8531 Morrison Rd · New Orleans, LA 70127

$139,000

5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,413 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market

Built 1980 Est $194k · 28% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.8/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful ranch-style home priced to sell. Charming New Orleans residence perfectly situated on a conveniently located thoroughfare. Steps to Maria Goretti neighborhood, community activities and park. Easy access to local dining hotspots, grocery shopping, and everyday conveniences. The kitchen/dining offers ample space with an open floorpan and workspace - opens seamlessly to the main living areas. Well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfortable and cozy access to bathrooms. Updates in 2024. Second bathroom ready to add your finishing touches. Seller highly motivated. Suitable for private owner or investor. PRICED TO MOVE!

Key facts

• Second bathroom
• Open floorpan
• Ranch-style home

Tags

• RANCH-STYLE HOME
• NEW ORLEANS RESIDENCE
• OPEN FLOORPAN
• MAIN LIVING AREAS
• SECOND BATHROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
• Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
• Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,056/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2030% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $51k; list at $139k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $136,915 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.67%
• DSCR: 1.92
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $193,581
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7508 Burke Rd	0.30mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,258 (-11%)	13mo	$150,000	$119	48
7701 Edward St	0.66mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,536 (+9%)	19mo	$210,000	$137	32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $16,009
• Equity at exit: $20,725

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.64×
• Total profit: $63,746
• Equity at exit: $12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70127

• Home prices YoY: -29.2%
• Active inventory: 128
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,056 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$729
• Tax from tax record: −$167 /mo · $2,007/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$432
• Net cashflow: $604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,292

Max offer price $139,000

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,750
• Closing costs: $4,170
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7063 Boston Dr New Orleans, LA	4.0	2.5	1750	$1,900	$1.09	15d	1	0.35mi
7500 Symmes Ave New Orleans, LA	4.0	2.0	1400	$2,100	$1.50	23d	1	0.83mi
4828 Eastview Dr New Orleans, LA	4.0	2.0	1260	$1,675	$1.33	23d	1	1.05mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-03-10
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-01
   status Pending 630-char remark

   Show marketing remark (630 chars)

   Beautiful ranch-style home priced to sell. Charming New Orleans residence perfectly situated on a conveniently located thoroughfare. Steps to Maria Goretti neighborhood, community activities and park. Easy access to local dining hotspots, grocery shopping, and everyday conveniences. The kitchen/dining offers ample space with an open floorpan and workspace - opens seamlessly to the main living areas. Well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfortable and cozy access to bathrooms. Updates in 2024. Second bathroom ready to add your finishing touches. Seller highly motivated. Suitable for private owner or investor. PRICED TO MOVE!

3. 2026-03-01
   historical Active Under Contract

   Show marketing remark (630 chars)

   Beautiful ranch-style home priced to sell. Charming New Orleans residence perfectly situated on a conveniently located thoroughfare. Steps to Maria Goretti neighborhood, community activities and park. Easy access to local dining hotspots, grocery shopping, and everyday conveniences. The kitchen/dining offers ample space with an open floorpan and workspace - opens seamlessly to the main living areas. Well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfortable and cozy access to bathrooms. Updates in 2024. Second bathroom ready to add your finishing touches. Seller highly motivated. Suitable for private owner or investor. PRICED TO MOVE!

4. 2026-02-25
   price $139,000 630-char remark

   Show marketing remark (630 chars)

   Beautiful ranch-style home priced to sell. Charming New Orleans residence perfectly situated on a conveniently located thoroughfare. Steps to Maria Goretti neighborhood, community activities and park. Easy access to local dining hotspots, grocery shopping, and everyday conveniences. The kitchen/dining offers ample space with an open floorpan and workspace - opens seamlessly to the main living areas. Well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfortable and cozy access to bathrooms. Updates in 2024. Second bathroom ready to add your finishing touches. Seller highly motivated. Suitable for private owner or investor. PRICED TO MOVE!

