251 S Prospect St · Tonopah, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This real estate listing highlights a charming home built in 1931, featuring 667 square feet of living space. Here are the key points: Condition: The home has been in the family since its construction and requires a new kitchen floor along with some upgrades. It's being sold "As Is Where Is, " which means the buyer will be responsible for any necessary repairs and improvements. , Lot Size: The property includes a large lot behind the home, which This offers potential for expansion or additional rental income. Location: Situated in the heart of old Tonopah, the home provides ample parking space, making it convenient for residents and guests. Potential: The listing invites buyers to customize the home with their own upgrades, offering a chance to create a personalized living space. This property could be appealing for someone looking for a fixer-upper in a genuine location with the potential for expansion. If you're interested, consider evaluating the cost of necessary renovations and the local real estate market to make an informed offer.
Key facts
- Ample parking space
- 3,746 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#60 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 569 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 569 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.16%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,718
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -32.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 S South St | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 576 (-14%) | 23mo | $40,000 | $69 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $25,565
- Equity at exit
- $32,503
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $66,849
- Equity at exit
- $52,803
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89049
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $860 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 569 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 568 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 567 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 566 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 565 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 563 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 562 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 559 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 558 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 557 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 553 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 552 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 551 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 550 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 549 DOM
-
2025-11-20price $65,000 1068-char remark
Show marketing remark (1068 chars)
This real estate listing highlights a charming home built in 1931, featuring 667 square feet of living space. Here are the key points: Condition: The home has been in the family since its construction and requires a new kitchen floor along with some upgrades. It's being sold "As Is Where Is, " which means the buyer will be responsible for any necessary repairs and improvements. , Lot Size: The property includes a large lot behind the home, which This offers potential for expansion or additional rental income. Location: Situated in the heart of old Tonopah, the home provides ample parking space, making it convenient for residents and guests. Potential: The listing invites buyers to customize the home with their own upgrades, offering a chance to create a personalized living space. This property could be appealing for someone looking for a fixer-upper in a genuine location with the potential for expansion. If you're interested, consider evaluating the cost of necessary renovations and the local real estate market to make an informed offer.
-
2024-11-24$75,000 Active - New 1068-char remark
Show marketing remark (1068 chars)
This real estate listing highlights a charming home built in 1931, featuring 667 square feet of living space. Here are the key points: Condition: The home has been in the family since its construction and requires a new kitchen floor along with some upgrades. It's being sold "As Is Where Is, " which means the buyer will be responsible for any necessary repairs and improvements. , Lot Size: The property includes a large lot behind the home, which This offers potential for expansion or additional rental income. Location: Situated in the heart of old Tonopah, the home provides ample parking space, making it convenient for residents and guests. Potential: The listing invites buyers to customize the home with their own upgrades, offering a chance to create a personalized living space. This property could be appealing for someone looking for a fixer-upper in a genuine location with the potential for expansion. If you're interested, consider evaluating the cost of necessary renovations and the local real estate market to make an informed offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$825
- − Management
- −$825
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,833
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$440
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1931 single-family home requires moderate renovations, including new flooring and a new bathroom tub, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen floor — Old, worn-out floor tiles
- Major Bathroom tub — Visible rust and wear
- Moderate Exterior siding and fence — Weathered appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New kitchen floor — Fresh flooring will attract buyers
- Resale New bathroom tub — A new tub will improve the bathroom's appearance
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will enhance curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen floor · Old, worn-out floor tiles | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom tub · Visible rust and wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding and fence · Weathered appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $33,000–115,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New kitchen floor — Fresh flooring will attract buyers ↑
- Resale New bathroom tub — A new tub will improve the bathroom's appearance ↑
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will enhance curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nye County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200360
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,447
- Composite
- 22.43/100
- National rank
- #8110
- State rank
- #16 of 17 in NV
Livability — Tonopah
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #16080
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tonopah, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,711
Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,727 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 33,952 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 29,393 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 21,122 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 14,400 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nye
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.88%
- Current HPI
- 124.5675
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
-13.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $65,000 NNRMLS
- 2024-11-24 Listed $75,000 NNRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…