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251 S Prospect St
B+ Composite 79.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$65,000

251 S Prospect St · Tonopah, NV 89049
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 667 sqft · SingleFamily · 569 Days on market
Built 1931 Fair condition 3,746 sqft lot $97/sqft · 32% below area Est $96k · 32% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This real estate listing highlights a charming home built in 1931, featuring 667 square feet of living space. Here are the key points: Condition: The home has been in the family since its construction and requires a new kitchen floor along with some upgrades. It's being sold "As Is Where Is, " which means the buyer will be responsible for any necessary repairs and improvements. , Lot Size: The property includes a large lot behind the home, which This offers potential for expansion or additional rental income. Location: Situated in the heart of old Tonopah, the home provides ample parking space, making it convenient for residents and guests. Potential: The listing invites buyers to customize the home with their own upgrades, offering a chance to create a personalized living space. This property could be appealing for someone looking for a fixer-upper in a genuine location with the potential for expansion. If you're interested, consider evaluating the cost of necessary renovations and the local real estate market to make an informed offer.

Key facts

  • Ample parking space
  • 3,746 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

AMPLE PARKING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#60 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 569 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 569 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.16%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,718
List price
$65,000
Delta
-32.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
345 S South St 0.07mi 1/1.0 576 (-14%) 23mo $40,000 $69 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$25,565
Equity at exit
$32,503
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$66,849
Equity at exit
$52,803

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89049

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 569 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 568 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 567 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 566 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 565 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 563 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 562 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 559 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 558 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 557 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 553 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 552 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 551 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 550 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 549 DOM
  16. 2025-11-20
    price $65,000 1068-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1068 chars)

    This real estate listing highlights a charming home built in 1931, featuring 667 square feet of living space. Here are the key points: Condition: The home has been in the family since its construction and requires a new kitchen floor along with some upgrades. It's being sold "As Is Where Is, " which means the buyer will be responsible for any necessary repairs and improvements. , Lot Size: The property includes a large lot behind the home, which This offers potential for expansion or additional rental income. Location: Situated in the heart of old Tonopah, the home provides ample parking space, making it convenient for residents and guests. Potential: The listing invites buyers to customize the home with their own upgrades, offering a chance to create a personalized living space. This property could be appealing for someone looking for a fixer-upper in a genuine location with the potential for expansion. If you're interested, consider evaluating the cost of necessary renovations and the local real estate market to make an informed offer.

  17. 2024-11-24
    listed $75,000 Active - New 1068-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1068 chars)

    This real estate listing highlights a charming home built in 1931, featuring 667 square feet of living space. Here are the key points: Condition: The home has been in the family since its construction and requires a new kitchen floor along with some upgrades. It's being sold "As Is Where Is, " which means the buyer will be responsible for any necessary repairs and improvements. , Lot Size: The property includes a large lot behind the home, which This offers potential for expansion or additional rental income. Location: Situated in the heart of old Tonopah, the home provides ample parking space, making it convenient for residents and guests. Potential: The listing invites buyers to customize the home with their own upgrades, offering a chance to create a personalized living space. This property could be appealing for someone looking for a fixer-upper in a genuine location with the potential for expansion. If you're interested, consider evaluating the cost of necessary renovations and the local real estate market to make an informed offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,315
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$825
− Management
−$825
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,833
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$440
After-tax cash flow
$2,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 1931 single-family home requires moderate renovations, including new flooring and a new bathroom tub, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen floor — Old, worn-out floor tiles
  • Major Bathroom tub — Visible rust and wear
  • Moderate Exterior siding and fence — Weathered appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New kitchen floor — Fresh flooring will attract buyers
  • Resale New bathroom tub — A new tub will improve the bathroom's appearance
  • Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will enhance curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen floor · Old, worn-out floor tiles Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom tub · Visible rust and wear Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior siding and fence · Weathered appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $33,000–115,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale New kitchen floor — Fresh flooring will attract buyers
  • Resale New bathroom tub — A new tub will improve the bathroom's appearance
  • Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will enhance curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nye County School District
NCES district ID
3200360
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,447
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#8110
State rank
#16 of 17 in NV

Livability — Tonopah

Score
63/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#16080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tonopah, NV
Population (ZIP)
2,711

Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,727 people
By 2030
38,812 · -4.7%
By 2040
33,952 · -16.6%
By 2050
29,393 · -27.8%
By 2075
21,122 · -48.1%
By 2100
14,400 · -64.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nye

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.88%
Current HPI
124.5675
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $65,000 NNRMLS
  • 2024-11-24 Listed $75,000 NNRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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