206 S Litchfield St · Frankfort, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home located in the Village of Frankfort! This well-maintained property offers over 1,250 square feet of living space featuring a first-floor bedroom, first-floor laundry, spacious living areas, and an eat-in kitchen. Exterior highlights include vinyl siding, a detached 2-stall garage, blacktop driveway, and a manageable village lot. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, parks, and shopping. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or looking to add to your investment portfolio, this property offers great value and potential. Easy access to major roadways for commuting. Don't miss this opportunity—schedule your showin
Key facts
- First floor laundry
- Eat in kitchen
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with electricity; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Stone foundation; Existing (built previously)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 63 x 56
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Other interior features (see remarks); Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#648 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Frankfort-Schuyler Central School District (town): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #538 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Frankfort-Schuyler Elementary School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,729 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 349 students, 48% FRL); Frankfort-Schuyler Middle School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #483 of 729 statewide, top 68%, 210 students, 49% FRL); Frankfort-Schuyler Central High School (math 92%, 258 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.54%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,750
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 Palmer St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+7%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $130 | 61 |
| 105 Fox St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (-2%) | 20mo | $212,000 | $172 | 60 |
| 111 N Frankfort St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,428 (+14%) | 6mo | $79,500 | $56 | 59 |
| 112 Pleasant Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,409 (+12%) | 19mo | $194,700 | $138 | 57 |
| 403 S Litchfield St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,370 (+9%) | 24mo | $111,000 | $81 | 56 |
| 303 Third Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+7%) | 19mo | $180,200 | $134 | 51 |
| 303 Palmer St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,317 (+5%) | 22mo | $120,000 | $91 | 51 |
| 303 Ingham Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,317 (+5%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $42 | 49 |
| 411 Palmer St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-10%) | 24mo | $147,500 | $131 | 45 |
| 103 East Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (+13%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $120 | 45 |
| 126 8th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (+12%) | 9mo | $162,000 | $115 | 44 |
| 136 E Orchard St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (+14%) | 23mo | $180,000 | $125 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $105,257
- Equity at exit
- $135,042
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.95×
- Total profit
- $291,767
- Equity at exit
- $291,223
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13340
- Home prices YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,292/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $454 | -5% $411 | +0% $369 | +5% $326 | +10% $284 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $290 | +0% $369 | +5% $447 | +10% $526 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $444 | -0.5pp $407 | base $369 | +0.5pp $330 | +1.0pp $290 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$149,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,292 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,292 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$4,292
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,914
- − Management
- −$1,914
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,296
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frankfort-Schuyler Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611400
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,499
- Composite
- 32.87/100
- National rank
- #5610
- State rank
- #538 of 590 in NY
Livability — Frankfort
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #648
- US rank
- #12129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frankfort, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,322
Population outlook (Herkimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,340 people
- By 2030
- 56,838 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 51,098 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 45,080 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 32,648 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 22,266 · -62.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Herkimer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.8% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -36.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 25.15%
- Current HPI
- 336.077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,292 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…