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431 Helton Dr
C+ Composite 61.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,900

431 Helton Dr · Clarksville, TN 37042
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,489 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1985 9,147 sqft lot Est $259k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MULTIPLE OFFERS! Highest and best due 5/25/26 at 12pm! Looking for an investment opportunity? Maybe a flip? Well, look no further than 431 Helton Dr! This 4 bedroom 2 bath 1650sqft home is full of opportunity and priced accordingly! Roof is newer but the rest of the house will need some updating! Schedule your showing today! Interior pics to come later. SELLING AS IS

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1985

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Garage faces front; 1 covered parking space; 1 total parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water service available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Entry level information not provided; Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Brick/mortar foundation; Year built: existing
  • Exterior features: Sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 2 main-level bedrooms; Bedroom sizes: 19x13, 13x11, 13x10, 11x10
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Range; Carpet flooring; Vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $166k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.5% in Clarksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in TN, #798 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #65 of 139 in TN (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Kenwood Elementary (math 21% / reading 23%, grade F, #601 of 952 statewide, top 66%, 687 students, 0% FRL); Kenwood High (math 5% / reading 29%, grade F, #225 of 332 statewide, top 69%, 1,291 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 893 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,583 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (617 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.11%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$259,086
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
427 Helton Dr 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,344 (-10%) 4mo $195,000 $145 79
1002 Roedeer Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,401 (-6%) 9mo $220,000 $157 61
503 Pollard Dr 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,650 (+11%) 9mo $250,000 $152 58
152 Irish Hls 0.38mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,595 (+7%) 6mo $311,900 $196 58
56 Hillsboro Rd 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,371 (-8%) 0mo $269,900 $197 58
208 Dale Ter 0.55mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,430 (-4%) 4mo $254,900 $178 58
154 Irish Hls 0.55mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,579 (+6%) 8mo $314,900 $199 51
27 Binks Dr 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,400 (-6%) 3mo $177,500 $127 50
221 Downer Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,325 (-11%) 0mo $230,000 $174 47
307 Southern Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (-9%) 1mo $199,000 $147 42
427 Sarah Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,285 (-14%) 6mo $275,000 $214 39
103 Bo Ct 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,283 (-14%) 2mo $189,500 $148 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-12,253
Equity at exit
$24,736
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$424
Equity at exit
$14,344

Cash invested: $46,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37042

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
893
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,668 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$870
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,244/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,320
Max offer price $165,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,475
Closing costs
$4,977
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
404 Carter Rd Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,550 $0.97 13d 1 0.17mi
417 McMurry Rd Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,550 $1.36 13d 1 0.28mi
808 Bedford Dr Clarksville, TN 3.0 1.5 1186 $1,350 $1.14 13d 1 0.39mi
830 Peachers Mill Rd Clarksville, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 945 $1,280 $1.35 13d 19 0.45mi
735 Cayce Dr Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,600 $1.15 21d 1 0.85mi
7 Dalewood Dr Clarksville, TN 4.0 2.0 1726 $1,450 $0.84 21d 1 0.85mi
833 Lutz Ln Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 13d 1 0.91mi
500 Peachers Mill Rd Unit C2 Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.5 1450 $1,600 $1.10 21d 1 0.94mi
500 Peachers Mill Rd Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.5 1835 $1,800 $0.98 21d 1 0.94mi
124 Yorktown Rd Clarksville, TN 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,275 $1.20 21d 1 0.96mi
4 Gettysburg St Clarksville, TN 3.0 1.5 1358 $1,500 $1.10 13d 1 1.06mi
1080 Dublin Dr Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,639 $1.26 13d 1 1.06mi
518 Bruce Jenner Dr Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1110 $1,375 $1.24 21d 1 1.07mi
2408 N Ford St Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,225 $1.23 13d 1 1.14mi
1122 Rosebrook Dr Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.5 1736 $1,730 $1.00 21d 1 1.21mi
226 Jim Thorpe Dr Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,545 $1.04 21d 1 1.27mi
72 Seminole Trl Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.0 980 $1,300 $1.33 21d 1 1.30mi
414A Oak St Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,900 $1.29 21d 1 1.30mi
414 Oak St Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.5 1472 $2,000 $1.36 21d 1 1.30mi
110 Rainbow St Clarksville, TN 3.0 1.5 1845 $1,750 $0.95 13d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $165,900 Active
  2. 2026-05-21
    historical $165,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,019
− Mortgage interest
−$9,293
− Property taxes
−$1,244
− Insurance
−$830
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,602
− Management
−$1,602
− Depreciation
−$4,826
Taxable income
$623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$150
After-tax cash flow
$3,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
4703030
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,423
Composite
24.56/100
National rank
#7641
State rank
#65 of 139 in TN

Livability — Clarksville

Score
84/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#798

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clarksville, TN
County
Montgomery County · 211,371 people
City population
211,371
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
Population (ZIP)
87,652
Household income
$70,393
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
2093.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
236,633 people
By 2030
258,978 · +9.4%
By 2040
305,456 · +29.1%
By 2050
353,147 · +49.2%
By 2075
471,289 · +99.2%
By 2100
564,122 · +138.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
R (+18.4) · D 40.0% · R 58.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -18.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.4 2020: R+12.7 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+7.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.81%
Current HPI
264.4911
Rent YoY
▲ 1.27%
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $165,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $165,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,244 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…