3123 Redland Rd · Redland, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .
Key facts
- Slab foundation
- Kitchen
- Living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.9% in Redland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#10 in AL, #3,261 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Elmore County (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #21 of 129 in AL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elmore County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.15%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,862
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -23.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 New Bingham Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 2,245 (+9%) | 0mo | $300,900 | $134 | 76 |
| 125 New Bingham Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 2,138 (+4%) | 22mo | $289,900 | $136 | 61 |
| 247 New Bingham Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,999 (-3%) | 22mo | $270,000 | $135 | 60 |
| 184 Ridgefield Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,010 (-2%) | 21mo | $253,000 | $126 | 58 |
| 18 Clemmensen St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (-14%) | 0mo | $320,900 | $181 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-20,116
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,876
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36093
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,814 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $199,900 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .
-
2026-04-23status Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .
-
2026-04-16status Pending 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .
-
2026-04-10$199,900 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
NICE SIZE HOUSE AND ALMOST TWO ACRES, IN WETUMPKA ALABAMA. .. . PROPERT HAS A SLAB FOUNDATION, WITH A TWO CAR CARPORT, COVERED PATIO, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN WITH FIREPLACE, A BONUS ROOM, LAUNDRY ROOM, THREE BEDROOMS AND TWO FULL BATHROOMS. .. . AND THE BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOL ZONES IF NEEDED. .. .
-
2022-07-08soldstatus $155,000 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Calling all Investors or Buyers who are looking and are ready to renovate a property in the Redland area of Elmore County! This home is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with over 2000 sq. ft. sitting on a 1.8 acre lot. From the front door you enter into the foyer to your left is a living room/dining room. Directly off of the foyer is a den with a vaulted ceiling with beams. There is a nice size kitchen with a smooth cooktop, and the electric wall oven. From the kitchen you step down into a large room that could be another den or a game room. There is also the laundry area just off the kitchen and a pantry closet. On the opposite side of the home is 3 bedrooms and 2 full tiled baths with tub/shower combo. Outside you have the carport and a large covered patio area. There is a nice storage area connected to the carport for storing yard equipment. In the backyard you have a brick building that could be a workshop for the handy man in your family. On this property there is a fenced area with a pool that needs repairs. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition.
-
2022-06-15$165,000 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Calling all Investors or Buyers who are looking and are ready to renovate a property in the Redland area of Elmore County! This home is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with over 2000 sq. ft. sitting on a 1.8 acre lot. From the front door you enter into the foyer to your left is a living room/dining room. Directly off of the foyer is a den with a vaulted ceiling with beams. There is a nice size kitchen with a smooth cooktop, and the electric wall oven. From the kitchen you step down into a large room that could be another den or a game room. There is also the laundry area just off the kitchen and a pantry closet. On the opposite side of the home is 3 bedrooms and 2 full tiled baths with tub/shower combo. Outside you have the carport and a large covered patio area. There is a nice storage area connected to the carport for storing yard equipment. In the backyard you have a brick building that could be a workshop for the handy man in your family. On this property there is a fenced area with a pool that needs repairs. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to property condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,294 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,294 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,294
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,741
- − Management
- −$1,741
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$1,021
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$245
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,569/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmore County
- NCES district ID
- 0101290
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,898
- Composite
- 35.27/100
- National rank
- #4974
- State rank
- #21 of 129 in AL
Livability — Redland
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #3261
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redland, AL
- City population
- 11,699
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,699
Population outlook (Elmore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,154 people
- By 2030
- 86,667 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 89,014 · +4.5%
- By 2050
- 90,331 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 96,096 · +12.8%
- By 2100
- 95,290 · +11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Elmore
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.1) · D 23.6% · R 75.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.1pp toward R · 2008: -50.9pp · 2024: -52.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.1 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+50.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.69%
- Current HPI
- 149.4012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+21.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MAAR
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — MAAR
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MAAR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $199,900 MAAR
- 2022-07-08 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MAAR
- 2022-06-15 Listed $165,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,294 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…