90 Harris Pl · Centerville, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity meets potential on this scenic 5-acre parcel tucked away near the end of a private, well-maintained gravel road—offering privacy, tranquility, and partial views of Mt. Adams. With a desirable mix of open ground and mature Ponderosa pines, this property provides a beautiful setting for your future home, getaway, or investment. Valuable infrastructure is already in place, including a 30x48 shop (approximately half with a concrete floor and wired with power), along with a well, septic system, and power—saving time and expense as you bring your vision to life. There’s ample space for RV parking, outdoor recreation, and expansion. Starlink high-speed internet perfor
Key facts
- 5 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1979
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 5 acres (5 to 6.99 acres); Parcel number available
- HOA & community: No land lease; Not a senior community; Zoning: GR5
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; RV access/parking; Carport (detached, oversized) with 2 garage/carport spaces total; Detached oversized 2-car garage/carport
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Electric power; Wood-burning fuel option
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Fixer condition; Mountain and trees/woods view; Main-level living (main level area reported)
- Construction: Built in 1979; Composition roof; Lap siding exterior
- Exterior features: Lap siding; Deck; Barn(s); Outbuilding; Private road access; RV parking/parking for RV or boat; Level and pasture areas with trees; Gravel road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Double oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric tank hot water
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom; Third bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood stove; No central cooling
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Soaking tub; Wood-burning stove fireplace with stove insert; Vinyl window frames
- Laundry & utility: Electric hot water tank (listed under kitchen/appliances)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-181 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (14.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (32.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $148k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#343 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Goldendale School District (town): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #213 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Goldendale Primary School (291 students, 71% FRL); Goldendale Middle School (262 students, 78% FRL); Goldendale High School (299 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Klickitat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klickitat County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.52%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $315,353
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -30.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Harris Pl | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (0%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $137 | 98 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-47,215
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-56,250
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98620
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,484 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $-181
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-56 | -5% $-118 | +0% $-181 | +5% $-243 | +10% $-305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-298 | -5% $-239 | +0% $-181 | +5% $-122 | +10% $-63 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-70 | -0.5pp $-125 | base $-181 | +0.5pp $-238 | +1.0pp $-296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1229-char remark
-
2026-05-05$219,900 Active 1229-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,293 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,155 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$862/yr (+$72/mo · 66.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,803
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,293
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$6,154
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,477
- After-tax cash flow
- $-690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Goldendale School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303090
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,859
- Composite
- 37.31/100
- National rank
- #8952
- State rank
- #213 of 291 in WA
Livability — Centerville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #13078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,617
Population outlook (Klickitat County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,337 people
- By 2030
- 22,829 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 23,382 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 23,654 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 24,266 · +8.6%
- By 2100
- 23,782 · +6.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Klickitat
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.3) · D 43.7% · R 53.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.3 2020: R+9.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+7.8 2008: D+0.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.36%
- Current HPI
- 210.0159
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
-4.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $210,000 RMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $219,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,293 · -13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…