911 Brookside Ct · Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated townhouse, corner unit. Fireplace, ceramic tile, Berber carpet, ceiling fans, new A/C and dishwasher. Community pool and tennis courts. New roof in 1999, per owner. Separate indoor laundry room. Attached exterior storage room.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Tennis court
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is part of Brookside Townhomes (recorded plat description available)
- HOA & community: HOA present; annual fee of $1,800; HOA covers association, grounds maintenance, recreation facility and trash; Community amenities include pool, picnic area and tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Two total parking spaces; 2 spaces per unit
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Copper wiring with circuit breakers; Cable available; Underground utilities; Publicly maintained road
- Home design: Attached property (townhome); Two levels; Resale condition; Green efficiency features including heat pump, insulation, insulated walls and ridge vent
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Off-grade foundation; Building has two levels
- Exterior features: Deck; Tennis court(s); Rain gutters; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom approximately 15 x 15; Second bedroom on the second floor approximately 11 x 12
- Flooring: Carpet; Simulated wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Bathroom condition not updated
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Fireplace(s)
- Interior features: Storage; Baseboards; Ceiling fans; High-speed internet available; Recessed lighting; Double pane windows; Blinds and some drapes; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookups inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-457/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (3.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $173k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: O. J. Semmes Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,105 of 2,144 statewide, top 98%, 302 students, 91% FRL); Ferry Pass Middle School (math 34% / reading 33%, grade F, #428 of 571 statewide, top 76%, 1,014 students, 64% FRL); Washington Senior High School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #411 of 667 statewide, top 62%, 1,733 students, 51% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Escambia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $180k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.68%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,540
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 929 Brookside Pl | 0.05mi | 2/1.5 | 1,260 (-9%) | 1mo | $167,000 | $133 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-30,701
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-26,248
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32503
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,806 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,762/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $-38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $64 | -5% $13 | +0% $-38 | +5% $-89 | +10% $-140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-181 | -5% $-109 | +0% $-38 | +5% $33 | +10% $105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $53 | -0.5pp $8 | base $-38 | +0.5pp $-85 | +1.0pp $-132 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4400 N 9th Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1713 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 531 Ditmar St Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 538 Royce St Unit 1A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3131 N 10th Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3014 Magnolia Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,750 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-19$179,900 Active
-
2026-02-03historical $1,495
-
2025-09-17price $1,495
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2025-08-16$1,595
-
2002-09-23soldstatus $69,000
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2002-09-20soldstatus $69,000 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Updated townhouse, corner unit. Fireplace, ceramic tile, Berber carpet, ceiling fans, new A/C and dishwasher. Community pool and tennis courts. New roof in 1999, per owner. Separate indoor laundry room. Attached exterior storage room.
-
2002-05-02$70,000 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Updated townhouse, corner unit. Fireplace, ceramic tile, Berber carpet, ceiling fans, new A/C and dishwasher. Community pool and tennis courts. New roof in 1999, per owner. Separate indoor laundry room. Attached exterior storage room.
-
2002-03-27historical
-
2001-07-11$70,500
-
2001-03-27historical
-
2000-09-27$74,900
-
1994-09-20soldstatus $49,900
-
1984-06-01soldstatus $51,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,762 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,762 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,762
- − Insurance
- −$1,697
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,734
- − Management
- −$1,734
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$3,363
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$807
- After-tax cash flow
- $350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pensacola
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 237,636
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,559
- Household income
- $71,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 948.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.02%
- Current HPI
- 294.4873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.39%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+248.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $179,900 PARMLS
- 2026-02-03 Rental Removed $1,495 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $1,495 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-08-16 Listed for Rent $1,595 TENANTTURNER2
- 2002-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-20 Sold (MLS) $69,000 PARMLS
- 2002-05-02 Listed $70,000 PARMLS
- 2002-03-27 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2001-07-11 Listed $70,500 PARMLS
- 2001-03-27 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2000-09-27 Listed $74,900 PARMLS
- 1994-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 1984-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,762 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…