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37448 Dutchtown Crossing Ave
D+ Composite 49.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$310,000

37448 Dutchtown Crossing Ave · Prairieville, LA 70737
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily · 62 Days on market
Built 2006 10,454 sqft lot $172/sqft · 14% below area Est $362k · 14% under $45/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the highly sought-after Old Dutchtown community in Gonzales, this well-appointed home offers the perfect balance of convenience and comfort, just minutes from I-10, shopping, dining, schools, and everyday essentials. The thoughtfully designed open layout creates an easy flow for both daily living and entertaining. The living area showcases hardwood flooring, a cozy fireplace with a cypress mantle, and custom built-in cypress cabinetry. The kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring cypress cabinets, a large center island with bar seating, stainless steel appliances, and a gas cooktop. It opens seamlessly into the dining space, where a wall of windows brings in natural light and offers peaceful views of the backyard and the neighboring horse pasture--providing a unique sense of privacy and a touch of country charm. The split floor plan places the primary suite on its own side of the home, offering a spacious retreat complete with dual vanities and a large walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms are located toward the front of the home and share a full bath. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard and a comfortable patio area--perfect for relaxing while taking in the scenic surroundings. Old Dutchtown residents have access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, playground, and lakes. This home is located in Flood Zone X and has never flooded.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Large center island
  • Cypress cabinets

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGCOZY FIREPLACECYPRESS MANTLECUSTOM BUILT-IN CABINETRYCYPRESS CABINETSLARGE CENTER ISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($383/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Prairieville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 567 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $244k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $262,935 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.44%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$362,389
List price
$310,000
Delta
-14.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13229 Old Dutchtown Ave 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,822 (+1%) 9mo $330,000 $181 74
13008 Dutchtown Mill Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,745 (-3%) 2mo $314,000 $180 70
37416 Dutchtown Crossing Ave 0.06mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,985 (+10%) 1mo $339,500 $171 70
37503 Dutchtown Crossing Ave 0.11mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,959 (+9%) 4mo $350,000 $179 68
38183 Sunshine St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,762 (-2%) 6mo $224,500 $127 63
37510 Dutchtown Crossing Ave 0.12mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,055 (+14%) 3mo $349,000 $170 61
13416 Bayou Oak St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,760 (-2%) 10mo $200,000 $114 57
13313 Mill Grove Dr 0.39mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,950 (+8%) 10mo $365,000 $187 51
12449 Faucheux Rd 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,930 (+7%) 5mo $230,000 $119 48
37182 Cobblestone Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,928 (+7%) 14mo $320,000 $166 48
37092 Sue St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,534 (-15%) 8mo $285,000 $186 36
13080 Depen St 0.67mi 3/3.5 2,040 (+13%) 6mo $195,000 $96 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-47,530
Equity at exit
$46,222
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-36,007
Equity at exit
$26,803

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70737

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
567
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,629 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$245 /mo · $2,945/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$45
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,589
Max offer price $310,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37393 Preserve Trl Gonzales, LA 3.0 2.5 1956 $2,500 $1.28 14d 2 0.41mi
37313 Mindy Way Ave Prairieville, LA 4.0 3.0 2517 $4,050 $1.61 43d 1 0.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$45 · $540/yr
Likely covers
gaspool

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $310,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $310,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $310,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $310,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $310,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $310,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $310,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $310,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $310,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $310,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $310,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $310,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $310,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $310,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $310,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $310,000 Active 1393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    Located in the highly sought-after Old Dutchtown community in Gonzales, this well-appointed home offers the perfect balance of convenience and comfort, just minutes from I-10, shopping, dining, schools, and everyday essentials. The thoughtfully designed open layout creates an easy flow for both daily living and entertaining. The living area showcases hardwood flooring, a cozy fireplace with a cypress mantle, and custom built-in cypress cabinetry. The kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring cypress cabinets, a large center island with bar seating, stainless steel appliances, and a gas cooktop. It opens seamlessly into the dining space, where a wall of windows brings in natural light and offers peaceful views of the backyard and the neighboring horse pasture—providing a unique sense of privacy and a touch of country charm. The split floor plan places the primary suite on its own side of the home, offering a spacious retreat complete with dual vanities and a large walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms are located toward the front of the home and share a full bath. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard and a comfortable patio area—perfect for relaxing while taking in the scenic surroundings. Old Dutchtown residents have access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, playground, and lakes. This home is located in Flood Zone X and has never flooded.

  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $310,000 Active 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    Located in the highly sought-after Old Dutchtown community in Gonzales, this well-appointed home offers the perfect balance of convenience and comfort, just minutes from I-10, shopping, dining, schools, and everyday essentials. The thoughtfully designed open layout creates an easy flow for both daily living and entertaining. The living area showcases hardwood flooring, a cozy fireplace with a cypress mantle, and custom built-in cypress cabinetry. The kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring cypress cabinets, a large center island with bar seating, stainless steel appliances, and a gas cooktop. It opens seamlessly into the dining space, where a wall of windows brings in natural light and offers peaceful views of the backyard and the neighboring horse pasture—providing a unique sense of privacy and a touch of country charm. The split floor plan places the primary suite on its own side of the home, offering a spacious retreat complete with dual vanities and a large walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms are located toward the front of the home and share a full bath. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard and a comfortable patio area—perfect for relaxing while taking in the scenic surroundings. Old Dutchtown residents have access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, playground, and lakes. This home is located in Flood Zone X and has never flooded.

  18. 2024-12-05
    historical
  19. 2024-10-07
    status Active
  20. 2024-10-05
    historical
  21. 2024-06-05
    price $315,000
  22. 2024-03-27
    listed $325,000 Active
  23. 2024-03-27
    listed $315,000
  24. 2006-11-16
    soldstatus $243,900
  25. 2006-11-15
    soldstatus
  26. 2006-09-29
    listed $239,900
  27. 2006-09-29
    listed $239,900
  28. 2005-11-29
    listed $229,900
  29. 2005-11-29
    listed $229,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,945 · $245/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,945 · $245/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,552
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$2,945
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,524
− Management
−$2,524
− HOA
−$540
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable loss
−$4,914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,179
After-tax cash flow
$1,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ascension Parish
NCES district ID
2200090
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$68,423
Composite
47.0/100
National rank
#2347
State rank
#7 of 98 in LA

Livability — Prairieville

Score
69/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#8507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ascension Parish · 98,362 people
City population
49,278
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
49,084
Household income
$82,521
Rent vs Own
22.0% rent · 78.0% own
Severe rent burden
863.0

Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,480 people
By 2030
158,329 · +8.8%
By 2040
183,741 · +26.3%
By 2050
207,615 · +42.7%
By 2075
260,244 · +78.9%
By 2100
289,576 · +99.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ascension

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.49%
Current HPI
145.3384
Rent YoY
▲ 3.26%
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $310,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $310,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-12-05 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2024-10-05 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2024-06-05 Price Changed $315,000 GBRMLS
  • 2024-03-27 Listed $315,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-03-27 Listed $325,000 GBRMLS
  • 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $243,900 Public Records
  • 2006-11-15 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2006-09-29 Listed $239,900 GBRMLS
  • 2006-09-29 Listed $239,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2005-11-29 Listed $229,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2005-11-29 Listed $229,900 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,945 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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