123 Oconee Trl · Perry, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 123 Oconee Trail in Perry, where you get that brand new feel without the new construction price. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home has never been lived in, giving you a true fresh start from day one. The layout feels open, comfortable, and easy to live in, whether you are hosting friends or just enjoying a quiet night at home. The kitchen is move-in ready with the refrigerator already included, saving you that extra step. Out back, you will find a spacious yard with plenty of room to spread out. It is perfect for cookouts, pets, or simply relaxing after a long day.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Builder warranty
- Move in ready
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (8.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (18.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.5% in Perry — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kings Chapel Elementary School (math 62% / reading 58%, grade B-, #126 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 632 students, 32% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Perry High School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,478 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 571 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.61%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,984
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -9.72%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Avington Chase | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (+0%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $159 | 84 |
| 208 Mahan Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,675 (-3%) | 2mo | $273,000 | $163 | 81 |
| 523 New Hope Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,710 (-1%) | 1mo | $307,850 | $180 | 78 |
| 505 Avington Chase | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-3%) | 2mo | $292,000 | $174 | 75 |
| 513 New Hope | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,675 (-3%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $179 | 74 |
| 517 New Hope | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (-4%) | 0mo | $305,500 | $185 | 73 |
| 521 New Hope | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (-4%) | 0mo | $305,500 | $185 | 72 |
| 519 New Hope | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-7%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $178 | 71 |
| 515 New Hope | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (-9%) | 2mo | $282,000 | $179 | 69 |
| 320 Haven Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,698 (-2%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $147 | 63 |
| 125 Worchester Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (-10%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $170 | 54 |
| 122 Rocky Rd | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,541 (-11%) | 2mo | $287,000 | $186 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-52,142
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-58,140
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 19 active · 31 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.2 mo (46%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $295,000 ($174/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 64 d
- This list price
- 5% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31069
- Active inventory
- 571
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,122 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$38
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $-158
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $22 | -5% $-68 | +0% $-158 | +5% $-248 | +10% $-338 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-326 | -5% $-242 | +0% $-158 | +5% $-74 | +10% $10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-27 | -0.5pp $-92 | base $-158 | +0.5pp $-225 | +1.0pp $-294 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Mahan Dr Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2197 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 70d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 120 Worchester Cir Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $2,260 | $1.29 | 62d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 108 Ellington Ct Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 70d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 608 Daisy Dr Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 215 Rainsong Trl Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $2,450 | $1.33 | 70d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located in The Orchard-Perry subdivisionDirections: From Perry Pkwy, turn left onto Kings Chapel Rd, then left on Oconee Trl; the home will be on the left.
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee of $450 (about $37.50/month)
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne storyResidential property
- Construction
- Slab foundation
- Exterior features
- No pool
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric rangeDishwasherMicrowaveRefrigeratorGarbage disposal
- Flooring
- CarpetTileVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingHeat pumpCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- StorageBlinds
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $260,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $260,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $260,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $260,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $260,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $260,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $260,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $260,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $260,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $260,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $260,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $260,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $260,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-16pricedays on market $260,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $265,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $265,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $265,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $265,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $265,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $265,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $265,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $265,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $265,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $265,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $265,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $265,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $265,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $265,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $265,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $265,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $265,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $265,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $265,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $265,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $265,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $265,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $265,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $265,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $265,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $265,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 38 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$3,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,038
- − Management
- −$2,038
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$6,389
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,533
- After-tax cash flow
- $-363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready home in Perry, GA, offers a fresh start with a good condition and minimal maintenance required. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the open layout and move-in ready kitchen, while improvements to landscaping and exterior painting can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can boost curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping and irrigation system — Improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #9757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perry, GA
- County
- Houston County · 169,502 people
- City population
- 22,953
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,953
- Household income
- $74,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.01%
- Current HPI
- 240.9327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-66.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $265,000 CGMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $274,900 CGMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $274,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $280,000 GAMLS
- 2025-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $780,900 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…