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123 Oconee Trl
D Composite 42.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

123 Oconee Trl · Perry, GA 31069
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,726 sqft · SingleFamily · 99 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 0.26 ac lot 2-car garage $151/sqft · 10% below area Est $288k · 10% under $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 123 Oconee Trail in Perry, where you get that brand new feel without the new construction price. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home has never been lived in, giving you a true fresh start from day one. The layout feels open, comfortable, and easy to live in, whether you are hosting friends or just enjoying a quiet night at home. The kitchen is move-in ready with the refrigerator already included, saving you that extra step. Out back, you will find a spacious yard with plenty of room to spread out. It is perfect for cookouts, pets, or simply relaxing after a long day.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Builder warranty
  • Move in ready

Tags

MOVE IN READYSPACIOUS YARDBUILDER WARRANTYMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (8.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.5% in Perry — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kings Chapel Elementary School (math 62% / reading 58%, grade B-, #126 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 632 students, 32% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Perry High School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,478 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 571 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $212,248 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.61%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$287,984
List price
$260,000
Delta
-9.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
400 Avington Chase 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,732 (+0%) 1mo $275,000 $159 84
208 Mahan Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,675 (-3%) 2mo $273,000 $163 81
523 New Hope Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,710 (-1%) 1mo $307,850 $180 78
505 Avington Chase 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (-3%) 2mo $292,000 $174 75
513 New Hope 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,675 (-3%) 1mo $300,000 $179 74
517 New Hope 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (-4%) 0mo $305,500 $185 73
521 New Hope 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (-4%) 0mo $305,500 $185 72
519 New Hope 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-7%) 2mo $285,000 $178 71
515 New Hope 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,575 (-9%) 2mo $282,000 $179 69
320 Haven Way 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,698 (-2%) 2mo $249,900 $147 63
125 Worchester Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-10%) 2mo $265,000 $170 54
122 Rocky Rd 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,541 (-11%) 2mo $287,000 $186 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.6%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-52,142
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-58,140
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
19 active · 31 under contract
Months of supply
2.2 mo (46%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$295,000 ($174/sqft)
Median days on market
64 d
This list price
5% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-4.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 31069

Active inventory
571
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,122 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax est. 1.5%
$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$-158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,323
Max offer price $237,131
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $22 -5% $-68 +0% $-158 +5% $-248 +10% $-338
Rent -10% $-326 -5% $-242 +0% $-158 +5% $-74 +10% $10
Rate -1.0pp $-27 -0.5pp $-92 base $-158 +0.5pp $-225 +1.0pp $-294

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
204 Mahan Dr Perry, GA 4.0 2.0 2197 $2,350 $1.07 70d 1 0.32mi
120 Worchester Cir Perry, GA 4.0 2.0 1751 $2,260 $1.29 62d 1 0.59mi
108 Ellington Ct Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1286 $1,750 $1.36 70d 1 0.65mi
608 Daisy Dr Perry, GA 4.0 2.0 1582 $1,950 $1.23 93d 1 0.71mi
215 Rainsong Trl Perry, GA 4.0 2.0 1836 $2,450 $1.33 70d 1 0.99mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Located in The Orchard-Perry subdivisionDirections: From Perry Pkwy, turn left onto Kings Chapel Rd, then left on Oconee Trl; the home will be on the left.
HOA & community
Homeowners association with annual fee of $450 (about $37.50/month)

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
Single-family residenceOne storyResidential property
Construction
Slab foundation
Exterior features
No pool

Interior

Kitchen
Electric rangeDishwasherMicrowaveRefrigeratorGarbage disposal
Flooring
CarpetTileVinyl
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingHeat pumpCentral air conditioning
Interior features
StorageBlinds

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $260,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $260,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $260,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $260,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $260,000 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $260,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $260,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $260,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $260,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $260,000 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 78 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    pricedays on market $260,000 Active 76 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 75 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $265,000 Active 74 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 73 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $265,000 Active 72 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $265,000 Active 71 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $265,000 Active 70 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 69 DOM
  25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 68 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 67 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $265,000 Active 66 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $265,000 Active 65 DOM
  29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $265,000 Active 64 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 63 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 62 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 61 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $265,000 Active 60 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $265,000 Active 59 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $265,000 Active 58 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $265,000 Active 57 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $265,000 Active 56 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $265,000 Active 54 DOM
  39. 2026-06-23
    days on market $265,000 Active 52 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $265,000 Active 51 DOM
  41. 2026-06-19
    days on market $265,000 Active 49 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 48 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 47 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 46 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 45 DOM
  46. 2026-06-14
    days on market $265,000 Active 43 DOM
  47. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 42 DOM
  48. 2026-06-10
    days on market $265,000 Active 40 DOM
  49. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 39 DOM
  50. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 38 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,470
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$3,900
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,038
− Management
−$2,038
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$6,389
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,533
After-tax cash flow
$-363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in ready home in Perry, GA, offers a fresh start with a good condition and minimal maintenance required. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the open layout and move-in ready kitchen, while improvements to landscaping and exterior painting can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can boost curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping and irrigation system — Improves curb appeal and adds value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 49/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Kings Chapel Elementary School B- GA #126/1,228 Nat'l #7,155/41,679 Middle Perry Middle School C+ GA #60/470 Nat'l #3,033/14,009 High Perry High School F GA #84/424 Nat'l #9,567/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston County
NCES district ID
1302880
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$54,823
Composite
38.68/100
National rank
#4144
State rank
#23 of 174 in GA
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Perry

Score
68/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#9757

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Perry, GA
County
Houston County · 169,502 people
City population
22,953
Metro
Warner Robins, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,953
Household income
$74,501
Rent vs Own
30.4% rent · 69.6% own
Severe rent burden
19% of renters

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
169,502 people
By 2030
178,486 · +5.3%
By 2040
194,642 · +14.8%
By 2050
207,119 · +22.2%
By 2075
231,480 · +36.6%
By 2100
235,034 · +38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-66.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $265,000 CGMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $274,900 CGMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $274,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $280,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $780,900 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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