928 W 68th Pl · Merrillville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
So much room in this split level home located in the TURKEY CREEK subdivision. Nearly 2800 SQ. FT. of living space includes 5 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, spacious family room, living room, eat-in kitchen, separate MASTER BEDROOM SUITE WITH SITTING ROOM, main floor laundry, and a NEW 2-TIERED DECK with screened porch overlooking a huge, fenced back yard that gives you great space to enjoy outdoor living. Attached one-car garage. FURNACE (2019), A/C (2017)
Key facts
- Main level bedroom
- Laundry area
- Attached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space; Driveway; Off-street parking; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Built in 1966; Single-family property; 2,784 above-grade finished living area (main + upper levels)
- Construction: Year built 1966
- Exterior features: No notable view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; Bedroom 5
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: His and hers closets; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.7% in Merrillville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#50 in IN, #3,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Merrillville Community School Corporation (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #240 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,336/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1644% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.81%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $300,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 941 W 66th Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 2,970 (+7%) | 17mo | $312,900 | $105 | 63 |
| 6771 Jefferson St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 2,769 (-0%) | 13mo | $280,000 | $101 | 63 |
| 716 W 66th Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 2,626 (-6%) | 18mo | $230,500 | $88 | 54 |
| 6407 Hayes St | 0.63mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,800 (+1%) | 13mo | $328,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 7405 Pierce Pl | 0.73mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,630 (-6%) | 0mo | $344,000 | $131 | 51 |
| 6706 Madison St | 0.43mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,494 (-10%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 712 W 66th Pl | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 | 2,376 (-15%) | 11mo | $252,500 | $106 | 45 |
| 6744 Jefferson St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,452 (-12%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $108 | 39 |
| 170 Walter Ave | 0.51mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,534 (-9%) | 18mo | $260,000 | $103 | 37 |
| 6420 Arthur St | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,574 (-8%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $132 | 37 |
| 2001 W 64th Pl | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 3,161 (+14%) | 0mo | $306,500 | $97 | 36 |
| 1501 W 73rd Pl | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,370 (-15%) | 11mo | $278,000 | $117 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $40,975
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $147,220
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46410
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,961/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$701
- Net cashflow
- $1,170
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1865 W 64th Pl Merrillville, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2034 | $4,900 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6092 Cleveland St Merrillville, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3136 | $3,000 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3023 W 63rd Ln Merrillville, IN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-12$230,000 Active
-
2020-11-10soldstatus $170,000 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
So much room in this split level home located in the TURKEY CREEK subdivision. Nearly 2800 SQ. FT. of living space includes 5 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, spacious family room, living room, eat-in kitchen, separate MASTER BEDROOM SUITE WITH SITTING ROOM, main floor laundry, and a NEW 2-TIERED DECK with screened porch overlooking a huge, fenced back yard that gives you great space to enjoy outdoor living. Attached one-car garage. FURNACE (2019), A/C (2017)
-
2020-10-05$170,000 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
So much room in this split level home located in the TURKEY CREEK subdivision. Nearly 2800 SQ. FT. of living space includes 5 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, spacious family room, living room, eat-in kitchen, separate MASTER BEDROOM SUITE WITH SITTING ROOM, main floor laundry, and a NEW 2-TIERED DECK with screened porch overlooking a huge, fenced back yard that gives you great space to enjoy outdoor living. Attached one-car garage. FURNACE (2019), A/C (2017)
-
2001-06-30$119,000
-
2000-10-26historical
-
2000-07-27$122,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,961 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,961 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,961
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,203
- − Management
- −$3,203
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $10,945
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,627
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Merrillville Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1809690
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,401
- Composite
- 25.74/100
- National rank
- #7375
- State rank
- #240 of 301 in IN
Livability — Merrillville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #3393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Merrillville, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 39,243
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,243
- Household income
- $64,127
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1644.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.11%
- Current HPI
- 240.8833
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.10%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+88.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $230,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-10 Sold (MLS) $170,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-05 Listed $170,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-30 Listed $119,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-10-26 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-07-27 Listed $122,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,961 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…