1418 Red Hills Dr · Rosharon, TX 77583

$330,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 348 Days on market

Built 2021 Good condition 8,028 sqft lot $124/sqft · 10% below area Est $360k · 8% under $63/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +11.3/15.0
• Cash flow +5.8/30.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• DSCR +0.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Escape the city and discover a fantastic opportunity with this beautiful Home in Sierra Vista. The seller is highly motivated, making this a great deal for investors or buyers looking for value! This home features a classic brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open-concept great room. The kitchen is well-equipped with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-inch cabinets. The spacious primary suite offers dual vanities, a 42-inch Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower for a spa-like feel. Other upgrades include faux wood blinds, full gutters, and a covered patio. Sierra Vista offers resort-style amenities like a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic pool, splash pad, water park, fitness center, and walking trails. With quick access to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, you’re minutes from Downtown Houston, the Texas Medical Center, and shopping and dining at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

Key facts

• Brick elevation
• Tile flooring
• Granite countertops

Tags

• BRICK ELEVATION
• TILE FLOORING
• OPEN-CONCEPT GREAT ROOM
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• TILE BACKSPLASH
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-725 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (26.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (12.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $244k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#701 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Alvin ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #255 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1445 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 57d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $244,242 (26.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.88% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.90%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.55%
• DSCR: 0.62
• GRM: 9.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $360,160
• List price: $330,000
• Delta: -8.37%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1225 Scarlet Mountain Dr	0.25mi	4/2.5	2,468 (-7%)	5mo	$290,000	$118	72
10831 Bodie Hills Dr	0.41mi	4/3.5	2,598 (-2%)	2mo	$378,000	$145	72
1314 Eagle Pass Dr	0.52mi	4/3.5	2,604 (-2%)	2mo	$339,900	$131	67
10507 Sutter Creek Dr	0.55mi	4/3.0	2,566 (-3%)	3mo	$489,900	$191	64
1702 Homewood Point Ln	0.45mi	3/3.5 (-1)	2,718 (+2%)	5mo	$429,000	$158	62
1811 Tioga View Dr	0.44mi	4/3.5	2,875 (+8%)	1mo	$429,990	$150	61
1722 Darwin Cedar Dr	0.34mi	4/2.5	2,974 (+12%)	6mo	$399,000	$134	60
4322 Eagle Pass Dr	0.49mi	4/3.5	2,894 (+9%)	6mo	$414,990	$143	54
9919 Shimmering Lakes Dr	0.72mi	4/3.5	2,498 (-6%)	2mo	$294,900	$118	51
1906 Temple Grove Dr	0.67mi	4/3.5	2,468 (-7%)	4mo	$386,550	$157	49
10910 Amador Peak Dr	0.62mi	4/2.5	2,372 (-11%)	7mo	$354,990	$150	48
10902 Amador Peak Dr	0.60mi	5/3.5 (+1)	2,841 (+7%)	6mo	$465,780	$164	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -37.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.15×
• Total profit: $-106,437
• Equity at exit: $49,204

10-year hold

• IRR: -81.5%
• Equity multiple: -0.93×
• Total profit: $-178,517
• Equity at exit: $28,532

Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 59 active · 20 under contract
• Months of supply: 16.1 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $379,990 ($152/sqft)
• Median days on market: 50 d
• This list price: 19% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -10.6% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77583

• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 1445
• Price-to-rent: 9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,899 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,731
• Tax from tax record: −$1,018 /mo · $12,212/yr
• Insurance: −$138
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$63
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$609
• Net cashflow: $-725

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,817

Max offer price $244,242

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-538	-5% $-632	+0% $-725	+5% $-818	+10% $-912
Rent	-10% $-954	-5% $-840	+0% $-725	+5% $-611	+10% $-496
Rate	-1.0pp $-559	-0.5pp $-641	base $-725	+0.5pp $-811	+1.0pp $-898

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $82,500
• Closing costs: $9,900
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 15 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
10622 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.0	1780	$2,775	$1.56	93d	1	0.22mi
10630 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX	3.0	2.5	1940	$2,875	$1.48	52d	1	0.24mi
1403 Cascade Hills Dr Rosharon, TX	4.0	3.0	2067	$3,450	$1.67	56d	1	0.33mi
10534 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.5	1804	$2,770	$1.54	0d	1	0.36mi
1207 Cascade Hills Dr Rosharon, TX	3.0	2.0	2070	$2,300	$1.11	36d	1	0.43mi
10714 Cliffs View Dr Iowa Colony, TX	4.0	3.5	2070	$2,700	$1.30	93d	1	0.43mi
10313 Malta Trace Dr Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.0	1802	$2,545	$1.41	93d	1	0.44mi
1816 Corsica Creek Ln Rosharon, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1770	$2,579	$1.46	0d	17	0.55mi
9423 Grand Spark Dr Rosharon, TX	3.0	3.0	1999	$2,600	$1.30	93d	1	0.89mi
10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1731	$2,875	$1.66	0d	8	0.91mi
10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1731	$2,875	$1.66	93d	7	0.91mi
9439 Ruby Mist Dr Rosharon, TX	5.0	2.5	2605	$2,276	$0.87	48d	1	0.93mi
1123 Diamond Drape Dr Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.0	1844	$2,000	$1.08	62d	1	0.96mi
2314 Red Slate Dr Rosharon, TX	4.0	4.0	2531	$2,850	$1.13	93d	1	0.98mi
9207 Penfield Dr Arcola, TX	3.0	2.5	1866	$2,121	$1.14	0d	1	1.34mi

