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1500 Villa #28
B Composite 71.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,500

1500 Villa #28 · Clovis, CA 93612
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1999 $119/sqft · 54% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Peaceful and quiet senior mobile home park in Clovis! This manufactured home boasts an open and spacious layout with 2 bedroom and 2 bathrooms would make a great home. If you have trouble with stair do not fear, this home comes with an electric lift. The park has a great community center with kitchen, large patio, pool and spa for get togethers. Refrigerator, washer and dryer included at no value and no warranty. Home need some TLC. One of the owners passed away in the home.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Club house
  • Pool and spa

Tags

CLUB HOUSEPOOL AND SPAGRANITE COUNTER TOPSLAMINATE FLOORINGDUAL PANE WINDOWSPATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private in-ground pool (fenced, community); In-ground spa

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric on; Public utilities
  • Home design: Mobile home; Park space rented
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Wood subfloor foundation; Manufactured by Infinity
  • Exterior features: One level; Park space; Urban corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms; Bathrooms with tub and shower options
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Double pane windows; Covered patio/porch
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $126k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $126k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.0% in Clovis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in CA, #3,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, cost of living F.
  • Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sierra Vista Elementary (503 students, 87% FRL); Clark Intermediate (1,462 students, 61% FRL); Clovis High (2,905 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 32% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $868 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $126k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,735 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
12.20%
Cash-on-cash
21.10%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,416
List price
$125,500
Delta
54.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1650 Villa Ave #9 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-2%) 3mo $120,000 $115 86
1650 Villa Ave #7 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-2%) 9mo $120,000 $115 80
1272 Villa Ave #66 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,000 (-5%) 4mo $70,000 $70 80
1500 Villa Ave #53 0.01mi 2/1.8 1,128 (+7%) 10mo $69,950 $62 76
1001 Sylmar Ave #239 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-5%) 5mo $124,900 $125 68
1724 Minnewawa Ave 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+4%) 10mo $65,000 $59 67
1724 Minnewawa Ave #134 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,140 (+8%) 1mo $90,000 $79 64
1724 Minnewawa #184 0.41mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+4%) 10mo $65,000 $59 61
1724 Minnewawa Ave #166 0.41mi 2/1.0 900 (-15%) 4mo $53,900 $60 53
1001 Sylmar Ave #82 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+9%) 12mo $95,000 $82 50
1001 Sylmar Ave #82 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+9%) 12mo $95,000 $82 50
1724 Minnewawa Ave #211 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,200 (+14%) 9mo $87,000 $73 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$18,364
Equity at exit
$18,712
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$63,995
Equity at exit
$10,851

Cash invested: $35,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93612

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,714 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$658
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $307/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$618

Break-even live

Break-even rent $932
Max offer price $125,500
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,375
Closing costs
$3,765
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
322 W Barstow Ave Unit 101 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 44d 1 0.15mi
1108 Villa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.23mi
69 W Beverly Ave Unit Advertising Unit Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 44d 1 0.30mi
1099 Sylmar Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 965 $1,750 $1.81 23d 3 0.35mi
139 W Portals Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,600 $1.58 44d 1 0.35mi
608 W Scott Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 2.0 1398 $2,100 $1.50 1d 1 0.40mi
50 W 9th St Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 23d 1 0.50mi
563 W Alamos Ave Unit D Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 3d 1 0.55mi
361 W Santa Ana Ave Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 735 $1,150 $1.56 44d 1 0.55mi
189 W Santa Ana Ave Apt F Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 3d 1 0.57mi
1038 Tollhouse Rd Unit 1038 Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,800 $1.64 2d 1 0.58mi
707 Bush Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,575 $1.66 44d 1 0.59mi
2243 Helm Ave Unit 102 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,925 $1.75 21d 1 0.61mi
1042 Adler Dr Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,895 $1.58 44d 1 0.61mi
740 Villa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 922 $1,950 $2.11 21d 1 0.61mi
33 W Santa Ana Ave Apt A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,450 $1.61 3d 1 0.64mi
145 Rall Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 16d 1 0.78mi
434 W Stuart Ave Unit 2 Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 860 $1,575 $1.83 3d 1 0.80mi
55 W Bullard Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,771 $2.21 1d 13 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 143A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,650 $1.83 21d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 215B Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,780 $1.79 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 208A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 220A Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 714 $1,350 $1.89 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 206B Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 23d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 101A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,580 $1.75 23d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 145A Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 714 $1,500 $2.10 23d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 116B Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,795 $1.81 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 223A Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,700 $1.71 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 204A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,600 $1.77 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 243A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 3d 1 0.86mi
841 W San Gabriel Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,995 $1.55 44d 1 0.91mi
5082 Primitivo Way Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 847 $1,945 $2.30 12d 2 0.93mi
2777 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 812 $1,769 $2.18 1d 8 0.93mi
835 W Pico Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 761 $1,595 $2.10 2d 3 0.96mi
3143 Matoian Way Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,960 $2.02 44d 1 1.00mi
2967 Terry Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 1.5 1099 $2,095 $1.91 23d 1 1.00mi
537 W Escalon Ave Apt 101 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 1.03mi
2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 928 $1,623 $1.75 23d 1 1.03mi
2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 890 $1,572 $1.77 10d 1 1.03mi
2800 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 774 $1,633 $2.11 1d 7 1.06mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,500 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,500 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,500 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,500 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,500 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,500 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,500 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,500 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,500 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,500 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,500 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,500 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,500 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,500 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,500 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-04-29
    listed $129,500 Active 592-char remark
  17. 2018-03-26
    price $60,000 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Peaceful and quiet senior mobile home park in Clovis! This manufactured home boasts an open and spacious layout with 2 bedroom and 2 bathrooms would make a great home. If you have trouble with stair do not fear, this home comes with an electric lift. The park has a great community center with kitchen, large patio, pool and spa for get togethers. Refrigerator, washer and dryer included at no value and no warranty. Home need some TLC. One of the owners passed away in the home.

