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122 King St
F Composite 32.09
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0

$203,000

122 King St · Toccoa, GA 30577
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 897 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 130 Days on market
Built 1960 0.40 ac lot $226/sqft · 52% above area Est $197k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming brick home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, featuring a beautifully updated walk-in tiled shower. The open living room flows into a dining area that comfortably seats six, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, a gas stove, and a hood vent, and the home features hardwood floors throughout. Enjoy outdoor living on the back deck and appreciate the many features this home has to offer. Conveniently located close to town in Toccoa, GA, providing easy access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.

Key facts

  • Walk-in tiled shower
  • Gas stove
  • Back deck

Tags

WALK-IN TILED SHOWERGRANITE COUNTERTOPSGAS STOVEHOOD VENTHARDWOOD FLOORSBACK DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $203k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-397 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (34.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (45.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (45.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#131 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Stephens County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #74 of 174 in GA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (567 students, 75% FRL); Stephens County Middle School (math 29% / reading 31%, grade F, #243 of 470 statewide, top 53%, 860 students, 75% FRL); Stephens County High School (math 18% / reading 34%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,142 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 52 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Stephens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $203k implies a 725% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,197 (45.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.54%
Cap rate
3.95%
Cash-on-cash
-8.37%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
15.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,937
List price
$203,000
Delta
3.08%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
532 S Pond St 0.69mi 2/2.0 899 (+0%) 15mo $189,900 $211 51
398 Grove St 0.69mi 2/1.0 812 (-10%) 13mo $145,000 $179 42
864 Collier Rd 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,025 (+14%) 22mo $189,000 $184 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$36,365
Equity at exit
$130,887
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$125,835
Equity at exit
$240,234

Cash invested: $56,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30577

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
15.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,102 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,065
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,415/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$-397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,604
Max offer price $132,951
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-282 -5% $-339 +0% $-397 +5% $-454 +10% $-511
Rent -10% $-484 -5% $-440 +0% $-397 +5% $-353 +10% $-309
Rate -1.0pp $-294 -0.5pp $-345 base $-397 +0.5pp $-449 +1.0pp $-503

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,750
Closing costs
$6,090
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
44 Andrews Ct Unit 103 Toccoa, GA 1.0 1.0 835 $895 $1.07 5d 1 0.46mi
37 Andrews Ct Unit 103 Toccoa, GA 1.0 1.0 825 $795 $0.96 25d 1 0.49mi
16 Andrews Ct Unit 101 Toccoa, GA 1.0 1.0 835 $950 $1.14 21d 1 0.51mi
115 Forest Ave Toccoa, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 25d 1 0.71mi
161 S Pine St Toccoa, GA 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,195 $1.08 45d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $203,000 Active 130 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $203,000 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $203,000 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $203,000 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $203,000 Active 125 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $203,000 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $203,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $203,000 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $203,000 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $203,000 Active 117 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $203,000 Active 116 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $203,000 Price Change 115 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $203,000 Price Change 114 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 111 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 110 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 109 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 108 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 107 DOM
  19. 2026-03-24
    price $210,000 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Charming brick home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, featuring a beautifully updated walk-in tiled shower. The open living room flows into a dining area that comfortably seats six, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, a gas stove, and a hood vent, and the home features hardwood floors throughout. Enjoy outdoor living on the back deck and appreciate the many features this home has to offer. Conveniently located close to town in Toccoa, GA, providing easy access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.

  20. 2026-02-11
    listed $215,000 New 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Charming brick home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, featuring a beautifully updated walk-in tiled shower. The open living room flows into a dining area that comfortably seats six, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, a gas stove, and a hood vent, and the home features hardwood floors throughout. Enjoy outdoor living on the back deck and appreciate the many features this home has to offer. Conveniently located close to town in Toccoa, GA, providing easy access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.

  21. 2012-04-30
    soldstatus $24,600 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    NEEDS SOME TLC; GREAT POTENTIAL FOR THIS 2 BR/1 BATH, BRICK RANCH HOME ON .40 ACRE, LEVEL LOT W/ OUT BLDING THIS IS A HOME PATH PROPERTY & CAN BE PURCHASED FOR AS

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,415 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,868 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$452/yr (+$38/mo · 31.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,224
− Mortgage interest
−$11,371
− Property taxes
−$1,415
− Insurance
−$1,015
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,058
− Management
−$1,058
− Depreciation
−$5,905
Taxable loss
−$8,599
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,064
After-tax cash flow
$-2,695/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stephens County
NCES district ID
1304560
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,416
Composite
28.42/100
National rank
#6759
State rank
#74 of 174 in GA

Livability — Toccoa

Score
68/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#9152

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toccoa, GA
County
Stephens County · 22,964 people
City population
22,964
Metro
Toccoa, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,964
Household income
$53,818
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
594.0

Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,797 people
By 2030
22,785 · -4.3%
By 2040
20,653 · -13.2%
By 2050
18,745 · -21.2%
By 2075
14,780 · -37.9%
By 2100
11,079 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stephens

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.4% · R 81.2%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.7 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
320.5275
Rent YoY
Metro
Toccoa, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+753.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $210,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $215,000 GAMLS
  • 2012-04-30 Sold (MLS) $24,600 GAMLS

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,415 · +42.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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