406 N St Benedict · Stanton, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful home ready for new owners right in the heart of Stanton, TX! Situated on 3 lots that equal almost half an acre, you have ample space without sacrificing the conveniences of living in town! You may not find another move-in ready 4 bedroom 3 bathroom home for this price! Call today for your tour.
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2013
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport with 2 spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Exterior features: Composition and metal roofs
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Pantry; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($383/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#140 in TX, #4,008 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Stanton ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #426 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stanton El (math 43% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 518 students, 59% FRL); Stanton Middle (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 256 students, 54% FRL); Stanton H S (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #630 of 1,632 statewide, top 39%, 307 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.70%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $61,778
- Equity at exit
- $126,247
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.28×
- Total profit
- $179,278
- Equity at exit
- $232,173
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79782
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,699 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,479/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $142 | -5% $87 | +0% $32 | +5% $-23 | +10% $-78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-102 | -5% $-35 | +0% $32 | +5% $99 | +10% $166 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $130 | -0.5pp $81 | base $32 | +0.5pp $-19 | +1.0pp $-70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-15status $195,000 Pending 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-04-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-07$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,479 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,568 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,090/yr (+$91/mo · 44.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,389
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,479
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,631
- − Management
- −$1,631
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$2,922
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$701
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,084/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stanton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841430
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,595
- Composite
- 33.86/100
- National rank
- #5353
- State rank
- #426 of 826 in TX
Livability — Stanton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #4008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stanton, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,831
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,556 people
- By 2030
- 8,556 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 10,786 · +42.7%
- By 2050
- 13,158 · +74.1%
- By 2075
- 19,334 · +155.9%
- By 2100
- 23,704 · +213.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 43% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 33% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+75.8) · D 11.9% · R 87.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -75.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+75.8 2020: R+72.6 2016: R+67.6 2012: R+68.5 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.30%
- Current HPI
- 195.1131
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — PBBOR
- 2026-04-07 Listed $195,000 PBBOR
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,479 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…