18936 Tireman St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$51,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS PROPERTY OFFERS A STRONG STARTING POINT FOR YOUR NEXT PROJECT, WITH KEY COMPONENTS ALREADY IN DECENT CONDITION INCLUDING THE ROOF, WINDOWS, AND ELECTRICAL BOX. A SOLID FOUNDATION PROVIDES PEACE OF MIND, WHILE THE DETACHED GARAGE IN GOOD SHAPE ADDS BOTH FUNCTIONALITY AND VALUE. WITH GREAT BONES AND PLENTY OF POTENTIAL, THIS HOME IS IDEAL FOR A FIX-AND-FLIP OR A LONG-TERM RENTAL INVESTMENT WITH EXCELLENT UPSIDE. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY!
Key facts
- Good shape
- Solid foundation
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $51k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $51k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $51k implies a 1940% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.52%
- DSCR
- 2.85
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,870
- List price
- $51,000
- Delta
- -5.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8062 Grandville Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (+5%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $82 | 77 |
| 7701 Piedmont St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 706 (+1%) | 13mo | $86,500 | $123 | 72 |
| 7375 Brace St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 711 (+2%) | 10mo | $18,500 | $26 | 67 |
| 6803 Grandville Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+0%) | 2mo | $32,000 | $46 | 66 |
| 8257 Minock St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 737 (+6%) | 8mo | $32,000 | $43 | 66 |
| 7282 Plainview Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (+5%) | 1mo | $19,000 | $26 | 63 |
| 7313 Grandville Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 765 (+10%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $92 | 63 |
| 7320 Westwood St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 738 (+6%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $156 | 62 |
| 8900 Artesian St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (+7%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $47 | 52 |
| 7345 Penrod St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+15%) | 13mo | $66,100 | $83 | 43 |
| 6893 Plainview Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-14%) | 2mo | $23,500 | $39 | 40 |
| 9046 Grandville Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 787 (+13%) | 11mo | $72,000 | $91 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $20,003
- Equity at exit
- $7,604
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.19×
- Total profit
- $45,580
- Equity at exit
- $4,410
Cash invested: $14,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,102 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$267
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,056/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,750
- Closing costs
- $1,530
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 1d | 15 | 1.00mi |
| 6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 667 | $1,540 | $2.31 | 3d | 10 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 48 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $51,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $51,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $51,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $51,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $51,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $51,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $51,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $51,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $51,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $51,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $51,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $51,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $51,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-04-03$51,000 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
THIS PROPERTY OFFERS A STRONG STARTING POINT FOR YOUR NEXT PROJECT, WITH KEY COMPONENTS ALREADY IN DECENT CONDITION INCLUDING THE ROOF, WINDOWS, AND ELECTRICAL BOX. A SOLID FOUNDATION PROVIDES PEACE OF MIND, WHILE THE DETACHED GARAGE IN GOOD SHAPE ADDS BOTH FUNCTIONALITY AND VALUE. WITH GREAT BONES AND PLENTY OF POTENTIAL, THIS HOME IS IDEAL FOR A FIX-AND-FLIP OR A LONG-TERM RENTAL INVESTMENT WITH EXCELLENT UPSIDE. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY!
-
2026-04-03$51,000 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
THIS PROPERTY OFFERS A STRONG STARTING POINT FOR YOUR NEXT PROJECT, WITH KEY COMPONENTS ALREADY IN DECENT CONDITION INCLUDING THE ROOF, WINDOWS, AND ELECTRICAL BOX. A SOLID FOUNDATION PROVIDES PEACE OF MIND, WHILE THE DETACHED GARAGE IN GOOD SHAPE ADDS BOTH FUNCTIONALITY AND VALUE. WITH GREAT BONES AND PLENTY OF POTENTIAL, THIS HOME IS IDEAL FOR A FIX-AND-FLIP OR A LONG-TERM RENTAL INVESTMENT WITH EXCELLENT UPSIDE. SCHEDULE A SHOWING TODAY!
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2016-10-29historical
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2016-10-28historical
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2016-09-14price $5,000
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2016-09-14price $5,000
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2016-06-19price $7,000
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2016-06-18price $7,000
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2016-04-28$9,000 Active
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2016-04-28$9,000 Active
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2015-12-14historical
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2015-12-14historical
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2015-11-09status Active
-
2015-10-29historical
-
2015-07-17status Active
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2015-06-11historical
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2015-06-05price $16,000
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2015-04-22price $19,000
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2015-04-12$25,000 Active
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2015-04-12$16,000
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2009-12-02soldstatus $2,500
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2009-07-31$2,500
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2006-07-12historical
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2005-07-12$78,000
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2002-10-07soldstatus $59,000
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2002-02-25soldstatus $28,600
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2000-09-29soldstatus $28,600
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2000-01-28$27,090
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1999-12-31historical
-
1999-09-10$43,000
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1999-03-19historical
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1998-09-24soldstatus $39,635
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1998-09-19$49,900
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1995-07-17soldstatus $12,000
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1995-07-17soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,056 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,056 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,226
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,857
- − Property taxes
- −$1,056
- − Insurance
- −$255
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,058
- − Management
- −$1,058
- − Depreciation
- −$1,484
- Taxable income
- $5,459
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,310
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+325.0% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $51,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Listed $51,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-10-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-14 Price Changed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-14 Price Changed $5,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-19 Price Changed $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-18 Price Changed $7,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-28 Listed $9,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-28 Listed $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-12-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-12-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-11-09 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2015-10-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-07-17 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2015-06-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-06-05 Price Changed $16,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-04-22 Price Changed $19,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-04-12 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-04-12 Listed $16,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-12-02 Sold (MLS) $2,500 REALCOMP
- 2009-07-31 Listed $2,500 REALCOMP
- 2006-07-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-07-12 Listed $78,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2002-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $28,600 Public Records
- 2000-09-29 Sold (MLS) $28,600 REALCOMP
- 2000-01-28 Listed $27,090 REALCOMP
- 1999-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1999-09-10 Listed $43,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-03-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $39,635 Public Records
- 1998-09-19 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 1995-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1995-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,056 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…