864 Vankirk St · Clairton, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Add to your investment portfolio with this occupied 3 Bedroom / 1 Bath townhouse in Clairton - Lease is through November 2026, Rent: $1100/month, tenant is responsible for all utilities. All showings require minimum of 48 hours notice.
Key facts
- 1,881 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 12.3% in Clairton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,308 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Clairton City SD (suburban): math 7% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #520 of 539 in PA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Clairton El Sch (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,362 of 1,518 statewide, top 92%, 389 students, 100% FRL); Clairton Ms/Hs (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #411 of 437 statewide, top 94%, 418 students, 92% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $130k implies a 550% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.10%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,570
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 79.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 Farnsworth Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,148 (-6%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $35 | 65 |
| 2701 Lincoln Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-11%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $32 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,805
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $42,199
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15025
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,234 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $655/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $222 | +0% $185 | +5% $148 | +10% $111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $87 | -5% $136 | +0% $185 | +5% $234 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $218 | base $185 | +0.5pp $151 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 874 Vankirk St Clairton, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,150 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 866 Vankirk St Unit 1 Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 922 Vankirk St Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 927 Vankirk St Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,150 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 929 Vankirk St Unit 1 Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 810 | $1,050 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 601 Farnsworth Ave Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $995 | $0.99 | 0d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 601 Farnsworth Ave Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $995 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 618 Farnsworth Ave Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 809 3rd St Unit 624 Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,008 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 809 3rd St Unit 194 Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1244 | $1,081 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 753 East Dr Clairton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 350 Wylie Ave Unit 1 Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,050 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 127 Constitution Cir Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 127 Constitution Cir Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1063 | $1,275 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 505 Wylie Ave Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 791 | $1,500 | $1.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 701-703 Waddell Ave Clairton, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2140 Lincoln Blvd Elizabeth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $790 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1347 High Rd Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,250 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 168 Center Ave Unit 1 left) Elizabeth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $895 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 101 N 3rd St Clairton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 507 N 6th St Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-01-31$129,900 Active
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
Add to your investment portfolio with this occupied 3 Bedroom / 1 Bath townhouse in Clairton - Lease is through November 2026, Rent: $1100/month, tenant is responsible for all utilities. All showings require minimum of 48 hours notice.
-
2026-01-31$129,900 Active 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
Add to your investment portfolio with this occupied 3 Bedroom / 1 Bath townhouse in Clairton - Lease is through November 2026, Rent: $1100/month, tenant is responsible for all utilities. All showings require minimum of 48 hours notice.
-
2026-01-30historical $1,250
-
2025-10-28price $1,250
-
2025-09-09price $1,350
-
2025-07-09$1,599
-
2025-05-07soldstatus $20,000 Closed
-
2025-04-16status Pending
-
2025-03-13historical Contingent
-
2025-02-26$29,900 Active
-
1981-04-13soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $655 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,354 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$699/yr (+$58/mo · 106.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$655
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,184
- − Management
- −$1,184
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $77
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$19
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clairton City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206030
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,250
- Composite
- 11.0/100
- National rank
- #9742
- State rank
- #520 of 539 in PA
Livability — Clairton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #1308
- US rank
- #16085
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clairton, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 16,939
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,939
- Household income
- $76,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 572.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.35%
- Current HPI
- 183.858
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.47%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+282.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-31 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-31 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-30 Rental Removed $1,250 WPMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $1,250 WPMLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $1,350 WPMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed for Rent $1,599 WPMLS
- 2025-05-07 Sold (MLS) $20,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-04-16 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2025-03-13 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2025-02-26 Listed $29,900 West Penn MLS
- 1981-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+28.9%/yrLatest (2026): $655 · +1536.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…