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418 Teton Cir
C- Composite 50.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

418 Teton Cir · Suffolk, VA 23435
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,701 sqft · Condo public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2007 $162/sqft · 6% below area Est $293k · 6% under $204/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome HOME! This spacious, move-in-ready well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath three story town home has amazing living space! This open concept beauty has a spacious first floor with a great kitchen, dining & living room- perfect for entertaining & pre-wired for surround sound and so much amazing natural light. On the 2nd level, there are two spacious bedrooms, a full bath, and a large laundry room. The amazing 3rd floor has an oversized primary suite with vaulted ceilings that takes up the ENTIRE top floor with an ensuite full bath, with double sinks, a linen closet & large walk-in closet. It is an amazing 3rd-floor primary oasis all to yourself! Recessed lighting, ceili

Key facts

  • Great kitchen
  • Open concept
  • Natural light

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTGREAT KITCHENPRE-WIRED FOR SURROUND SOUNDNATURAL LIGHTOVERSIZED PRIMARY SUITEENSUITE FULL BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Remington Park Condos HOA; Monthly association fee of 204; Condo POA amenities: ground maintenance, playgrounds, trash pickup

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned/reserved parking (1 space); Close to mass transit; Multi-car parking available
  • Utilities: City/County water; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Attached condo, contemporary townhouse; 3 living levels; 3 stories; End unit; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Shingle siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as condo
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Corner unit; Patio; Back and front picket fence; Wooded view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Pantry; Breakfast area
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom with ensuite; Master bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric heating; Programmable thermostat; Electric water heater
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceiling; Double primary sink; Walk-in closet; Window treatments; Ceiling fan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room; Utility closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Suffolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
  • Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Florence Bowser Elementary (math 52% / reading 75%, grade B, #460 of 1,108 statewide, top 42%, 831 students, 64% FRL); Nansemond River High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #204 of 319 statewide, top 65%, 1,698 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $263,046 (4.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.45%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$292,710
List price
$275,000
Delta
-6.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-24,645
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$49,810
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23435

Rents YoY
10.6%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,630 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,692/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$204
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,513
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $249 -5% $171 +0% $93 +5% $15 +10% $-63
Rent -10% $-115 -5% $-11 +0% $93 +5% $197 +10% $301
Rate -1.0pp $231 -0.5pp $163 base $93 +0.5pp $22 +1.0pp $-51

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
604 Teton Cir Suffolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1701 $2,500 $1.47 13d 1 0.02mi
3111 Burlington St Suffolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1638 $2,700 $1.65 22d 1 0.07mi
2113 Livingston St Suffolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1770 $2,750 $1.55 5d 1 0.10mi
2230 Livingston St Suffolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1659 $2,500 $1.51 5d 1 0.21mi
2230 Livingston St Suffolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1767 $2,500 $1.41 8d 1 0.21mi
2003 Laycock Ln Suffolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1771 $2,500 $1.41 44d 1 0.92mi
1005 Serene Rd #103 Suffolk, VA 4.0 3.5 2071 $2,900 $1.40 5d 1 1.14mi
5109 James St Chesapeake, VA 3.0 1.5 1128 $2,200 $1.95 44d 1 1.21mi
371 Canaan Cir Suffolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2132 $3,200 $1.50 44d 1 1.23mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$204 · $2,448/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $275,000 Active 1014-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,692 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,692 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,566
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,692
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,525
− Management
−$2,525
− HOA
−$2,448
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$3,404
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$817
After-tax cash flow
$1,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Suffolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103710
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$65,573
Composite
48.31/100
National rank
#2151
State rank
#72 of 131 in VA

Livability — Suffolk

Score
77/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#2896

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Suffolk, VA
County
Suffolk City · 88,108 people
City population
88,108
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
33,721
Household income
$111,700
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1074.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,269 people
By 2030
98,269 · +3.1%
By 2040
103,177 · +8.3%
By 2050
105,777 · +11.0%
By 2075
110,963 · +16.5%
By 2100
103,711 · +8.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 36% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
D (+15.9) · D 57.4% · R 41.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 15.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.9 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.93%
Current HPI
162.3775
Rent YoY
▲ 10.61%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $275,000 REINMLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,692 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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