205 W Bond St · Denison, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Downtown Denison opportunity with flexible use. Located in the heart of downtown Denison, this property offers more than just a place to live, it’s an opportunity. Zoned retail (commercial) per the city, this property allows for office, boutique, mixed-use, or even an art studio, gallery, craft shop, or artisan shop. The city has also indicated possible rezoning to multifamily, giving investors multiple exit strategies and long-term upside. Strong location with room to add value, whether you’re looking to occupy, lease, or reposition. Currently a 4 bed, 2 bath home with over 1,800 sqft and major updates already completed, including roof, HVAC, and interior improvements.
Key facts
- Complete remodel
- Brand new roof
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($925/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Denison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#221 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Denison ISD (urban): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #315 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 485 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 10775% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.90%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $238,498
- List price
- $174,000
- Delta
- -27.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 W Bond St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,847 (0%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $94 | 96 |
| 113 W Morton St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,824 (-1%) | 0mo | $224,000 | $123 | 84 |
| 409 W Johnson St | 0.24mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,792 (-3%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $148 | 70 |
| 215 W Sears St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,659 (-10%) | 5mo | $134,900 | $81 | 68 |
| 117 W Morton St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,598 (-14%) | 6mo | $289,000 | $181 | 59 |
| 610 W Chestnut St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,766 (-4%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $142 | 48 |
| 430 E Morton St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,660 (-10%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $136 | 45 |
| 800 W Bond St | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,776 (-4%) | 15mo | $215,000 | $121 | 44 |
| 826 W Morton St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,625 (-12%) | 1mo | $239,000 | $147 | 43 |
| 600 E Woodard St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,749 (-5%) | 9mo | $209,000 | $119 | 42 |
| 800 W Gandy St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-8%) | 13mo | $255,000 | $150 | 40 |
| 1005 W Walker St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (-6%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $138 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-28,054
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-36,539
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75020
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 485
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 W Bond St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1294 | $1,375 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 226 W Bond St Unit 224 Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1294 | $1,375 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 320 W Bond St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 212 E Walker St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,695 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 401 W Elm St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 527 W Walker St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 613 W Elm St Unit 613 Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,525 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 731 W Bond St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 731 W Morton St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 727 W Johnson St Unit A Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1238 | $1,450 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 521 E Sears St Denison, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 430 E Woodard St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1263 | $1,590 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 411 S Fannin Ave #411 Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1322 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 713 E Sears St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,475 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1004 W Gandy St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,299 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 900 W Chestnut St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1742 | $1,695 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 313 E Nelson St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $1,625 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 327-329 E Nelson St #329 Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,625 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 809 S Travis Ave Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,595 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1022 W Shepherd St #1022 Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1322 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1011 S Armstrong Ave Unit B Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2068 | $1,800 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 517 E Heron St Denison, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,550 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-04-06price $174,000 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Downtown Denison opportunity with flexible use. Located in the heart of downtown Denison, this property offers more than just a place to live, it’s an opportunity. Zoned retail (commercial) per the city, this property allows for office, boutique, mixed-use, or even an art studio, gallery, craft shop, or artisan shop. The city has also indicated possible rezoning to multifamily, giving investors multiple exit strategies and long-term upside. Strong location with room to add value, whether you’re looking to occupy, lease, or reposition. Currently a 4 bed, 2 bath home with over 1,800 sqft and major updates already completed, including roof, HVAC, and interior improvements.
-
2026-03-09price $175,000 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Downtown Denison opportunity with flexible use. Located in the heart of downtown Denison, this property offers more than just a place to live, it’s an opportunity. Zoned retail (commercial) per the city, this property allows for office, boutique, mixed-use, or even an art studio, gallery, craft shop, or artisan shop. The city has also indicated possible rezoning to multifamily, giving investors multiple exit strategies and long-term upside. Strong location with room to add value, whether you’re looking to occupy, lease, or reposition. Currently a 4 bed, 2 bath home with over 1,800 sqft and major updates already completed, including roof, HVAC, and interior improvements.
