes with ample wood cabinets, wallpaper, built-in appliances, and a peninsula with a breakfast bar for quick meals. The cozy main bedroom includes a private bathroom for convenience. Outside, you'll find a shed for additional storage. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! You won't offend us. Make us an offer.
-
2026-01-29$72,000 Active 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
ALL-AGE COMMUNITY. 2 FREE MONTHS IF CLOSED BY END OF JUNE! This charming 2-bedroom mobile home in Suncrest is waiting for its new owners! New Carpet, New Vinyl flooring, 2024 water heater. Includes washer/dryer and refrigerator. You're greeted by a practical carport and a front patio that sets an inviting tone. Inside, the appealing open layout features wood panel walls and soft carpeting for added comfort. The eat-in kitchen comes with ample wood cabinets, wallpaper, built-in appliances, and a peninsula with a breakfast bar for quick meals. The cozy main bedroom includes a private bathroom for convenience. Outside, you'll find a shed for additional storage. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity! You won't offend us. Make us an offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,509
- − Management
- −$1,509
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $9,647
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,315
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. The interior needs painting and carpet replacement, while the kitchen and bathrooms could be updated for a more modern look.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — slight wear
- Minor HVAC system — 2024 water heater
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizes space
- Resale update bathrooms — modernizes space
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC system · 2024 water heater | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizes space ↑
- Resale update bathrooms — modernizes space ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria Unified School District (4237)
- NCES district ID
- 0406250
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,171
- Composite
- 34.62/100
- National rank
- #5152
- State rank
- #64 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #3603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 206,687
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,918
- Household income
- $67,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1879.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.77%
- Current HPI
- 328.1069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-6.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $67,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $69,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $72,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…