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3123 Redland Rd
C Composite 55.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

3123 Redland Rd · Redland, AL 36093
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,054 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1976 1.80 ac lot $97/sqft · 23% below area Est $260k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .

Key facts

  • Slab foundation
  • Kitchen
  • Living room

Tags

SLAB FOUNDATIONTWO CAR CARPORTCOVERED PATIOLIVING ROOMDINING ROOMKITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.9% in Redland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#10 in AL, #3,261 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Elmore County (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #21 of 129 in AL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Elmore County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,406 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.15%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,862
List price
$199,900
Delta
-23.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35 New Bingham Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 2,245 (+9%) 0mo $300,900 $134 76
125 New Bingham Rd 0.25mi 3/2.5 2,138 (+4%) 22mo $289,900 $136 61
247 New Bingham Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,999 (-3%) 22mo $270,000 $135 60
184 Ridgefield Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 2,010 (-2%) 21mo $253,000 $126 58
18 Clemmensen St 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (-14%) 0mo $320,900 $181 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-20,116
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,876
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36093

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,814 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,294/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,569
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $199,900 Pending 35 DOM
  2. 2026-04-30
    status Active 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .

  3. 2026-04-23
    status Active 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .

  4. 2026-04-16
    status Pending 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .

  5. 2026-04-10
    listed $199,900 Active 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .

  6. 2022-07-08
    soldstatus $155,000 1094-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1094 chars)

    Calling all Investors or Buyers who are looking and are ready to renovate a property in the Redland area of Elmore County! This home is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with over 2000 sq. ft. sitting on a 1.8 acre lot. From the front door you enter into the foyer to your left is a living room/dining room. Directly off of the foyer is a den with a vaulted ceiling with beams. There is a nice size kitchen with a smooth cooktop, and the electric wall oven. From the kitchen you step down into a large room that could be another den or a game room. There is also the laundry area just off the kitchen and a pantry closet. On the opposite side of the home is 3 bedrooms and 2 full tiled baths with tub/shower combo. Outside you have the carport and a large covered patio area. There is a nice storage area connected to the carport for storing yard equipment. In the backyard you have a brick building that could be a workshop for the handy man in your family. On this property there is a fenced area with a pool that needs repairs. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition.

  7. 2022-06-15
    listed $165,000 1094-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1094 chars)

    Calling all Investors or Buyers who are looking and are ready to renovate a property in the Redland area of Elmore County! This home is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with over 2000 sq. ft. sitting on a 1.8 acre lot. From the front door you enter into the foyer to your left is a living room/dining room. Directly off of the foyer is a den with a vaulted ceiling with beams. There is a nice size kitchen with a smooth cooktop, and the electric wall oven. From the kitchen you step down into a large room that could be another den or a game room. There is also the laundry area just off the kitchen and a pantry closet. On the opposite side of the home is 3 bedrooms and 2 full tiled baths with tub/shower combo. Outside you have the carport and a large covered patio area. There is a nice storage area connected to the carport for storing yard equipment. In the backyard you have a brick building that could be a workshop for the handy man in your family. On this property there is a fenced area with a pool that needs repairs. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,294 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,294 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,769
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,294
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,741
− Management
−$1,741
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$1,021
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$245
After-tax cash flow
$2,569/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmore County
NCES district ID
0101290
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$54,898
Composite
35.27/100
National rank
#4974
State rank
#21 of 129 in AL

Livability — Redland

Score
76/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#3261

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redland, AL
City population
11,699
Population (ZIP)
11,699

Population outlook (Elmore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
85,154 people
By 2030
86,667 · +1.8%
By 2040
89,014 · +4.5%
By 2050
90,331 · +6.1%
By 2075
96,096 · +12.8%
By 2100
95,290 · +11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Elmore

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.1) · D 23.6% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.1pp toward R · 2008: -50.9pp · 2024: -52.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.1 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+50.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.69%
Current HPI
149.4012
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-04-23 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-04-16 Pending MAAR
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $199,900 MAAR
  • 2022-07-08 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MAAR
  • 2022-06-15 Listed $165,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,294 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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