702 Kenwood Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* INVESTOR ALERT * Recently renovated, three-story 4 Bed / 2 Full Bath townhome available in the Madison/Eastend Neighborhood blocks from Bocek Park! Needs some turnover work. Perfect for investors and homeowners alike! ARVs as high as $280,000 and rental comps as high as $2300 / mo within a 2-block radius. Deep, unfinished basement for additional updating options.
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Vibrant community
- Historic elegance
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Year built estimated
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade other structures
- Exterior features: Basement with outside entrance, connecting stairway; unfinished; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on first upper level, one on second upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,843/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 966% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $146k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.76%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,720
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2604 Mura St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 852 (+12%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $147 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $4,126
- Equity at exit
- $26,092
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $77,101
- Equity at exit
- $15,130
Cash invested: $48,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21205
- Home prices YoY
- -5.8%
- Rents YoY
- 9.9%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,843 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,297/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $457 | -5% $407 | +0% $358 | +5% $308 | +10% $259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $285 | +0% $358 | +5% $430 | +10% $503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $446 | -0.5pp $402 | base $358 | +0.5pp $312 | +1.0pp $266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,748
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 437 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2308 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,450 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,500 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,395 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2410 E Federal St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 305 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 722 | $2,895 | $4.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2311 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1607 Hakesley Pl Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1627 Rutland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3905 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 909 | $3,290 | $3.62 | 3d | 20 | 1.10mi |
| 1418 E Monument St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1265 | $1,920 | $1.52 | 15d | 5 | 1.13mi |
| 3322 Ravenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,800 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3339 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,600 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4015 Eastern Ave Unit 2L Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 931 N Central Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,400 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3317 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1226 E Madison St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,179 | $1.98 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3218 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1205 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,550 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4300 Orchard Ridge Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,809 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3518 Elliott St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1036 | $2,800 | $2.70 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2809 Boston St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1246 | $3,440 | $2.76 | 2d | 11 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $174,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$174,990 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,297 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,602 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$305/yr (+$25/mo · 23.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,802
- − Property taxes
- −$1,297
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $1,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,013
- Household income
- $43,176
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 966.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 16% White 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Cuban 1% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.03%
- Current HPI
- 244.1345
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.88%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+548.1% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $174,990 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-31 Rental Removed $1,800 BRIGHTMLS
- 2025-11-27 Price Changed $1,800 BRIGHTMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listed for Rent $2,000 BRIGHTMLS
- 2025-09-30 Rental Removed $2,500 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-08-02 Listed for Rent $2,500 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-21 Sold (MLS) $146,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-31 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-31 Price Changed $146,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-22 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-06-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-09 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
- 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-20 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-13 Listed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-08-03 Sold (MLS) $6,000 MRIS
- 2001-05-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-05-12 Listed $6,000 MRIS
- 1997-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
- 1987-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,297 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…