4480 Newark St N · Lealman, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special or perfect starter home! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom St. Petersburg property is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Featuring a beautifully remodeled bathroom, 2015 roof, and water softener, the home offers a great foundation for investors, renovators, or first-time buyers looking to build equity with updates and improvements. Situated on a spacious lot in a convenient central location just minutes to downtown St. Pete, shopping, dining, and the Gulf beaches. Bring your creativity and unlock the opportunity at 4480 Newark St N!
Key facts
- 2015 roof
- Remodeled bathroom
- Water softener
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Zoning: R-4; Total rooms: 3; Living area approximately 576 sq ft (building area 672 sq ft); Lot size dimensions 45x90; Directions: From Newark St N home is on the left
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east; Homesteaded
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 45 x 90 lot (approximately 0.09 acres)
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.7% in Lealman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in FL, #1,394 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: New Heights Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 615 students, 81% FRL); Tyrone Middle School (math 35% / reading 28%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 847 students, 68% FRL); St. Petersburg High School (math 31% / reading 61%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,723 students, 39% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.85%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,248
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4479 Newark St N | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 653 (+13%) | 12mo | $142,000 | $217 | 67 |
| 4110 42nd Ave N | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (+12%) | 8mo | $258,000 | $398 | 64 |
| 4941 43rd Ave N | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 560 (-3%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $455 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-31,703
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-39,072
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33714
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,602 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $143 | +0% $86 | +5% $30 | +10% $-27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-40 | -5% $23 | +0% $86 | +5% $150 | +10% $213 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $137 | base $86 | +0.5pp $35 | +1.0pp $-18 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3733 42nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,695 | $2.79 | 26d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3640 49th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $1,150 | $2.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3600 49th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,600 | $2.35 | 5d | 8 | 0.54mi |
| 5301 40th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,950 | $2.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4163 31st St N unit Unit D Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,490 | $2.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3160 36th St N #115 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,300 | $2.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3201 36th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,500 | $2.40 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3791 58th Ave N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,430 | $2.86 | 19d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3109 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,025 | $2.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3109 54th Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,025 | $2.56 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3316 31st Ave N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,649 | $2.00 | 0d | 3 | 1.04mi |
| 2807 41st Ave N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,600 | $3.56 | 26d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2730 37th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,590 | $2.84 | 26d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2846 30th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,950 | $2.65 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2848 30th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,150 | $2.92 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3715 66th Ave N Unit B Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,475 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4660 24th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,250 | $3.75 | 26d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $200,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-03-10price $200,000
-
2026-03-10status Active
-
2026-03-03status Pending
-
2026-02-11$210,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,660 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,098/yr (+$91/mo · 195.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,538
- − Management
- −$1,538
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$2,438
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$585
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lealman
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #1394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lealman, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 20,103
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,227
- Household income
- $47,487
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 915.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.12%
- Current HPI
- 399.6253
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.08%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-4.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Listed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $562 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…