432 21st St #2 · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For Sale 3bed/2bath condo in West Palm Beach. Second floor unit on a recently built modern 2 story building, large dining/living area, open kitchen, stainless steel appliances, washer/dryer in unit. Quiet area, a couple of blocks from Northwood Village's restaurants and shops, close to elementary school, major roads, and highways. The property is currently rented until 03/31/2027.
Key facts
- Recently built
- First floor unit
- Open kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered; No pet restrictions
- HOA & community: HOA fees billed monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Electric service
- Home design: 2-story building; Entry on second level; New construction
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Property is attached
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Second-floor entry; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $389k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $389k).
- Recommended offer: $342k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,027/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 2157% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($342k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.43%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-31,269
- Equity at exit
- $58,001
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $14,758
- Equity at exit
- $33,634
Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33407
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,027 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,040
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$486 /mo · $5,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$846
- Net cashflow
- $493
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,250
- Closing costs
- $11,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2585 Spruce Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $3,225 | $3.83 | 1d | 122 | 0.21mi |
| 1805 N Flagler Dr #107 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $2,995 | $2.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 716 21st St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,800 | $2.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 716 21st St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,800 | $2.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 411 26th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1847 | $6,900 | $3.74 | 7d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 411 26th St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1847 | $6,900 | $3.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 735 20th St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1767 | $3,600 | $2.04 | 7d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 735 20th St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1767 | $3,800 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1801 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $4,500 | $4.00 | 1d | 7 | 0.33mi |
| 1801 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $4,250 | $4.26 | 18d | 4 | 0.33mi |
| 1801 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $4,250 | $4.26 | 24d | 3 | 0.33mi |
| 565 Lilac Ct West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,000 | $2.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1803 N Flagler Dr #310 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $3,000 | $3.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1617 N Flagler Dr Unit 9B West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1817 | $8,900 | $4.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1551 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $5,098 | $4.34 | 24d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 1551 N Flagler Dr Unit (Annual/Seasonal) Uph 11 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $6,000 | $3.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1551 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $5,050 | $4.30 | 21d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 1551 N Flagler Dr Unit Uph-2 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,750 | $3.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 245 30th St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $9,000 | $7.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 823 14th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,495 | $3.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1101 Grant St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,995 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1104 State St Unit C West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $3,000 | $3.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 517 31st St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1406 | $3,150 | $2.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 926 14th St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,000 | $2.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 216 32nd St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1846 | $6,200 | $3.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 202 32nd St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $5,995 | $3.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3410 Poinsettia Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1257 | $3,350 | $2.67 | 11d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 306 34th St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1443 | $4,650 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3415 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $9,950 | $8.48 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 406 35th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $8,000 | $4.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 933 30th Ct West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $3,100 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 636 35th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $3,500 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 917 N Flagler Dr #311 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $3,000 | $3.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1115 Windsor Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1377 | $3,500 | $2.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 921 8th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,395 | $3.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 805 N Olive Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $3,704 | $4.35 | 3d | 15 | 0.97mi |
| 1319 13th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $3,200 | $2.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 619 37th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $3,350 | $2.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 436 38th St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1479 | $6,500 | $4.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 701 37th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $389,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $389,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $389,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $389,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $389,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $389,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $389,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 383-char remark
-
2026-05-31$389,000 Active 160 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,319
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,790
- − Property taxes
- −$5,835
- − Insurance
- −$1,945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,866
- − Management
- −$3,866
- − Depreciation
- −$11,316
- Taxable loss
- −$299
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$72
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 222,012
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,851
- Household income
- $59,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2157.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.26%
- Current HPI
- 363.3995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $389,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-11-21 Listed $389,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…