504 E 43rd St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY. LENDER OWNED PROPERTY. FREE APPRAISAL AND CREDIT REPORT IF FINANCED THRU COUNTRYWIDE.
Key facts
- Gourmet kitchen
- Open concept design
- Renovated townhome
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Below-grade and above-grade finished space; Located within city limits
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (all upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (3.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.92%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $244,271
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 E 41st St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-3%) | 1mo | $79,100 | $46 | 85 |
| 537 Oakland Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,915 (+7%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $115 | 80 |
| 4744 Alhambra Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,816 (+2%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $85 | 80 |
| 617 Willow Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,641 (-8%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $143 | 72 |
| 4662 Kernwood Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,652 (-7%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $145 | 72 |
| 608 Radnor Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (+3%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 3953 Wilsby Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-4%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $137 | 70 |
| 3613 Greenmount Ave | 0.57mi | 3/3.0 | 1,732 (-3%) | 1mo | $207,000 | $120 | 62 |
| 923 North Hill Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,652 (-7%) | 2mo | $277,500 | $168 | 62 |
| 4630 York Rd | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,022 (+13%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $45 | 58 |
| 3628 Elkader Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,675 (-6%) | 2mo | $272,000 | $162 | 56 |
| 715 Radnor Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-10%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $156 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-9,082
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $33,789
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21212
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,010 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $810/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4303 York Rd #3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,400 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 513 E 41st St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4033 Greenmount Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $2,550 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 706 E 43rd St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1596 | $1,899 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,574 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,574 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 531 Willow Ave Unit Na Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4754 Alhambra Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1876 | $1,500 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 514 Radnor Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1575 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 804 Radnor Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1654 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 510 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3529 Greenmount Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,575 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3811 Canterbury Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,495 | $2.56 | 13d | 5 | 0.70mi |
| 724 E 35th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3601 Greenway #101 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,700 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 108 W 39th St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1350 | $2,189 | $1.62 | 3d | 11 | 0.74mi |
| 4006 Loch Raven Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2016 | $2,695 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1224 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3501 Saint Paul St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 916 | $2,700 | $2.95 | 2d | 172 | 0.84mi |
| 348 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1809 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 500 W University Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $3,020 | $3.16 | 2d | 60 | 0.86mi |
| 1539 Ralworth Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3214 Abell Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2300 | $2,800 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3222 Ellerslie Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1550 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1221 Glenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,595 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3201 Saint Paul St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1532 | $3,200 | $2.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1502 Fernley Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,800 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5204 Kelway Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1545 E Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1008 Tunbridge Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,050 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 936 Montpelier St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,450 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 620 Harwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2056 | $1,350 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3213 The Alameda Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1708 | $1,295 | $0.76 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 424 Ilchester Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1976 | $1,800 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 816 W 37th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $2,700 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5622 Midwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5626 Midwood Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 402 E 28th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1436 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 519 E 28th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1702 E 32nd St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,300 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-10$209,000 Active 62 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $810 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,544 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$734/yr (+$61/mo · 90.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$810
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,930
- − Management
- −$1,930
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable income
- $619
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$148
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,899/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,974
- Household income
- $96,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 769.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -392.44%
- Current HPI
- 267.4569
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+535.3% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-12 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $209,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $227,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $229,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $428,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-15 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MRIS
- 2008-03-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-02-26 Price Changed $73,900 MRIS
- 2008-01-14 Price Changed $77,900 MRIS
- 2007-12-14 Price Changed $81,900 MRIS
- 2007-11-16 Price Changed $85,900 MRIS
- 2007-10-25 Price Changed $90,900 MRIS
- 2007-10-02 Listed $125,900 MRIS
- 2005-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-01-25 Listed — MRIS
- 2004-09-30 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MRIS
- 2004-09-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-08-19 Listed $32,900 MRIS
Property tax history
-7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $810 · -64.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…