412 N Campbell St · Macomb, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This affordable 3-bedroom home, sitting near the end of a dead-end street, is the perfect size and price for a starter home -- with everything on one level. Recent updates include new garage opener this year, range/oven in 2023, water heater in 2021, and roof in 2018. The home's recently replaced gutters include a warranty. Partially fenced back yard.
Key facts
- New garage opener
- Water heater
- Gutter warranty
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached oversized 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1935
- Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Lot dimensions approx. 60' x 176'
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (vinyl flooring)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (main level: two bedrooms; one bedroom has egress window); Bedroom sizes: 12 x 11, 13 x 10, 11 x 9
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living areas; Vinyl in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Crawl space basement; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (6 x 5, vinyl flooring)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 6.2% in Macomb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#379 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities D, commute F.
- Macomb CUSD 185 (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #410 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Macomb Junior High School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #312 of 665 statewide, top 48%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Macomb Senior High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 622 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.53%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,956
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 10.25%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 N Randolph St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,156 (-8%) | 2mo | $64,000 | $55 | 79 |
| 409 N Mcarthur St | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,323 (+5%) | 1mo | $24,000 | $18 | 72 |
| 725 N Mechanic St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+5%) | 2mo | $126,000 | $95 | 62 |
| 336 S Madison St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,334 (+6%) | 8mo | $20,000 | $15 | 60 |
| 210 S White St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,246 (-1%) | 3mo | $67,000 | $54 | 60 |
| 715 E Piper St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,314 (+4%) | 9mo | $71,000 | $54 | 51 |
| 132 Chandler Blvd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,402 (+11%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $46 | 50 |
| 115 W Washington St | 0.40mi | 3/3.0 | 1,141 (-9%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $53 | 49 |
| 812 E Murray St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,103 (-12%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $54 | 46 |
| 420 W Jefferson St | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,138 (-10%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $75 | 43 |
| 715 W Chandler St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,142 (-9%) | 8mo | $87,000 | $76 | 41 |
| 217 N Clay St | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+13%) | 5mo | $47,500 | $33 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $14,165
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $44,238
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61455
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Wigwam Hollow Rd Macomb, IL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,180 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-04$65,000 Active 353-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,360 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,192
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,360
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,055
- − Management
- −$1,055
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $3,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$928
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Macomb CUSD 185
- NCES district ID
- 1723920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,162
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8927
- State rank
- #410 of 620 in IL
Livability — Macomb
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #379
- US rank
- #7918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macomb, IL
- County
- McDonough County · 17,317 people
- City population
- 17,317
- Metro
- Macomb, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,317
- Household income
- $48,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1062.0
Population outlook (McDonough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,242 people
- By 2030
- 33,318 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 33,520 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 33,630 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 33,657 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 33,127 · -0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McDonough
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.7% · R 58.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+16.6 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+1.5 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.20%
- Current HPI
- 140.4351
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Macomb, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,360 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…