5. 2026-02-25
   price $139,000

   Show marketing remark (630 chars)

   Beautiful ranch-style home priced to sell. Charming New Orleans residence perfectly situated on a conveniently located thoroughfare. Steps to Maria Goretti neighborhood, community activities and park. Easy access to local dining hotspots, grocery shopping, and everyday conveniences. The kitchen/dining offers ample space with an open floorpan and workspace - opens seamlessly to the main living areas. Well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfortable and cozy access to bathrooms. Updates in 2024. Second bathroom ready to add your finishing touches. Seller highly motivated. Suitable for private owner or investor. PRICED TO MOVE!

6. 2026-01-31
   listed $149,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (630 chars)

   Beautiful ranch-style home priced to sell. Charming New Orleans residence perfectly situated on a conveniently located thoroughfare. Steps to Maria Goretti neighborhood, community activities and park. Easy access to local dining hotspots, grocery shopping, and everyday conveniences. The kitchen/dining offers ample space with an open floorpan and workspace - opens seamlessly to the main living areas. Well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfortable and cozy access to bathrooms. Updates in 2024. Second bathroom ready to add your finishing touches. Seller highly motivated. Suitable for private owner or investor. PRICED TO MOVE!

7. 2026-01-31
   listed $149,000 Active 630-char remark

   Show marketing remark (630 chars)

   Beautiful ranch-style home priced to sell. Charming New Orleans residence perfectly situated on a conveniently located thoroughfare. Steps to Maria Goretti neighborhood, community activities and park. Easy access to local dining hotspots, grocery shopping, and everyday conveniences. The kitchen/dining offers ample space with an open floorpan and workspace - opens seamlessly to the main living areas. Well-proportioned bedrooms provide comfortable and cozy access to bathrooms. Updates in 2024. Second bathroom ready to add your finishing touches. Seller highly motivated. Suitable for private owner or investor. PRICED TO MOVE!

8. 2016-08-03
   historical
9. 2016-07-18
   price $125,000
10. 2016-05-01
    listed $130,000 Active
11. 2016-05-01
    listed $125,000
12. 2007-12-28
    soldstatus $51,000
13. 2007-10-18
    listed $55,000
14. 2007-10-18
    listed $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,007 · $167/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,007 · $167/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,676
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,786
• − Property taxes: −$2,007
• − Insurance: −$1,492
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,974
• − Management: −$1,974
• − Depreciation: −$4,044
• Taxable income: $5,398
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,296
• After-tax cash flow: $5,952/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Orleans Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201170
• Math proficiency: 11% ▼ -52.00%
• Reading proficiency: 27% ▼ -46.00%
• Median HH income: $37,011
• Composite: 15.78/100
• National rank: #9271
• State rank: #69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #3
• US rank: #1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New Orleans, LA
• County: Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
• City population: 338,817
• Metro: New Orleans-Metairie, LA
• Population (ZIP): 23,107
• Household income: $40,765
• Rent vs Own: 53.0% rent · 47.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 2030.0

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 513,025 people
• By 2030: 575,781 · +12.2%
• By 2040: 700,174 · +36.5%
• By 2050: 826,541 · +61.1%
• By 2075: 1,123,374 · +119.0%
• By 2100: 1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% White 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -72.43%
• Current HPI: 175.4465
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New Orleans-Metairie, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+152.7% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-10 Pending — GSREIN
• 2026-03-01 Pending — AcadianaMLS
• 2026-03-01 Contingent — GSREIN
• 2026-02-25 Price Changed $139,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2026-02-25 Price Changed $139,000 GSREIN
• 2026-01-31 Listed $149,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2026-01-31 Listed $149,000 GSREIN
• 2016-08-03 Listing Removed — GSREIN
• 2016-07-18 Price Changed $125,000 GSREIN
• 2016-05-01 Listed $130,000 GSREIN
• 2016-05-01 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2007-12-28 Sold (MLS) $51,000 GSREIN
• 2007-10-18 Listed $55,000 GSREIN
• 2007-10-18 Listed $55,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,007 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.