7-Plex
116 Old Foxon Rd · East Haven, CT
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$899,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 7 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
A 6-unit multifamily offering strong in-place income plus immediate upside through lease-up. Current rents: Unit 1-$1,300, Unit 2-$1,550, Unit 3-$1,300, Unit 6-$1,375; Units 4 (1BR) and 5 (2BR) are empty. In-place gross: $5,525/mo with pro-forma potential up to ~$8,925/mo (market rent: Unit 4-$1,550 and Unit 5-$1,850). Located in a Class A neighborhood in the desirable Foxon area, close to I-95 & Route 1, shopping, dining, and minutes to downtown New Haven/Yale and East Haven beaches/parks. With lease-up alone, this can be positioned to achieve an 8-cap, making it an ideal value-add play with strong long-term fundamentals.
Key facts
- Class a neighborhood
- Immediate upside
- Close to i-95
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 7 × 7-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($75k/yr) — positive. Per door: $892/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $899k).
- Recommended offer: $818k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 3.8% in East Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#99 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- East Haven School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #118 of 153 in CT (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $15,300/mo this rent would consume 379% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 2664% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($818k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $450k; list at $899k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.77%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $586,456
- List price
- $899,000
- Delta
- 53.29%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $269,541
- Equity at exit
- $134,044
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $820,119
- Equity at exit
- $77,729
Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06513
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 34.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $15,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,714
- Tax from tax record
- −$752 /mo · $9,029/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,213
- Net cashflow
- $6,246
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $6,754 | -5% $6,500 | +0% $6,246 | +5% $5,991 | +10% $5,737 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5,037 | -5% $5,641 | +0% $6,246 | +5% $6,850 | +10% $7,454 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $6,698 | -0.5pp $6,474 | base $6,246 | +0.5pp $6,013 | +1.0pp $5,776 |
7-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7× units | 7 | — | $15,302 |
| #1 | 7 | — | $2,186 |
| #2 | 7 | — | $2,186 |
| #3 | 7 | — | $2,186 |
| #4 | 7 | — | $2,186 |
| #5 | 7 | — | $2,186 |
| #6 | 7 | — | $2,186 |
| #7 | 7 | — | $2,186 |
| Total (7 units) | $15,300 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,750
- Closing costs
- $26,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $899,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $899,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $899,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $899,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $899,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $899,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $899,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $899,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $899,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $899,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $899,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $899,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $899,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $899,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $899,000 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
A 6-unit multifamily offering strong in-place income plus immediate upside through lease-up. Current rents: Unit 1-$1,300, Unit 2-$1,550, Unit 3-$1,300, Unit 6-$1,375; Units 4 (1BR) and 5 (2BR) are empty. In-place gross: $5,525/mo with pro-forma potential up to ~$8,925/mo (market rent: Unit 4-$1,550 and Unit 5-$1,850). Located in a Class A neighborhood in the desirable Foxon area, close to I-95 & Route 1, shopping, dining, and minutes to downtown New Haven/Yale and East Haven beaches/parks. With lease-up alone, this can be positioned to achieve an 8-cap, making it an ideal value-add play with strong long-term fundamentals.
-
2026-02-19$960,000 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
A 6-unit multifamily offering strong in-place income plus immediate upside through lease-up. Current rents: Unit 1-$1,300, Unit 2-$1,550, Unit 3-$1,300, Unit 6-$1,375; Units 4 (1BR) and 5 (2BR) are empty. In-place gross: $5,525/mo with pro-forma potential up to ~$8,925/mo (market rent: Unit 4-$1,550 and Unit 5-$1,850). Located in a Class A neighborhood in the desirable Foxon area, close to I-95 & Route 1, shopping, dining, and minutes to downtown New Haven/Yale and East Haven beaches/parks. With lease-up alone, this can be positioned to achieve an 8-cap, making it an ideal value-add play with strong long-term fundamentals.
-
2021-01-22soldstatus $450,000
-
1991-08-15soldstatus $237,500
-
1988-11-18soldstatus $170,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,029 · $752/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,134 · $1,178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,105/yr (+$425/mo · 56.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $183,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,358
- − Property taxes
- −$9,029
- − Insurance
- −$4,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$14,688
- − Management
- −$14,688
- − Depreciation
- −$26,153
- Taxable income
- $64,189
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$15,405
- After-tax cash flow
- $59,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901290
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,869
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6534
- State rank
- #118 of 153 in CT
Livability — East Haven
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #7805
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 28,830
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,888
- Household income
- $48,500
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2664.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 26% Black 22% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 39% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.87%
- Current HPI
- 364.006
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+428.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $899,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $960,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 1991-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $237,500 Public Records
- 1988-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2023): $9,029 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…