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405 Burch St
C+ Composite 62.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

405 Burch St · Hartselle, AL 35640
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,073 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 109 Days on market
Built 1948 0.30 ac lot $112/sqft · 35% below area Est $171k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent opportunity for investors or someone looking for a fixer upper. Cute 2 BR, 1 bath home off Sparkman Street in Hartselle. Minutes from downtown and shopping. Original hardwood floors. With a little TLC, this property would make a cozy home. Comes with a large storage shed, complete with misc. stuff! Fenced backyard. House moved from its original location to its current location back in the 1960's. Sold as is.

Key facts

  • Fenced backyard
  • Large storage shed
  • 0.3 acre lot

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE STORAGE SHEDFENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.1% in Hartselle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#32 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hartselle City (other): math 41% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 129 in AL (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $120k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,200 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$170,827
List price
$120,000
Delta
-29.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1306 Sparkman St NW 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,133 (+6%) 4mo $162,000 $143 76
1620 Peach Orchard Rd NW 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,088 (+1%) 9mo $192,000 $176 69
501 Carol St 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,169 (+9%) 10mo $205,000 $175 63
929 Rhodes St NW 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,057 (-2%) 11mo $159,000 $150 60
1839 Peach Orchard Rd NW 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-2%) 3mo $195,031 $185 58
606 Morrow St NE 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (-2%) 4mo $155,000 $148 55
1111 NW Sparkman St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,140 (+6%) 22mo $194,900 $171 52
1017 NE Bethel St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (+7%) 16mo $165,000 $143 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,163
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$11,565
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35640

Home prices YoY
-13.6%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,152 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $255/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $887
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $277 -5% $243 +0% $210 +5% $176 +10% $-2
Rent -10% $119 -5% $164 +0% $210 +5% $255 +10% $301
Rate -1.0pp $270 -0.5pp $240 base $210 +0.5pp $178 +1.0pp $147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
710 Midway St NW Hartselle, AL 2.0 2.0 943 $1,124 $1.19 44d 1 0.39mi
706 Midway St NW Hartselle, AL 1.0 1.0 760 $965 $1.27 44d 1 0.40mi
506 Hickory St SE Unit A Hartselle, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 24d 1 1.08mi
506 Hickory St SE Unit B Hartselle, AL 3.0 2.0 1462 $1,400 $0.96 24d 1 1.08mi
500 Crestline Dr SW Hartselle, AL 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,500 $1.06 15d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    price $120,000 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for investors or someone looking for a fixer upper. Cute 2 BR, 1 bath home off Sparkman Street in Hartselle. Minutes from downtown and shopping. Original hardwood floors. With a little TLC, this property would make a cozy home. Comes with a large storage shed, complete with misc. stuff! Fenced backyard. House moved from its original location to its current location back in the 1960's. Sold as is.

  2. 2026-05-14
    status Active 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for investors or someone looking for a fixer upper. Cute 2 BR, 1 bath home off Sparkman Street in Hartselle. Minutes from downtown and shopping. Original hardwood floors. With a little TLC, this property would make a cozy home. Comes with a large storage shed, complete with misc. stuff! Fenced backyard. House moved from its original location to its current location back in the 1960's. Sold as is.

  3. 2026-04-19
    status Pending 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for investors or someone looking for a fixer upper. Cute 2 BR, 1 bath home off Sparkman Street in Hartselle. Minutes from downtown and shopping. Original hardwood floors. With a little TLC, this property would make a cozy home. Comes with a large storage shed, complete with misc. stuff! Fenced backyard. House moved from its original location to its current location back in the 1960's. Sold as is.

  4. 2026-03-07
    price $130,000 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for investors or someone looking for a fixer upper. Cute 2 BR, 1 bath home off Sparkman Street in Hartselle. Minutes from downtown and shopping. Original hardwood floors. With a little TLC, this property would make a cozy home. Comes with a large storage shed, complete with misc. stuff! Fenced backyard. House moved from its original location to its current location back in the 1960's. Sold as is.

  5. 2026-01-14
    listed $140,000 Active 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Excellent opportunity for investors or someone looking for a fixer upper. Cute 2 BR, 1 bath home off Sparkman Street in Hartselle. Minutes from downtown and shopping. Original hardwood floors. With a little TLC, this property would make a cozy home. Comes with a large storage shed, complete with misc. stuff! Fenced backyard. House moved from its original location to its current location back in the 1960's. Sold as is.

  6. 2019-06-19
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$255 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$492 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$237/yr (+$20/mo · 92.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,824
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$255
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,106
− Management
−$1,106
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$544
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$131
After-tax cash flow
$2,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartselle City
NCES district ID
0101730
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$51,169
Composite
44.88/100
National rank
#2717
State rank
#10 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hartselle

Score
72/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#6515

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartselle, AL
City population
26,976
Population (ZIP)
26,976

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,775 people
By 2030
116,979 · -1.5%
By 2040
111,800 · -5.9%
By 2050
105,181 · -11.4%
By 2075
87,736 · -26.1%
By 2100
67,624 · -43.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.12%
Current HPI
242.5778
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $120,000 VMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $130,000 VMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $140,000 VMLS
  • 2019-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $255 · +33.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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