17715 Cantarina Cv · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34211

$444,999

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,045 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market

Built 2021 6,625 sqft lot Est $609k · 27% under $273/mo HOA · 7% of rent ↓ 22% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +12.6/30.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.3/10.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

Key facts

• Open-concept design
• Upgraded lighting
• Plantation shutters

Tags

• TILE FLOORING
• PLANTATION SHUTTERS
• UPGRADED LIGHTING
• CUSTOM CABINETRY HARDWARE
• OPEN-CONCEPT DESIGN
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lease restrictions apply; Pets allowed
• Financial info: Total monthly fees reported
• HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee; HOA includes community pool; Association name listed; Association fee required

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; Garage door opener; Ground-level guest parking; Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Cable available; BB/HS internet available; Underground utilities; Sprinkler meter; Water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story; South-facing; Residential zoning PD-R; CDD in community; Homestead eligible
• Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by DR Horton (LANTANA model)
• Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened patio/rear porch; Patio with sliding doors; Hurricane shutters; Outdoor lighting; Shade shutters; Sidewalk; Sprinkler meter; Storage

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan; Freezer; Ice maker; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (one-level)
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full baths; 1 half bath
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Solid surface and stone counters; Thermostat; Tray ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Shutters
• Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; No washer hookup listed

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $445k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-675/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $435k (2.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $412k (7.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $392k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: B.D. Gullett Elementary School (math 78% / reading 73%, grade A, #211 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 1,121 students, 20% FRL); R. Dan Nolan Middle School (math 79% / reading 72%, grade A, #38 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 760 students, 28% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 51% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 1164 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($392k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $391,599 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.93% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.14%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.54%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $609,410
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
17719 Cantarina Cv	0.01mi	4/2.5	2,045 (0%)	1mo	$460,000	$225	99
17415 Harvest Moon Way	0.17mi	4/2.0	1,846 (-10%)	2mo	$413,000	$224	72
17252 Savory Mist Cir	0.38mi	4/3.0	2,193 (+7%)	1mo	$614,999	$280	67
17416 Hickok Belt Loop	0.37mi	4/3.0	2,207 (+8%)	1mo	$985,000	$446	67
4341 Dairy Ct	0.74mi	4/2.0	2,046 (0%)	1mo	$615,000	$301	63
17333 Savory Mist Cir	0.48mi	4/3.0	2,190 (+7%)	2mo	$685,000	$313	62
18075 Cresswind Ter	0.45mi	3/3.0 (-1)	2,162 (+6%)	2mo	$670,200	$310	61
5105 Rosado Run	0.50mi	4/2.0	1,828 (-11%)	2mo	$424,000	$232	56
17744 Savory Mist Cir	0.58mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,890 (-8%)	1mo	$615,000	$325	52
18420 Canopy Pl	0.59mi	4/2.0	1,828 (-11%)	1mo	$425,000	$232	52
17022 Cresswind Ter	0.40mi	3/3.0 (-1)	2,318 (+13%)	0mo	$690,000	$298	52
4711 Winsome Way	0.66mi	4/3.0	2,337 (+14%)	1mo	$564,999	$242	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.30×
• Total profit: $-87,564
• Equity at exit: $66,351

10-year hold

• IRR: -24.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.02×
• Total profit: $-126,704
• Equity at exit: $38,475

Cash invested: $124,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34211

• Home prices YoY: -27.5%
• Rents YoY: -5.2%
• Active inventory: 1164
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,122 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,334
• Tax from tax record: −$521 /mo · $6,249/yr
• Insurance: −$185
• HOA: −$273
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$866
• Net cashflow: $-56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,193

