55 Londonderry Ln · Belfast, ME 04915

$99,900

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 2004 2.03 ac lot $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.7/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

CONTRACTOR OR INVESTOR PROJECT- This property has suffered water damage and there is organic growth throughput the first floor and basement. This is a short sale and is being sold as is, where is. Only cash offers will be considered.

Key facts

• 2.03 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2004

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 2.5% in Belfast — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#14 in ME, #1,247 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D+, amenities F.
• RSU 71 (town): math 79% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #85 of 112 in ME (top 76%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Waldo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Waldo County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.55%
• Cash-on-cash: 33.04%
• DSCR: 2.47
• GRM: 4.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $294,800
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
18 Edgecomb Rd	0.42mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,008 (-8%)	14mo	$270,000	$268	44
20 Edgecomb Rd	0.45mi	3/1.0 (-1)	974 (-12%)	13mo	$187,500	$193	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.18×
• Total profit: $33,004
• Equity at exit: $14,895

10-year hold

• IRR: 35.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.31×
• Total profit: $92,454
• Equity at exit: $8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Maine: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 04915

• Home prices YoY: -15.1%
• Active inventory: 119
• Price-to-rent: 4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,061 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$254 /mo · $3,054/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$38
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$433
• Net cashflow: $770

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,086

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $38 · $456/yr
• Likely covers: water

Listing history 10 events

1. 2025-11-10
   status Pending
2. 2025-11-04
   listed $99,900 Active
3. 2025-10-17
   price $250,000
4. 2025-09-08
   price $275,000
5. 2022-12-27
   historical
6. 2022-12-06
   price $329,000
7. 2022-11-09
   price $375,000
8. 2022-10-10
   listed $425,000 Active
9. 2014-06-19
   listed $59,900
10. 2008-09-23
    listed $375,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,054 · $254/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,054 · $254/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 41% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,733
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$3,054
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,979
• − Management: −$1,979
• − HOA: −$456
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable income: $8,264
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,983
• After-tax cash flow: $7,260/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: RSU 71
• NCES district ID: 2314822
• Math proficiency: 79% ▲ 55.00%
• Reading proficiency: 82% ▲ 34.00%
• Median HH income: $43,774
• Composite: 67.47/100
• National rank: #374
• State rank: #85 of 112 in ME

Livability — Belfast

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #14
• US rank: #1247

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Belfast, ME
• City population: 9,030
• Population (ZIP): 9,030

Population outlook (Waldo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 39,611 people
• By 2030: 39,475 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 38,245 · -3.4%
• By 2050: 36,078 · -8.9%
• By 2075: 29,774 · -24.8%
• By 2100: 22,172 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 8% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Waldo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.0% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 3.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+3.4 2020: D+4.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+10.7 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -46.00%
• Current HPI: 258.9162
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-73.4% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-10 Pending — MREIS
• 2025-11-04 Listed $99,900 MREIS
• 2025-10-17 Price Changed $250,000 MREIS
• 2025-09-08 Price Changed $275,000 MREIS
• 2022-12-27 Delisted — MREIS
• 2022-12-06 Price Changed $329,000 MREIS
• 2022-11-09 Price Changed $375,000 MREIS
• 2022-10-10 Listed $425,000 MREIS
• 2014-06-19 Listed $59,900 MREIS
• 2008-09-23 Listed $375,000 MREIS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,054 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.