-
2026-03-01historical $1,500
-
2026-01-05price $1,500
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Downtown Denison opportunity with flexible use. Located in the heart of downtown Denison, this property offers more than just a place to live, it’s an opportunity. Zoned retail (commercial) per the city, this property allows for office, boutique, mixed-use, or even an art studio, gallery, craft shop, or artisan shop. The city has also indicated possible rezoning to multifamily, giving investors multiple exit strategies and long-term upside. Strong location with room to add value, whether you’re looking to occupy, lease, or reposition. Currently a 4 bed, 2 bath home with over 1,800 sqft and major updates already completed, including roof, HVAC, and interior improvements.
-
2026-01-05price $179,888 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Downtown Denison opportunity with flexible use. Located in the heart of downtown Denison, this property offers more than just a place to live, it’s an opportunity. Zoned retail (commercial) per the city, this property allows for office, boutique, mixed-use, or even an art studio, gallery, craft shop, or artisan shop. The city has also indicated possible rezoning to multifamily, giving investors multiple exit strategies and long-term upside. Strong location with room to add value, whether you’re looking to occupy, lease, or reposition. Currently a 4 bed, 2 bath home with over 1,800 sqft and major updates already completed, including roof, HVAC, and interior improvements.
-
2025-10-12price $179,999 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Downtown Denison opportunity with flexible use. Located in the heart of downtown Denison, this property offers more than just a place to live, it’s an opportunity. Zoned retail (commercial) per the city, this property allows for office, boutique, mixed-use, or even an art studio, gallery, craft shop, or artisan shop. The city has also indicated possible rezoning to multifamily, giving investors multiple exit strategies and long-term upside. Strong location with room to add value, whether you’re looking to occupy, lease, or reposition. Currently a 4 bed, 2 bath home with over 1,800 sqft and major updates already completed, including roof, HVAC, and interior improvements.
-
2025-08-29$1,600
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2025-08-23$185,000 Active 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Downtown Denison opportunity with flexible use. Located in the heart of downtown Denison, this property offers more than just a place to live, it’s an opportunity. Zoned retail (commercial) per the city, this property allows for office, boutique, mixed-use, or even an art studio, gallery, craft shop, or artisan shop. The city has also indicated possible rezoning to multifamily, giving investors multiple exit strategies and long-term upside. Strong location with room to add value, whether you’re looking to occupy, lease, or reposition. Currently a 4 bed, 2 bath home with over 1,800 sqft and major updates already completed, including roof, HVAC, and interior improvements.
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2025-08-11historical
-
2025-07-26$1,700
-
2025-07-11price $189,000
-
2025-06-05$199,900 Active
-
2022-03-02status Pending
-
2021-10-06status Pending
-
2021-10-05status Active
-
2021-10-05historical
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2021-07-09status Active
-
2021-07-01historical
-
2021-05-04price $100,000
-
2021-01-23$110,000 Active
-
2019-01-18historical
-
2018-09-22price $85,000
-
2018-08-06$90,000 Active
-
2007-05-01soldstatus
-
2000-08-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,094 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,184 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- +$90/yr (+$8/mo · 2.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$3,094
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,604
- − Management
- −$1,604
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable loss
- −$1,932
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$464
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Denison ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,650
- Composite
- 36.6/100
- National rank
- #4629
- State rank
- #315 of 826 in TX
Livability — Denison
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #5428
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Denison, TX
- County
- Grayson County · 108,053 people
- City population
- 34,008
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,835
- Household income
- $71,605
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 997.0
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Serbian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.96%
- Current HPI
- 257.1806
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.05%
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+93.3% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $174,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-01 Rental Removed $1,500 NTREIS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $1,500 NTREIS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $179,888 NTREIS
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $179,999 NTREIS
- 2025-08-29 Listed for Rent $1,600 NTREIS
- 2025-08-23 Listed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-11 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-07-26 Listed for Rent $1,700 NTREIS
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $189,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-05 Listed $199,900 NTREIS
- 2022-03-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-10-06 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-10-05 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2021-10-05 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-07-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2021-07-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-05-04 Price Changed $100,000 NTREIS
- 2021-01-23 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
- 2019-01-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2018-09-22 Price Changed $85,000 NTREIS
- 2018-08-06 Listed $90,000 NTREIS
- 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,094 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…