Max offer price $435,062

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $196	-5% $70	+0% $-56	+5% $-182	+10% $-308
Rent	-10% $-382	-5% $-219	+0% $-56	+5% $107	+10% $269
Rate	-1.0pp $168	-0.5pp $57	base $-56	+0.5pp $-172	+1.0pp $-289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $111,250
• Closing costs: $13,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
17710 Cantarina Cv Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2756	$3,500	$1.27	25d	1	0.05mi
17630 Canopy Pl Bradenton, FL	5.0	3.0	2605	$3,550	$1.36	25d	1	0.10mi
17419 Harvest Moon Way Bradenton, FL	4.0	2.0	2045	$2,595	$1.27	18d	1	0.17mi
17605 Cantarina Cv Bradenton, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$3,500	$1.71	25d	1	0.20mi
17535 Cantarina Cv Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.5	2838	$5,495	$1.94	25d	1	0.25mi
17535 Cantarina Cv Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.5	2838	$5,495	$1.94	13d	1	0.25mi
17915 Cantarina Cv Bradenton, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$2,999	$1.47	25d	1	0.26mi
17525 Hickok Belt Loop Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2250	$7,800	$3.47	25d	1	0.28mi
18002 Canopy Pl Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2371	$3,000	$1.27	5d	1	0.28mi
18002 Canopy Pl Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2371	$3,000	$1.27	0d	1	0.28mi
17467 Hickok Belt Loop Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2247	$12,500	$5.56	25d	1	0.29mi
18006 Canopy Pl Bradenton, FL	5.0	3.0	2674	$3,400	$1.27	13d	1	0.29mi
17220 Harvest Moon Way Bradenton, FL	4.0	2.0	1828	$2,800	$1.53	25d	1	0.30mi
18121 Metado Dr Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	1827	$2,900	$1.59	25d	1	0.44mi
5304 Grove Mill Loop Bradenton, FL	4.0	2.5	2056	$3,200	$1.56	25d	1	0.51mi
16464 Whale Grey Pl Bradenton, FL	3.0	3.0	2444	$5,000	$2.05	25d	1	0.69mi
5623 Mulligan Way Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	2359	$14,000	$5.93	25d	1	0.77mi
5528 Arnie Loop Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2872	$10,000	$3.48	25d	1	0.79mi
5720 Cheech Gln Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	2246	$5,500	$2.45	25d	1	0.82mi
5725 Cheech Gln Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1850	$12,000	$6.49	25d	1	0.85mi
5507 Arnie Loop Bradenton, FL	3.0	3.0	2815	$10,500	$3.73	25d	1	0.87mi
5805 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	2110	$4,250	$2.01	18d	1	0.88mi
5815 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	2108	$3,500	$1.66	25d	1	0.92mi
5628 Lightning Whelk Ln Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2252	$4,595	$2.04	5d	1	0.93mi
5420 Lightning Whelk Ln Bradenton, FL	3.0	3.0	2445	$6,000	$2.45	25d	1	0.93mi
5612 Lightning Whelk Ln Bradenton, FL	3.0	3.0	2444	$12,500	$5.11	25d	1	0.93mi
5522 Lightning Whelk Ln Bradenton, FL	4.0	3.0	2725	$5,800	$2.13	25d	1	0.93mi
5907 Brandon Run Bradenton, FL	4.0	2.0	2246	$6,800	$3.03	25d	1	0.96mi
5831 Wake Forest Run #101 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1741	$6,995	$4.02	25d	1	0.98mi
16426 Paynes Mill Dr Bradenton, FL	5.0	3.0	2419	$3,950	$1.63	22d	1	1.01mi
18731 Cherrystone Way Bradenton, FL	3.0	3.0	2799	$8,000	$2.86	25d	1	1.01mi
5915 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	2108	$4,800	$2.28	25d	1	1.03mi
19156 Cherrystone Way Bradenton, FL	3.0	3.0	2247	$5,000	$2.23	25d	1	1.05mi
19023 Cherrystone Way Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	2246	$5,500	$2.45	5d	1	1.05mi
5921 Wake Forest Run Unit 1 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1786	$3,500	$1.96	25d	1	1.05mi
5947 Brandon Run Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	2200	$13,000	$5.91	25d	1	1.06mi
6026 Brandon Run Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	2246	$12,000	$5.34	25d	1	1.10mi
19111 Fox Landing Pl Bradenton, FL	3.0	3.5	2808	$3,900	$1.39	25d	1	1.11mi
15950 Clear Skies Pl Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1414	$4,500	$3.18	25d	1	1.11mi
15934 Clear Skies Pl Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1414	$2,900	$2.05	25d	1	1.17mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $273 · $3,276/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $444,999 Pending 143 DOM
2. 2026-06-13
   days on market $444,999 Active 142 DOM
3. 2026-06-10
   pricedays on market $444,999 Active 140 DOM
4. 2026-06-09
   days on market $445,000 Active 139 DOM
5. 2026-06-08
   days on market $445,000 Active 138 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $445,000 Active 137 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   days on market $445,000 Active 133 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   days on market $445,000 Active 132 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $445,000 Active 131 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $445,000 Active 130 DOM
11. 2026-05-24
    price $445,000
12. 2026-05-11
    price $439,000
13. 2026-05-11
    price $449,900
14. 2026-04-11
    price $449,997
15. 2026-03-26
    price $449,998
16. 2026-03-19
    price $449,999
17. 2026-03-12
    price $474,999
18. 2026-02-18
    price $499,000
19. 2026-01-21
    listed $509,000 Active
20. 2025-09-14
    historical
21. 2025-03-14
    listed $525,000 Active
22. 2022-12-15
    soldstatus $480,915 Closed 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

23. 2022-10-13
    status Pending 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

24. 2022-09-14
    price $495,915 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

25. 2022-08-30
    price $494,915 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

26. 2022-08-16
    price $524,915 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

27. 2022-07-20
    price $554,915 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

28. 2022-07-12
    listed $569,915 Active 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    Under Construction. Our Premium Series homes at Solera boast 9’4” ceilings on the first story as well as bright, open-concept floorplan layouts. Homes are built with all concrete block construction and feature staggered, crown-molded cabinets, splendid granite counters with tile backsplash in the kitchen, and up-to-date designer-selected finishes. Each home also includes a stainless-steel range, microwave, and dishwasher as well as our industry-leading smart home automation system. Homeowners in Solera will enjoy lounging by a luxurious resort-style pool and clubhouse. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. Room Feature: Linen Closet In Bath (Primary Bedroom).

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $6,249 · $521/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,249 · $521/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $49,467
• − Mortgage interest: −$24,927
• − Property taxes: −$6,249
• − Insurance: −$2,225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,957
• − Management: −$3,957
• − HOA: −$3,276
• − Depreciation: −$12,945
• Taxable loss: −$8,070
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,937
• After-tax cash flow: $1,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lakewood Ranch, FL
• County: Manatee County · 416,364 people
• City population: 52,177
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 24,980
• Household income: $119,911
• Rent vs Own: 21.7% rent · 78.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 815.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -100.84%
• Current HPI: 265.946
• Rent YoY: ▼ -5.17%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-21.9% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-24 Price Changed $445,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-11 Price Changed $439,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-11 Price Changed $449,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-11 Price Changed $449,997 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Price Changed $449,998 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-19 Price Changed $449,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $474,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-18 Price Changed $499,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-21 Listed $509,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-03-14 Listed $525,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-12-15 Sold (MLS) $480,915 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-10-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-09-14 Price Changed $495,915 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-08-30 Price Changed $494,915 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-08-16 Price Changed $524,915 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-07-20 Price Changed $554,915 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-07-12 Listed $569,915 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+33.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,249 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.