CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
864 Vankirk St
C- Composite 51.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

864 Vankirk St · Clairton, PA 15025
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Townhouse public records · 141 Days on market
Built 1920 1,881 sqft lot $107/sqft · 79% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Add to your investment portfolio with this occupied 3 Bedroom / 1 Bath townhouse in Clairton - Lease is through November 2026, Rent: $1100/month, tenant is responsible for all utilities. All showings require minimum of 48 hours notice.

Key facts

  • 1,881 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 12.3% in Clairton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,308 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Clairton City SD (suburban): math 7% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #520 of 539 in PA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Clairton El Sch (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,362 of 1,518 statewide, top 92%, 389 students, 100% FRL); Clairton Ms/Hs (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #411 of 437 statewide, top 94%, 418 students, 92% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $130k implies a 550% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.10%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,570
List price
$129,900
Delta
79.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
512 Farnsworth Ave 0.11mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,148 (-6%) 16mo $40,000 $35 65
2701 Lincoln Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-11%) 6mo $35,000 $32 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,805
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$42,199
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15025

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,234 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $655/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,000
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $258 -5% $222 +0% $185 +5% $148 +10% $111
Rent -10% $87 -5% $136 +0% $185 +5% $234 +10% $282
Rate -1.0pp $250 -0.5pp $218 base $185 +0.5pp $151 +1.0pp $117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
874 Vankirk St Clairton, PA 3.0 1.5 1296 $1,150 $0.89 45d 1 0.02mi
866 Vankirk St Unit 1 Clairton, PA 2.0 1.5 1440 $1,200 $0.83 45d 1 0.03mi
922 Vankirk St Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 918 $1,050 $1.14 0d 1 0.09mi
927 Vankirk St Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 840 $1,150 $1.37 14d 1 0.10mi
929 Vankirk St Unit 1 Clairton, PA 2.0 1.5 810 $1,050 $1.30 45d 1 0.11mi
601 Farnsworth Ave Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 1004 $995 $0.99 0d 1 0.23mi
601 Farnsworth Ave Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 1004 $995 $0.99 6d 1 0.23mi
618 Farnsworth Ave Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 896 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 0.26mi
809 3rd St Unit 624 Clairton, PA 2.0 1.5 1240 $1,008 $0.81 45d 1 0.26mi
809 3rd St Unit 194 Clairton, PA 2.0 1.5 1244 $1,081 $0.87 45d 1 0.26mi
753 East Dr Clairton, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 45d 1 0.32mi
350 Wylie Ave Unit 1 Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 1152 $1,050 $0.91 45d 1 0.33mi
127 Constitution Cir Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 972 $1,275 $1.31 0d 1 0.37mi
127 Constitution Cir Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 1063 $1,275 $1.20 12d 1 0.37mi
505 Wylie Ave Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 791 $1,500 $1.90 3d 1 0.41mi
701-703 Waddell Ave Clairton, PA 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 0d 1 0.72mi
2140 Lincoln Blvd Elizabeth, PA 2.0 1.0 968 $790 $0.82 45d 1 0.73mi
1347 High Rd Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,250 $1.44 45d 1 0.97mi
168 Center Ave Unit 1 left) Elizabeth, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $895 $0.94 25d 1 1.22mi
101 N 3rd St Clairton, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,350 $0.96 0d 1 1.30mi
507 N 6th St Clairton, PA 2.0 1.5 1120 $1,250 $1.12 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-01-31
    listed $129,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    Add to your investment portfolio with this occupied 3 Bedroom / 1 Bath townhouse in Clairton - Lease is through November 2026, Rent: $1100/month, tenant is responsible for all utilities. All showings require minimum of 48 hours notice.

  16. 2026-01-31
    listed $129,900 Active 238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    Add to your investment portfolio with this occupied 3 Bedroom / 1 Bath townhouse in Clairton - Lease is through November 2026, Rent: $1100/month, tenant is responsible for all utilities. All showings require minimum of 48 hours notice.

  17. 2026-01-30
    historical $1,250
  18. 2025-10-28
    price $1,250
  19. 2025-09-09
    price $1,350
  20. 2025-07-09
    listed $1,599
  21. 2025-05-07
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed
  22. 2025-04-16
    status Pending
  23. 2025-03-13
    historical Contingent
  24. 2025-02-26
    listed $29,900 Active
  25. 1981-04-13
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$655 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,354 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$699/yr (+$58/mo · 106.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,806
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$655
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,184
− Management
−$1,184
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$77
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$19
After-tax cash flow
$2,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clairton City SD
NCES district ID
4206030
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$30,250
Composite
11.0/100
National rank
#9742
State rank
#520 of 539 in PA

Livability — Clairton

Score
63/100
State rank
#1308
US rank
#16085

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clairton, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
16,939
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
16,939
Household income
$76,531
Rent vs Own
25.1% rent · 74.9% own
Severe rent burden
572.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · China, Canada, India
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.35%
Current HPI
183.858
Rent YoY
▲ 10.47%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+282.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Rental Removed $1,250 WPMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $1,250 WPMLS
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $1,350 WPMLS
  • 2025-07-09 Listed for Rent $1,599 WPMLS
  • 2025-05-07 Sold (MLS) $20,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-04-16 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2025-03-13 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-02-26 Listed $29,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1981-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+28.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $655 · +1536.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…