HOA detail $63/mo · $756/yr

• Likely covers: waterpoolgym

Listing history 39 events

1. 2026-07-11
   days on market $330,000 Active 348 DOM
2. 2026-07-10
   days on market $330,000 Active 347 DOM
3. 2026-07-09
   days on market $330,000 Active 346 DOM
4. 2026-07-07
   days on market $330,000 Active 344 DOM
5. 2026-07-06
   days on market $330,000 Active 343 DOM
6. 2026-07-06
   days on market $330,000 Active 342 DOM
7. 2026-07-05
   days on market $330,000 Active 341 DOM
8. 2026-07-03
   days on market $330,000 Active 340 DOM
9. 2026-07-02
   days on market $330,000 Active 339 DOM
10. 2026-07-01
    days on market $330,000 Active 338 DOM
11. 2026-06-30
    days on market $330,000 Active 337 DOM
12. 2026-06-29
    days on market $330,000 Active 336 DOM
13. 2026-06-28
    days on market $330,000 Active 335 DOM
14. 2026-06-27
    days on market $330,000 Active 334 DOM
15. 2026-06-26
    days on market $330,000 Active 333 DOM
16. 2026-06-24
    days on market $330,000 Active 331 DOM
17. 2026-06-22
    days on market $330,000 Active 329 DOM
18. 2026-06-21
    days on market $330,000 Active 328 DOM
19. 2026-06-18
    days on market $330,000 Active 325 DOM
20. 2026-06-17
    days on market $330,000 Active 324 DOM
21. 2026-06-16
    days on market $330,000 Active 323 DOM
22. 2026-06-15
    days on market $330,000 Active 322 DOM
23. 2026-06-13
    days on market $330,000 Active 320 DOM
24. 2026-06-13
    days on market $330,000 Active 319 DOM
25. 2026-06-09
    days on market $330,000 Active 316 DOM
26. 2026-06-08
    days on market $330,000 Active 315 DOM
27. 2026-06-07
    days on market $330,000 Active 314 DOM
28. 2026-06-04
    days on market $330,000 Active 311 DOM
29. 2026-06-03
    days on market $330,000 Active 310 DOM
30. 2026-06-02
    days on market $330,000 Active 309 DOM
31. 2026-06-01
    days on market $330,000 Active 308 DOM
32. 2026-05-31
    days on market $330,000 Active 307 DOM
33. 2026-02-03
    price $330,000 1014-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Escape the city and discover a fantastic opportunity with this beautiful Home in Sierra Vista. The seller is highly motivated, making this a great deal for investors or buyers looking for value! This home features a classic brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open-concept great room. The kitchen is well-equipped with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-inch cabinets. The spacious primary suite offers dual vanities, a 42-inch Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower for a spa-like feel. Other upgrades include faux wood blinds, full gutters, and a covered patio. Sierra Vista offers resort-style amenities like a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic pool, splash pad, water park, fitness center, and walking trails. With quick access to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, you’re minutes from Downtown Houston, the Texas Medical Center, and shopping and dining at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

34. 2025-07-28
    listed $360,000 Active 1014-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Escape the city and discover a fantastic opportunity with this beautiful Home in Sierra Vista. The seller is highly motivated, making this a great deal for investors or buyers looking for value! This home features a classic brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open-concept great room. The kitchen is well-equipped with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-inch cabinets. The spacious primary suite offers dual vanities, a 42-inch Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower for a spa-like feel. Other upgrades include faux wood blinds, full gutters, and a covered patio. Sierra Vista offers resort-style amenities like a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic pool, splash pad, water park, fitness center, and walking trails. With quick access to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, you’re minutes from Downtown Houston, the Texas Medical Center, and shopping and dining at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

35. 2021-11-04
    soldstatus Sold 947-char remark

    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Escape the city to this beautiful KB Home in Sierra Vista, which features a brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open great room. Whip up delicious meals in the kitchen, complete with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-in. cabinets. Relax in the serene primary suite, fully equipped with dual vanities, a 42-in. Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower. Additional home features include faux wood blinds, full house gutters, and a covered patio. Community comforts include a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic-sized pool, cabana, splash pad, water park, exercise facility, and hiking trails. With close proximity to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, residents of Sierra Vista enjoy easy access to Downtown Houston and the Texas Medical Center. Shopping, dining, and entertainment can be found nearby at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