  18. 2018-03-22
    status Pending 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Peaceful and quiet senior mobile home park in Clovis! This manufactured home boasts an open and spacious layout with 2 bedroom and 2 bathrooms would make a great home. If you have trouble with stair do not fear, this home comes with an electric lift. The park has a great community center with kitchen, large patio, pool and spa for get togethers. Refrigerator, washer and dryer included at no value and no warranty. Home need some TLC. One of the owners passed away in the home.

  19. 2018-03-22
    soldstatus $60,000 Sold 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Peaceful and quiet senior mobile home park in Clovis! This manufactured home boasts an open and spacious layout with 2 bedroom and 2 bathrooms would make a great home. If you have trouble with stair do not fear, this home comes with an electric lift. The park has a great community center with kitchen, large patio, pool and spa for get togethers. Refrigerator, washer and dryer included at no value and no warranty. Home need some TLC. One of the owners passed away in the home.

  20. 2018-02-21
    status Backup 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Peaceful and quiet senior mobile home park in Clovis! This manufactured home boasts an open and spacious layout with 2 bedroom and 2 bathrooms would make a great home. If you have trouble with stair do not fear, this home comes with an electric lift. The park has a great community center with kitchen, large patio, pool and spa for get togethers. Refrigerator, washer and dryer included at no value and no warranty. Home need some TLC. One of the owners passed away in the home.

  21. 2018-02-19
    price $65,000 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Peaceful and quiet senior mobile home park in Clovis! This manufactured home boasts an open and spacious layout with 2 bedroom and 2 bathrooms would make a great home. If you have trouble with stair do not fear, this home comes with an electric lift. The park has a great community center with kitchen, large patio, pool and spa for get togethers. Refrigerator, washer and dryer included at no value and no warranty. Home need some TLC. One of the owners passed away in the home.

  22. 2018-01-29
    listed $65,000 Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Peaceful and quiet senior mobile home park in Clovis! This manufactured home boasts an open and spacious layout with 2 bedroom and 2 bathrooms would make a great home. If you have trouble with stair do not fear, this home comes with an electric lift. The park has a great community center with kitchen, large patio, pool and spa for get togethers. Refrigerator, washer and dryer included at no value and no warranty. Home need some TLC. One of the owners passed away in the home.

  23. 2009-03-11
    soldstatus $50,000
  24. 2009-02-25
    price $54,500
  25. 2009-02-25
    historical
  26. 2009-02-24
    listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$307 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$954 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$647/yr (+$54/mo · 210.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 58% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 57 unhealthy d/yr today · 60 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,566
− Mortgage interest
−$7,030
− Property taxes
−$307
− Insurance
−$628
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,645
− Management
−$1,645
− Depreciation
−$3,651
Taxable income
$5,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,358
After-tax cash flow
$6,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Unified
NCES district ID
0609030
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$71,950
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#2003
State rank
#152 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Clovis

Score
76/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#3307

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
139,989
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
37,755
Household income
$66,683
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
2487.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -352.97%
Current HPI
357.6089
Rent YoY
▲ 2.65%
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+151.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $125,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $129,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 2018-03-26 Price Changed $60,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2018-03-22 Pending FRESNOMLS
  • 2018-03-22 Sold (MLS) $60,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2018-02-21 Pending FRESNOMLS
  • 2018-02-19 Price Changed $65,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2018-01-29 Listed $65,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2009-03-11 Sold (MLS) $50,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2009-02-25 Delisted FRESNOMLS
  • 2009-02-25 Price Changed $54,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 2009-02-24 Listed $50,000 FRESNOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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