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4480 Newark St N
D+ Composite 49.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

4480 Newark St N · Lealman, FL 33714
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1954 4,051 sqft lot Est $229k · 13% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special or perfect starter home! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom St. Petersburg property is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Featuring a beautifully remodeled bathroom, 2015 roof, and water softener, the home offers a great foundation for investors, renovators, or first-time buyers looking to build equity with updates and improvements. Situated on a spacious lot in a convenient central location just minutes to downtown St. Pete, shopping, dining, and the Gulf beaches. Bring your creativity and unlock the opportunity at 4480 Newark St N!

Key facts

  • 2015 roof
  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Water softener

Tags

REMODELED BATHROOM2015 ROOFWATER SOFTENERSPACIOUS LOTCENTRAL LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Zoning: R-4; Total rooms: 3; Living area approximately 576 sq ft (building area 672 sq ft); Lot size dimensions 45x90; Directions: From Newark St N home is on the left
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east; Homesteaded
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 45 x 90 lot (approximately 0.09 acres)
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (19.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.7% in Lealman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in FL, #1,394 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: New Heights Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 615 students, 81% FRL); Tyrone Middle School (math 35% / reading 28%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 847 students, 68% FRL); St. Petersburg High School (math 31% / reading 61%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,723 students, 39% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,172 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.85%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,248
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4479 Newark St N 0.02mi 2/1.0 653 (+13%) 12mo $142,000 $217 67
4110 42nd Ave N 0.18mi 2/1.0 648 (+12%) 8mo $258,000 $398 64
4941 43rd Ave N 0.73mi 2/1.0 560 (-3%) 5mo $255,000 $455 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-31,703
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-39,072
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33714

Home prices YoY
-30.9%
Rents YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,602 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $562/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,492
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $200 -5% $143 +0% $86 +5% $30 +10% $-27
Rent -10% $-40 -5% $23 +0% $86 +5% $150 +10% $213
Rate -1.0pp $187 -0.5pp $137 base $86 +0.5pp $35 +1.0pp $-18

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3733 42nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 608 $1,695 $2.79 26d 1 0.28mi
3640 49th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 480 $1,150 $2.40 0d 1 0.52mi
3600 49th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 680 $1,600 $2.35 5d 8 0.54mi
5301 40th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,950 $2.71 3d 1 0.58mi
4163 31st St N unit Unit D Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,490 $2.48 15d 1 0.87mi
3160 36th St N #115 Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 610 $1,300 $2.13 3d 1 0.87mi
3201 36th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 624 $1,500 $2.40 26d 1 0.89mi
3791 58th Ave N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 500 $1,430 $2.86 19d 1 0.92mi
3109 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 400 $1,025 $2.56 23d 1 1.03mi
3109 54th Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 400 $1,025 $2.56 19d 1 1.03mi
3316 31st Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,649 $2.00 0d 3 1.04mi
2807 41st Ave N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 450 $1,600 $3.56 26d 1 1.06mi
2730 37th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 560 $1,590 $2.84 26d 1 1.21mi
2846 30th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 736 $1,950 $2.65 0d 1 1.29mi
2848 30th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 736 $2,150 $2.92 26d 1 1.35mi
3715 66th Ave N Unit B Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,475 $1.97 23d 1 1.43mi
4660 24th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 600 $2,250 $3.75 26d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $200,000 Active 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 111 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 106 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 105 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 102 DOM
  14. 2026-03-10
    price $200,000
  15. 2026-03-10
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-03
    status Pending
  17. 2026-02-11
    listed $210,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$562 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,660 · $138/mo
Expected delta
+$1,098/yr (+$91/mo · 195.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,221
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$562
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,538
− Management
−$1,538
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$2,438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$585
After-tax cash flow
$1,622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lealman

Score
81/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#1394

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lealman, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
20,103
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,227
Household income
$47,487
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
915.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -179.12%
Current HPI
399.6253
Rent YoY
▼ -2.08%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $562 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…