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412 N Campbell St
C+ Composite 63.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

412 N Campbell St · Macomb, IL 61455
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1935 10,560 sqft lot $52/sqft · 16% above area Est $59k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This affordable 3-bedroom home, sitting near the end of a dead-end street, is the perfect size and price for a starter home -- with everything on one level. Recent updates include new garage opener this year, range/oven in 2023, water heater in 2021, and roof in 2018. The home's recently replaced gutters include a warranty. Partially fenced back yard.

Key facts

  • New garage opener
  • Water heater
  • Gutter warranty

Tags

NEW GARAGE OPENERRANGE OVENWATER HEATERGUTTER WARRANTYGUTTER GUARDSPARTIALLY FENCED BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached oversized 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1935
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Lot dimensions approx. 60' x 176'

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (vinyl flooring)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (main level: two bedrooms; one bedroom has egress window); Bedroom sizes: 12 x 11, 13 x 10, 11 x 9
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living areas; Vinyl in kitchen and laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Crawl space basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (6 x 5, vinyl flooring)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 6.2% in Macomb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#379 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities D, commute F.
  • Macomb CUSD 185 (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #410 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Macomb Junior High School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #312 of 665 statewide, top 48%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Macomb Senior High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 622 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
13.44%
Cash-on-cash
25.53%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,956
List price
$65,000
Delta
10.25%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
422 N Randolph St 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,156 (-8%) 2mo $64,000 $55 79
409 N Mcarthur St 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,323 (+5%) 1mo $24,000 $18 72
725 N Mechanic St 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (+5%) 2mo $126,000 $95 62
336 S Madison St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,334 (+6%) 8mo $20,000 $15 60
210 S White St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,246 (-1%) 3mo $67,000 $54 60
715 E Piper St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,314 (+4%) 9mo $71,000 $54 51
132 Chandler Blvd 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,402 (+11%) 10mo $65,000 $46 50
115 W Washington St 0.40mi 3/3.0 1,141 (-9%) 10mo $60,000 $53 49
812 E Murray St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,103 (-12%) 7mo $60,000 $54 46
420 W Jefferson St 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,138 (-10%) 3mo $85,000 $75 43
715 W Chandler St 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,142 (-9%) 8mo $87,000 $76 41
217 N Clay St 0.64mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,424 (+13%) 5mo $47,500 $33 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$14,165
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
3.43×
Total profit
$44,238
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61455

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,360/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $609
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 Wigwam Hollow Rd Macomb, IL 2.0–4.0 2.0 1303 $1,180 $0.91 43d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $65,000 Active 353-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,360 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,418 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$58/yr (+$5/mo · 4.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,192
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,360
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,055
− Management
−$1,055
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$928
After-tax cash flow
$3,719/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Macomb CUSD 185
NCES district ID
1723920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,162
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8927
State rank
#410 of 620 in IL

Livability — Macomb

Score
70/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#7918

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Macomb, IL
County
McDonough County · 17,317 people
City population
17,317
Metro
Macomb, IL
Population (ZIP)
17,317
Household income
$48,679
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
1062.0

Population outlook (McDonough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,242 people
By 2030
33,318 · +0.2%
By 2040
33,520 · +0.8%
By 2050
33,630 · +1.2%
By 2075
33,657 · +1.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McDonough

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.7% · R 58.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+16.6 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+1.5 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.20%
Current HPI
140.4351
Rent YoY
Metro
Macomb, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,360 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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