112 S Higgins Ave · Sayre, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom property located on double lot with a 1 car garage. With some updating this house could be a great starter home or an investment opportunity.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1880
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; 9 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.4% in Sayre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#419 in PA, #3,808 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sayre Area SD (town): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #299 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.98%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,031
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -49.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 S Higgins Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,580 (0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $38 | 99 |
| 102 Garden St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,552 (-2%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $81 | 73 |
| 403 Desmond St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,653 (+5%) | 8mo | $201,500 | $122 | 67 |
| 317 Chemung St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,676 (+6%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 502 S Elmira St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,602 (+1%) | 10mo | $168,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 502 Desmond St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,424 (-10%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $81 | 59 |
| 303 N Wilbur Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,438 (-9%) | 5mo | $177,000 | $123 | 51 |
| 315 Madison St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,736 (+10%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $115 | 48 |
| 106 Layton St | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,638 (+4%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $119 | 47 |
| 328 W Lockhart St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (-12%) | 9mo | $177,000 | $128 | 43 |
| 107 Woodworth St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,412 (-11%) | 10mo | $159,000 | $113 | 39 |
| 506 North Wilbur Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (+9%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $150 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,292
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $19,347
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18840
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,416/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 E Pine St Unit 1 Athens, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 163-char remark
-
2026-04-29$79,000 Active 163-char remark
-
2026-04-29$79,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,416 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,416 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,416
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$955
- − Management
- −$955
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $1,495
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$359
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sayre Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220850
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,919
- Composite
- 37.05/100
- National rank
- #4509
- State rank
- #299 of 539 in PA
Livability — Sayre
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #3808
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sayre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,249
Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,236 people
- By 2030
- 54,660 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 49,502 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 44,277 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 33,420 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 22,919 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.43%
- Current HPI
- 167.8622
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-24.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NMPA
- 2026-05-05 Pending — NMPA
- 2026-04-29 Listed $79,000 NMPA
- 2026-04-29 Listed $79,000 NMPA
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,416 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…