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205 S Prairie Ave
B Composite 72.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$58,950

205 S Prairie Ave · Petrolia, TX 76377
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market
Built 1986 Poor condition 1.82 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This Commercial or Residential Property, was Laundromat before , The Building Size 1480 SQ FT , CITY WATER AND CITY SEWER AVAILABLE , This Property Has 1.8 Acres Land included for use, will be Great for FEED STORE , OR Storage Units. Residential Home, Listing agent owner, for Help Call Agent

Key facts

  • 1.8 acres land
  • City water
  • City sewer

Tags

1.8 ACRES LANDCITY WATERCITY SEWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered
  • HOA & community: Association: H&H REALTY

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1986
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Metal roof; Block and slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (approx. 24 x 20)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 20 x 16); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 20 x 16); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 20 x 14); Three possible bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Bidet; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,101 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Petrolia CISD (rural): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #489 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Petrolia Junior High/High School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 206 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $58,065 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
17.33%
Cash-on-cash
39.43%
DSCR
2.75
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,680
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
908 E Benton 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-6%) 9mo $164,500 $122 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.9%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$41,662
Equity at exit
$26,506
10-year hold
IRR
44.7%
Equity multiple
7.05×
Total profit
$99,937
Equity at exit
$40,850

Cash invested: $16,506 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76377

Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $884/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$542

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $58,950
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $583 -5% $563 +0% $542 +5% $522 +10% $502
Rent -10% $447 -5% $495 +0% $542 +5% $590 +10% $637
Rate -1.0pp $572 -0.5pp $557 base $542 +0.5pp $527 +1.0pp $512

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,738
Closing costs
$1,768
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $58,950 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,950 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,950 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,950 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,950 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,950 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,950 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $58,950 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,950 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,950 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,950 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 292-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $58,950 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,426
− Mortgage interest
−$3,302
− Property taxes
−$884
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,154
− Management
−$1,154
− Depreciation
−$1,715
Taxable income
$5,922
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,421
After-tax cash flow
$5,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof and siding replacement, landscaping, and painting. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Exposed rafters and missing shingles
  • Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and debris

Value-add opportunities

  • Both repair roof and siding — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Both landscape and clear debris — Enhances curb appeal and safety
  • Both paint exterior — Improves appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Exposed rafters and missing shingles Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Weathered and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and debris Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both repair roof and siding — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Both landscape and clear debris — Enhances curb appeal and safety
  • Both paint exterior — Improves appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Petrolia CISD
NCES district ID
4834710
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$49,921
Composite
31.11/100
National rank
#6071
State rank
#489 of 826 in TX

Livability — Petrolia

Score
60/100
State rank
#1101
US rank
#19475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Petrolia, TX
Population (ZIP)
470

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,537 people
By 2030
9,042 · -5.2%
By 2040
8,090 · -15.2%
By 2050
7,255 · -23.9%
By 2075
5,834 · -38.8%
By 2100
4,491 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 6%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+79.7) · D 9.9% · R 89.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.6pp · 2024: -79.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+79.7 2020: R+77.6 2016: R+76.6 2012: R+69.7 2008: R+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $58,950 HARMLS
  • 2023-12-30 Rental Removed $495 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-15 Listed for Rent $495 HARMLS
  • 2023-04-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2022-04-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2022-04-09 Listed $48,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-03-04 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2021-10-29 Price Changed $45,500 HARMLS
  • 2021-10-19 Listed $55,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-06-03 Listed $48,000 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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