205 S Prairie Ave · Petrolia, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$58,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Commercial or Residential Property, was Laundromat before , The Building Size 1480 SQ FT , CITY WATER AND CITY SEWER AVAILABLE , This Property Has 1.8 Acres Land included for use, will be Great for FEED STORE , OR Storage Units. Residential Home, Listing agent owner, for Help Call Agent
Key facts
- 1.8 acres land
- City water
- City sewer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered
- HOA & community: Association: H&H REALTY
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1986
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Metal roof; Block and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (approx. 24 x 20)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 20 x 16); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 20 x 16); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 20 x 14); Three possible bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Bidet; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,101 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Petrolia CISD (rural): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #489 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Petrolia Junior High/High School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 206 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.43%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,680
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 908 E Benton | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-6%) | 9mo | $164,500 | $122 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $41,662
- Equity at exit
- $26,506
- IRR
- 44.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.05×
- Total profit
- $99,937
- Equity at exit
- $40,850
Cash invested: $16,506 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76377
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $884/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $542
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $583 | -5% $563 | +0% $542 | +5% $522 | +10% $502 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $447 | -5% $495 | +0% $542 | +5% $590 | +10% $637 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $572 | -0.5pp $557 | base $542 | +0.5pp $527 | +1.0pp $512 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,738
- Closing costs
- $1,768
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
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2026-06-21days on market $58,950 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $58,950 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $58,950 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $58,950 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $58,950 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $58,950 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $58,950 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $58,950 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $58,950 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $58,950 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $58,950 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-05remarks 292-char remark
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2026-06-05$58,950 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,302
- − Property taxes
- −$884
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$1,715
- Taxable income
- $5,922
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,421
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,087/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof and siding replacement, landscaping, and painting. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Exposed rafters and missing shingles
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair roof and siding — Critical to safety and appearance
- Both landscape and clear debris — Enhances curb appeal and safety
- Both paint exterior — Improves appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Exposed rafters and missing shingles | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Weathered and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and debris | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both repair roof and siding — Critical to safety and appearance ↑
- Both landscape and clear debris — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑
- Both paint exterior — Improves appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Petrolia CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834710
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,921
- Composite
- 31.11/100
- National rank
- #6071
- State rank
- #489 of 826 in TX
Livability — Petrolia
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1101
- US rank
- #19475
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petrolia, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 470
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,537 people
- By 2030
- 9,042 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 8,090 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 7,255 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 5,834 · -38.8%
- By 2100
- 4,491 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.7) · D 9.9% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.6pp · 2024: -79.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.7 2020: R+77.6 2016: R+76.6 2012: R+69.7 2008: R+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
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- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
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- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+22.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $58,950 HARMLS
- 2023-12-30 Rental Removed $495 HARMLS
- 2023-10-15 Listed for Rent $495 HARMLS
- 2023-04-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-04-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2022-04-09 Listed $48,000 HARMLS
- 2022-03-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-10-29 Price Changed $45,500 HARMLS
- 2021-10-19 Listed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2021-06-03 Listed $48,000 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…