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14953 Pinehurst St
B- Composite 68.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

14953 Pinehurst St · Detroit, MI 48238
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,485 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 368 Days on market
Built 1928 3,049 sqft lot $40/sqft · at area comps Est $59k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Brick bungalow on corner lot with one car detached garage. Hardwood floors. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent out. Cash or DSCR Buyers only.

Key facts

  • Brick bungalow
  • Corner lot
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYBRICK BUNGALOWCORNER LOTHARDWOOD FLOORSLIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 368 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 368 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
14.80%
Cash-on-cash
30.39%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,623
List price
$59,000
Delta
0.64%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15087 Pinehurst St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,497 (+1%) 4mo $55,000 $37 91
14931 Monte Vista St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,307 (-12%) 0mo $35,000 $27 75
14889 Manor St 0.13mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,375 (-7%) 0mo $159,000 $116 70
15841 Steel St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,460 (-2%) 1mo $50,000 $34 66
14905 Littlefield St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,368 (-8%) 1mo $52,000 $38 62
14265 Appoline St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,384 (-7%) 0mo $76,000 $55 58
14942 Ward Ave 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,619 (+9%) 4mo $75,000 $46 56
15771 Birwood St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,290 (-13%) 0mo $128,995 $100 52
14974 Cheyenne St 0.42mi 3/2.5 1,300 (-12%) 4mo $155,000 $119 51
15788 Littlefield St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,608 (+8%) 4mo $95,000 $59 50
15053 Littlefield St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,286 (-13%) 2mo $75,000 $58 48
15103 Cheyenne St 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,317 (-11%) 4mo $121,500 $92 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$21,201
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
5.28×
Total profit
$70,752
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
348
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,230 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,630/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $452 -5% $435 +0% $418 +5% $402 +10% $385
Rent -10% $321 -5% $370 +0% $418 +5% $467 +10% $516
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $433 base $418 +0.5pp $403 +1.0pp $388

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 25d 1 0.08mi
15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.34mi
15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 931 $1,200 $1.29 5d 1 0.41mi
15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.41mi
15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,100 $0.88 5d 1 0.44mi
15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 44d 1 0.48mi
15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1294 $1,275 $0.99 22d 1 0.50mi
15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1093 $950 $0.87 44d 1 0.54mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.63mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 17d 1 0.63mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 0.64mi
15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 5d 1 0.69mi
14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 0.72mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 17d 1 0.74mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 18d 1 0.74mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 0.77mi
15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 25d 1 0.77mi
15791 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1792 $1,100 $0.61 44d 1 0.78mi
14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 0.79mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 44d 1 0.82mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 13d 1 0.83mi
13910 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,000 $0.60 44d 1 0.88mi
16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1370 $1,400 $1.02 44d 1 0.89mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 25d 1 0.89mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 44d 1 0.91mi
16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 18d 1 0.91mi
13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,334 $1.03 21d 1 0.93mi
13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,200 $0.96 5d 1 0.94mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 3d 1 0.96mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 17d 1 1.00mi
16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 44d 1 1.01mi
15771 Turner St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 44d 1 1.01mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 18d 1 1.01mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 2d 1 1.01mi
16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,100 $0.85 18d 1 1.11mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 44d 1 1.12mi
16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1516 $1,400 $0.92 20d 1 1.15mi
14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1033 $1,150 $1.11 21d 1 1.15mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 17d 1 1.15mi
7350 Globe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 4d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,000 Active 368 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 365 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 364 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 362 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 360 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 359 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 356 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 355 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 354 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 351 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 350 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 348 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 347 DOM
  14. 2026-05-08
    price $59,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Brick bungalow on corner lot with one car detached garage. Hardwood floors. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent out. Cash or DSCR Buyers only.

  15. 2026-05-08
    price $59,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Brick bungalow on corner lot with one car detached garage. Hardwood floors. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent out. Cash or DSCR Buyers only.

  16. 2025-07-31
    price $62,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Brick bungalow on corner lot with one car detached garage. Hardwood floors. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent out. Cash or DSCR Buyers only.

  17. 2025-07-31
    price $62,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Brick bungalow on corner lot with one car detached garage. Hardwood floors. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent out. Cash or DSCR Buyers only.

  18. 2025-06-18
    listed $69,000 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Brick bungalow on corner lot with one car detached garage. Hardwood floors. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent out. Cash or DSCR Buyers only.

  19. 2025-06-18
    listed $69,000 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's west side. Brick bungalow on corner lot with one car detached garage. Hardwood floors. Living room with fireplace. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent out. Cash or DSCR Buyers only.

  20. 2023-03-29
    soldstatus $81,000
  21. 2022-05-19
    soldstatus $52,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,630 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,630 · $219/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,757
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$2,630
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,181
− Management
−$1,181
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,450
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,068
After-tax cash flow
$3,953/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $62,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,630 · -10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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