36. 2021-07-28
    status Pending 947-char remark

    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Escape the city to this beautiful KB Home in Sierra Vista, which features a brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open great room. Whip up delicious meals in the kitchen, complete with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-in. cabinets. Relax in the serene primary suite, fully equipped with dual vanities, a 42-in. Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower. Additional home features include faux wood blinds, full house gutters, and a covered patio. Community comforts include a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic-sized pool, cabana, splash pad, water park, exercise facility, and hiking trails. With close proximity to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, residents of Sierra Vista enjoy easy access to Downtown Houston and the Texas Medical Center. Shopping, dining, and entertainment can be found nearby at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

37. 2021-07-07
    price $349,963 947-char remark

    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Escape the city to this beautiful KB Home in Sierra Vista, which features a brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open great room. Whip up delicious meals in the kitchen, complete with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-in. cabinets. Relax in the serene primary suite, fully equipped with dual vanities, a 42-in. Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower. Additional home features include faux wood blinds, full house gutters, and a covered patio. Community comforts include a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic-sized pool, cabana, splash pad, water park, exercise facility, and hiking trails. With close proximity to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, residents of Sierra Vista enjoy easy access to Downtown Houston and the Texas Medical Center. Shopping, dining, and entertainment can be found nearby at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

38. 2021-06-24
    price $349,768 947-char remark

    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Escape the city to this beautiful KB Home in Sierra Vista, which features a brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open great room. Whip up delicious meals in the kitchen, complete with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-in. cabinets. Relax in the serene primary suite, fully equipped with dual vanities, a 42-in. Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower. Additional home features include faux wood blinds, full house gutters, and a covered patio. Community comforts include a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic-sized pool, cabana, splash pad, water park, exercise facility, and hiking trails. With close proximity to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, residents of Sierra Vista enjoy easy access to Downtown Houston and the Texas Medical Center. Shopping, dining, and entertainment can be found nearby at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

39. 2021-06-17
    listed $347,768 Active 947-char remark

    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Escape the city to this beautiful KB Home in Sierra Vista, which features a brick elevation, tile flooring, and an open great room. Whip up delicious meals in the kitchen, complete with granite countertops, a tile backsplash, stainless steel Energy Star® appliances, and 42-in. cabinets. Relax in the serene primary suite, fully equipped with dual vanities, a 42-in. Kohler Master Windward® tub, and a separate shower. Additional home features include faux wood blinds, full house gutters, and a covered patio. Community comforts include a 4-acre Crystal Lagoon with white sand beaches, a junior Olympic-sized pool, cabana, splash pad, water park, exercise facility, and hiking trails. With close proximity to Hwy 288, Hwy 6, and Beltway 8, residents of Sierra Vista enjoy easy access to Downtown Houston and the Texas Medical Center. Shopping, dining, and entertainment can be found nearby at Pearland Town Center and The Crossing at 288.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $12,212 · $1,018/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $12,212 · $1,018/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,787
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,485
• − Property taxes: −$12,212
• − Insurance: −$2,448
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,783
• − Management: −$2,783
• − HOA: −$756
• − Depreciation: −$9,600
• Taxable loss: −$14,279
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,427
• After-tax cash flow: $-5,273/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $13,280–$39,840 screening

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates that would increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Replace carpet in living room — Carpet can be worn and replacing it improves comfort and appearance ↑
• Both Install new kitchen backsplash — A new backsplash can add a fresh look and improve functionality ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Alvin ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808090
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $66,740
• Composite: 38.96/100
• National rank: #4080
• State rank: #255 of 826 in TX

C Composite livability gradescore 65/100

Livability — Rosharon

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #701
• US rank: #13120

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Brazoria County · 420,414 people
• City population: 26,236
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 52,747
• Household income: $119,287
• Rent vs Own: 9.8% rent · 90.2% own

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Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 420,414 people
• By 2030: 457,585 · +8.8%
• By 2040: 532,232 · +26.6%
• By 2050: 605,399 · +44.0%
• By 2075: 779,358 · +85.4%
• By 2100: 883,759 · +110.2%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 34% White 20% Two or more races 18% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

• 2024 margin: R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -120.19%
• Current HPI: 198.6559
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.44%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-5.1% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-03 Price Changed $330,000 HARMLS
• 2025-07-28 Listed $360,000 HARMLS
• 2021-11-04 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2021-07-28 Pending — HARMLS
• 2021-07-07 Price Changed $349,963 HARMLS
• 2021-06-24 Price Changed $349,768 HARMLS
• 2021-06-17 Listed $347,768 HARMLS

Property tax history

+98.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $12,212 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.