1011 Angel St · Nevada, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
$283,130
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BRAND NEW energy - efficient home available NOW! The spacious living area flows seamlessly outdoors to the covered back patio. White cabinets with black pearl granite countertops, tan tone EVP flooring with taupe carpet. New energy-efficient move-in ready homes in Dallas-Fort Worth include a washer, dryer, fridge, and whole home blinds, plus they can be closing-ready in 60 days or less–guaranteed. Enjoy the small town feel at Morgan Farms and experience amenities including a pool, cabanas, and playground, all with easy access to Josephine, Royse City, and Lavon.
Key facts
- White cabinets
- Covered back patio
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $283k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-315 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (16.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.0% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#881 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: John & Barbara Roderick El (678 students, 52% FRL); Leland E Edge Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 931 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 485 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 33d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.77%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $309,570
- List price
- $283,130
- Delta
- 0.34%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Concord Ct | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 2,095 (+2%) | 3mo | $297,990 | $142 | 69 |
| 306 Timber Ridge Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,160 (+5%) | 4mo | $419,900 | $194 | 60 |
| 819 Lexington | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,095 (+2%) | 11mo | $273,990 | $131 | 57 |
| 601 Savanna Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,156 (+5%) | 14mo | $310,000 | $144 | 46 |
| 312 Timber Ridge Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,350 (+14%) | 4mo | $399,900 | $170 | 44 |
| 900 Lexington Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,827 (-11%) | 18mo | $254,990 | $140 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $134,207
- Equity at exit
- $255,066
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.19×
- Total profit
- $411,116
- Equity at exit
- $550,059
Cash invested: $79,276 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 77 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 46.2 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $286,990 ($157/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 71 d
- This list price
- 44% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75173
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 485
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,141 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,485
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$354 /mo · $4,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $-315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-119 | -5% $-217 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-413 | +10% $-511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-484 | -5% $-399 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-230 | +10% $-146 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-172 | -0.5pp $-243 | base $-315 | +0.5pp $-388 | +1.0pp $-463 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,782
- Closing costs
- $8,494
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6135 FM 547 Farmersville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $2,295 | $1.30 | 73d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 503 Hawthorn Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 503 Hawthorn Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 414 Main St Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $1,650 | $0.96 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 464 N Greenville St Farmersville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 716 Mallard Dr Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2119 | $2,300 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 319 Plum Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,899 | $1.20 | 59d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 503 Northern Red Dr Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $1,925 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 805 Martingale Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $2,300 | $1.19 | 38d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 504 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,799 | $1.09 | 9d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 504 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,949 | $1.18 | 64d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 306 E Cook St Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 42d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 503 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2077 | $2,190 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 819 Rustic Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 32d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 315 Pine Hollow Way Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2212 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 56d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 315 Pine Hollow Way Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2212 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 802 Turnbuckle Ct Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $1,849 | $1.17 | 93d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property type: Single Family ResidenceNo known restrictionsNot in a municipal utility district
- Financial info
- Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
- HOA & community
- Mandatory associationAnnual HOA fee of 600HOA covers grounds maintenance and management feesHOA managed by Alamo ManagementCommunity amenities include a pool and playground
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage with garage door openerTwo covered parking spacesNo carport spaces
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerLow-flow water fixtures
- Home design
- Residential single-family homeOne storyNew construction (incomplete, 2026)Smart home features present
- Construction
- Brick, fiber cement, and rock/stone exteriorComposition roofSlab foundationYear built 2026 (new construction - incomplete)
- Exterior features
- Wood fencingLot less than 0.5 acre
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas cooktopGas ovenMicrowaveDishwasherDisposalRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 14 x 13)Bedroom on level 1 (approx. 13 x 10)Bedroom on level 1 (approx. 11 x 10)Bedroom on level 1 (approx. 12 x 10)
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tileLuxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingHeat pumpENERGY STAR qualified equipment
- Interior features
- Cable TV availableHigh-speed internet availableSmart home systemSix total roomsOne living areaOne dining area
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryer
HOA detail $50/mo · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 48 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $283,130 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $283,130 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $283,130 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-08-04remarks 568-char remark
-
2026-08-04pricestatus $283,130 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-21statusdays on market $278,130 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $278,130 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $278,130 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $278,130 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $278,130 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $278,130 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $278,130 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $278,130 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $278,130 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $278,130 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $278,130 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $278,130 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-07pricedays on market $278,130 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $290,630 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $290,630 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $290,630 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $290,630 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $290,630 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $290,630 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $290,630 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $290,630 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $290,630 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $290,630 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $290,630 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $290,630 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $290,630 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $290,630 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,630 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,630 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,630 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,630 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $290,630 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $290,630 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,630 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,630 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $290,630 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $290,630 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $290,630 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 563-char remark
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $290,630 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,630 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,630 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$310,630 Active 171-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,698
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,860
- − Property taxes
- −$4,247
- − Insurance
- −$1,416
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,056
- − Management
- −$2,056
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$8,237
- Taxable loss
- −$8,773
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 20 photos
This move-in ready home features a spacious living area with modern appliances and flooring, making it an excellent investment for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting — Neutral paint can be refreshed to match current trends ↑
- Resale Flooring — EVP flooring can be replaced with hardwood or tile for a more modern look ↑
- Rental Appliances — Upgrading to more energy-efficient models can attract renters ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Community ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814850
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 31.58/100
- National rank
- #5951
- State rank
- #479 of 826 in TX
Livability — Nevada
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #881
- US rank
- #15880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin · 1,210,074 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,284
- Household income
- $100,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.09%
- Current HPI
- 331.12
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-4.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-07-07 Price Changed $278,130 NTREIS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $290,630 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…